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Posted
3 hours ago, Old Red said:

When you can measure effort, and mindset, because of atmosphere let me know. Don’t believe in data, or doesn’t care about data? BIG difference. As I’ve said 100’s of times the only stats I care about are actual stats that show up on the scoreboard in real time. That’s what works for me. You guys can go nuts with all the other stuff all you want.

OK, but you're also saying that you think Devers would be putting up better stats with the Red Sox, right?  So in this case you're kind of arguing against his actual numbers. 

Old-Timey Member
Posted
41 minutes ago, Bellhorn04 said:

OK, but you're also saying that you think Devers would be putting up better stats with the Red Sox, right?  So in this case you're kind of arguing against his actual numbers. 

I’m just saying that you can’t just look at what Raffy has done since he left Boston, and just assume that would translate to the exact same numbers if he had stayed in Boston, because of the things I mentioned like mindset, effort, and atmosphere. I’m not arguing against any numbers he has put up in SF.

Old-Timey Member
Posted
1 hour ago, Old Red said:

I’m just saying that you can’t just look at what Raffy has done since he left Boston, and just assume that would translate to the exact same numbers if he had stayed in Boston, because of the things I mentioned like mindset, effort, and atmosphere. I’m not arguing against any numbers he has put up in SF.

I think we can assume it’s similar. It’s a tougher park for a lefty to homer in, but his effort and mindset are likely the same regardless of where he plays.

Now what we do know factually is he simply isn’t hitting the ball as well as he did last year, a year where he spent the majority of his games in San Francisco.  His exit velocity, hard hit rate, barrel percentage, are all down.  His whiff rate is up and his walk rate is way down.  Hes also striking out slightly more, but that’s not necessarily fair to compare, because the rules are different in 2026.

These changes are not a result of atmosphere.   But I have to pass on the walk/strikeout stuff since I don’t know how he’s been impacted by challenges…

Verified Member
Posted
4 hours ago, 5GoldGlovesOF,75 said:

so I won't get stuck on the train tracks like that lady who blindly followed her GPS commands.

If the deal is to use GPS, or not use GPS, I am 100% all-in for GPS.

Verified Member
Posted
18 hours ago, notin said:

I think we can assume it’s similar. It’s a tougher park for a lefty to homer in, but his effort and mindset are likely the same regardless of where he plays.

Now what we do know factually is he simply isn’t hitting the ball as well as he did last year, a year where he spent the majority of his games in San Francisco.  His exit velocity, hard hit rate, barrel percentage, are all down.  His whiff rate is up and his walk rate is way down.  Hes also striking out slightly more, but that’s not necessarily fair to compare, because the rules are different in 2026.

These changes are not a result of atmosphere.   But I have to pass on the walk/strikeout stuff since I don’t know how he’s been impacted by challenges…

I'm not denying SF is not as friendly for hitters.  But since Devers was trade to the Giants in both 2025 and 2026 he has hit better at home than he has on the road.  

In 2025 he has WRC+ of 138 and an OPS of .843 at Oracle park while he was 118/.786 on the road. 

This year the road/home splits are almost identical.  He's just not hitting as well as he historically has everywhere right now. 

I think there's more to it, as you pointed out his exit velocity and hard hit rates are down.  Some guys just start their decline earlier than others and a lot of ball players start to go downhill around 30.  

Maybe we really did dodge a bullet trading Devers when we did...

Verified Member
Posted
10 hours ago, Hugh2 said:

Some guys just start their decline earlier than others and a lot of ball players start to go downhill around 30.  

Not exactly a gym rat.  I always thought that attributed to Vazquez' offensive decline.  He just lost the rotational athletic skills.

Old-Timey Member
Posted

One of the most memorable and quick Sox declines was Jim Rice.

While he dropped sharply from .911 (141 OPS+) to .791 (112 OPS) from ages 30 to 31, he had an uptick to a 123 OPS+ at age 32 and 137 at age 33. Then the walls caved in:

Age 34: 101 OPS+

Age 35: 102 OPS+

Age 36: 70 OPS+ in 56 games

Retirement.

I'm sure there are worse than this, but this struck me as a quick and steep decline.

 

Verified Member
Posted

There's no point wondering what Devers might have or not have done, there's no point looking at his numbers and transporting them directly to if he'd stayed here. We don't know anywhere near enough of the variables. The trade might have rocked him, he might be have issues settling in SF (SF media certainly hasn't taken to him), he might have personal issues, it might just be a down year, he might hate the limelight that's come his way after the event, or a whole myriad of other reasons. 

The problem with making absolutely every argument stat base is that we forget human beings play this game not numbers.

That said, I have always been happy we've gotten out of that contract as it's certain it will go bad at some point, and I hated his attitude throughout the whole debacle. 

But we all boil these things down to numbers far too much. 

Posted
6 hours ago, Hitch said:

There's no point wondering what Devers might have or not have done, there's no point looking at his numbers and transporting them directly to if he'd stayed here. We don't know anywhere near enough of the variables. The trade might have rocked him, he might be have issues settling in SF (SF media certainly hasn't taken to him), he might have personal issues, it might just be a down year, he might hate the limelight that's come his way after the event, or a whole myriad of other reasons. 

The problem with making absolutely every argument stat base is that we forget human beings play this game not numbers.

That said, I have always been happy we've gotten out of that contract as it's certain it will go bad at some point, and I hated his attitude throughout the whole debacle. 

But we all boil these things down to numbers far too much. 

Good points, but I find it hard to imagine Devers doing much better within the toxic environment in Boston, both at the time he was traded and this 2026 situation.

Posted
28 minutes ago, moonslav59 said:

Good points, but I find it hard to imagine Devers doing much better within the toxic environment in Boston, both at the time he was traded and this 2026 situation.

I agree with you. If it was toxic last year, and it’s still toxic this year after Raffy, and Cora are both gone then the common denominator of who’s left, and why it’s still toxic is Brez. That wasn’t so hard was it now?

 

Posted
12 minutes ago, Old Red said:

I agree with you. If it was toxic last year, and it’s still toxic this year after Raffy, and Cora are both gone then the common denominator of who’s left, and why it’s still toxic is Brez. That wasn’t so hard was it now?

It's not JUST Breslow. Can't change ownership though. 

Posted
On 6/16/2026 at 1:07 PM, moonslav59 said:

One of the most memorable and quick Sox declines was Jim Rice.

My recollection is that he had a wrist injury that never quite recovered.  Those are a death knell to sluggers.

Posted
7 hours ago, Hitch said:

But we all boil these things down to numbers far too much. 

But we need to be at least guided by the numbers.  Personally, I think he'll recover closer to expectations.  He's not even 30.  But the starting point for any discussion should be his actual numbers, and then arguing them back to what he might do if he ever returned.  If Hamilton had an .800 OPS this year, I wouldn't argue that he would only have a .642 if he returned to Fenway.

Posted
8 minutes ago, JoeBrady said:

But we need to be at least guided by the numbers.  Personally, I think he'll recover closer to expectations.  He's not even 30.  But the starting point for any discussion should be his actual numbers, and then arguing them back to what he might do if he ever returned.  If Hamilton had an .800 OPS this year, I wouldn't argue that he would only have a .642 if he returned to Fenway.

Guided, sure, but we don't let them guide us, we let them be the evidence and truth of everything. Which is just counter productive and blinkered. 

Not having a go at anyone, I'm as guilty as anyone. 

Posted
13 minutes ago, Hugh2 said:

Not a good look for Devers at all. 

The entire season for the Giants hasn't been a good look for that org. 

Posted
12 hours ago, Hitch said:

 

I become more and more glad we got away from this guy with every passing day.

I'm giving him the benefit of the doubt, and maybe there was a language issue, but I got the feeling Devers was just trying to say he was okay to run.  There had been an issue with his leg.

Posted
9 hours ago, mvp 78 said:

The entire season for the Giants hasn't been a good look for that org. 

But if had stayed at Fenway, he **might** have had a .900 OPS and 30 SBs.

And I am might be the only guy holding on by my fingernails, but i think still think he'd be a good addition for us.  It just gets more expensive for Posey to undo that trade, like every day.

Posted
On 6/17/2026 at 12:15 PM, JoeBrady said:

My recollection is that he had a wrist injury that never quite recovered.  Those are a death knell to sluggers.

I read years later, it was his eyesight and he did not want to wear glasses. He did not like contact lenses, either.

Posted
14 minutes ago, moonslav59 said:

I read years later, it was his eyesight and he did not want to wear glasses. He did not like contact lenses, either.

never heard that. he was my favorite growing up.

Posted
2 minutes ago, Duran Is The Man said:

never heard that. he was my favorite growing up.

Boston Red Sox Hall of Fame slugger Jim Rice experienced uncorrected vision and eyesight issues during the final years of his Major League Baseball career. These visual challenges, compounded by lingering elbow injuries, directly contributed to a sharp decline in his batting performance and his retirement after the 1989 season. [Society for American Baseball Research]

Posted
1 hour ago, moonslav59 said:

Boston Red Sox Hall of Fame slugger Jim Rice experienced uncorrected vision and eyesight issues during the final years of his Major League Baseball career. These visual challenges, compounded by lingering elbow injuries, directly contributed to a sharp decline in his batting performance and his retirement after the 1989 season. [Society for American Baseball Research]

too bad he couldn't get used to wearing glasses or contacts. 

Posted
1 hour ago, Duran Is The Man said:

too bad he couldn't get used to wearing glasses or contacts. 

That man was a HITTER!

Posted
41 minutes ago, moonslav59 said:

That man was a HITTER!

yes he was. my brother met him a few years ago. said he was super cool. when he played...the double plays always killed me though. i think he lead the league several times.

Posted
1 hour ago, Duran Is The Man said:

yes he was. my brother met him a few years ago. said he was super cool. when he played...the double plays always killed me though. i think he lead the league several times.

He hit the ball so hard, it was bound to be DPs.

Old-Timey Member
Posted
On 6/17/2026 at 4:18 AM, Hitch said:

There's no point wondering what Devers might have or not have done, there's no point looking at his numbers and transporting them directly to if he'd stayed here. We don't know anywhere near enough of the variables. The trade might have rocked him, he might be have issues settling in SF (SF media certainly hasn't taken to him), he might have personal issues, it might just be a down year, he might hate the limelight that's come his way after the event, or a whole myriad of other reasons. 

The problem with making absolutely every argument stat base is that we forget human beings play this game not numbers.

That said, I have always been happy we've gotten out of that contract as it's certain it will go bad at some point, and I hated his attitude throughout the whole debacle. 

But we all boil these things down to numbers far too much. 

Devers’ stats were usually the reason to keep him.  But it’s Devers the Human that I’m glad is gone…

Verified Member
Posted
15 hours ago, JoeBrady said:

I'm giving him the benefit of the doubt, and maybe there was a language issue, but I got the feeling Devers was just trying to say he was okay to run.  There had been an issue with his leg.

IDK, his body language screams annoyed and he's walking away with his helmet up saying things into it.  I thought I read somewhere that he slammed his helmet when he got into the dugout too. 

I don't think it was a language issue, Devers also understands English well, much better than he speaks it.  I think this is just his behavior. 

Verified Member
Posted
On 6/17/2026 at 5:18 AM, Hitch said:

There's no point wondering what Devers might have or not have done, there's no point looking at his numbers and transporting them directly to if he'd stayed here. We don't know anywhere near enough of the variables. The trade might have rocked him, he might be have issues settling in SF (SF media certainly hasn't taken to him), he might have personal issues, it might just be a down year, he might hate the limelight that's come his way after the event, or a whole myriad of other reasons. 

The problem with making absolutely every argument stat base is that we forget human beings play this game not numbers.

That said, I have always been happy we've gotten out of that contract as it's certain it will go bad at some point, and I hated his attitude throughout the whole debacle. 

But we all boil these things down to numbers far too much. 

It's also such an unfair argument to make.  ANyone can claim almost anything, and we can work it in reverse too but you notice how they never do that? they never say "Chris Sale wouldn't have done that here" or "Kyle Harrison never would have pitched like that here" 

 When Red Sox players go elsewere and perform well it's a wrong on the organization for letting them go. 

When Red Sox players go elsewhere and perform bad, they would have been doing better here and it's a wrong on the organization. 

Although I can see the virtue in such an argument, anything I want to be true can always be hypothetically true. 

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