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JoeBrady

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Everything posted by JoeBrady

  1. The KC hitter never took the bat off his shoulder on the SB attempt. I was taught that you always step towards the pitcher like you are swinging to prevent the catcher from stepping up to throw.
  2. Since 2017, the leaders in strikeouts are: Suarez Judge Schwarber Olson Teoscar Swanson Happ Chapman Goldschmidt Adames McMahon Ohtani Castellanos Devers Yelich Harper Just guessing, but I think everyone on the list has been on at least one AS game.
  3. Interesting definition of beta. To me, being afraid of striking out is too beta. With guys like Story and Duran, the pitcher doesn't have to worry about giving them something to hit, until it is 3-2, which it never gets to. Depending on the count, if you think it's a ball, take it. Work the count to your favor. work the pitcher. Let the other team know that they need to throw you a hittable pitch.
  4. You'd need a whole lot more data. On 3-2, if the pitcher beats you with a good pitch near the corner, you're probably better off taking the pitch and hoping for the call. On 0-2, you have to swing at every close pitch. But what I think damages a lot of hitters, is that they are afraid to let a 0-2 pitch go by. The only way to get to a reasonable hitter's count is by gambling on occasionally tough pitches.
  5. I just looked on BR. On 3-2 counts, he has 11 Ks and 14 walks. Even if all 11Ks were looking, it will feels like a good percentage. FWIW, I don't disagree that he is occasionally passive, but that might be an experience issue. I liken to a poker game where you are stepping up a little in rank. My guess is that it is natural to be more conservative until you get a little more comfortable.
  6. I'm not sure where to look that up. How many called strike 3's has he taken, compared to walks?
  7. You can't include Anthony, Duran and Story in the same comparison. Anthony strikes out a lot because he takes a lot of pitches and takes a lot of walks. He has an excellent eye. Story & Duran strike out a lot because they can't read the pitches.
  8. Same with Tito. I think a lot of managers consider a day off to be the entire day off.
  9. I'd love to see us trade for Detmers. We don't have the farm (outside of Arias) to make such a move, but with LAA, you never know.
  10. It's no contest on paper, but MLB tends to award things to the bigger names. It shouldn't be, but I won't be shocked if Ohtani gets it.
  11. That depends on 'catch up' and 'regress'. 2014: 3.77 FIP 2015: 3.62 FIP 2016: 2.47 ER If you suggesting that the 2.47 would regress closer to the 3.6-3.70 range, that seems fair. But that range is still pretty good. The ERA+ range for those 2.5 years is probably in the 125-130 range.
  12. You want me to re-check the ERA & IPs he had in AA? It's been 80 years since anyone ever asked me to re-check my calculations.
  13. Anything can happen, but I wouldn't worry about that. I could probably identify 98% of their revenue, and the unions are going to hire guys way, way better than me. And for the really murky things, they will probably have an arbitration board.
  14. It seems like some of the new ballparks are kind of headlined into being complex anchors. Build a mall, a hotel, entertainment, around the ballpark. And like Moon said, wholly-owned TV subsidiaries complicate things. Not that I would do such a thing, but if I owned the team and the TV, and had to share team revenue, someone less scrupulous than I, would make sure the TV station sent me less revenue than expected.
  15. I'd be surprised (not shocked) if KC performed better than a Yoshida/Jones platoon. And probably not White either since he doesn't have White's glove.
  16. Wrong links on Walker, Mullins, Brown. Pretty minor, but I'm looking at their stats thinking "I hope we have better guys than this'. And we do.
  17. No one knows how these guys are valued. He had a 4.54 in 79.1 IPs in Single-A. Scouts that saw him might not have been impressed. I'd also bet serious money that we offered him to every team in BB.
  18. There is no such thing as 'funny money' when it comes to revenue. If your lawyers and accountants miss a revenue stream, that's on them. The Braves have public financial records. I could probably identify every material revenue stream in a couple of hours. Someone smarter and more energetic can probably find the 'change in the couch' line someplace. ed-I didn't see your last line. An audit would be automatic. TBH, I think the percentage of the gross is a false flag operation by the owners. I think their revenue increases out-pace the players salary gains.
  19. We don't know that. I believe they once offered as high as 54%, but like you said, a lot of that depends on the definition of 'revenue'. I believe that, currently, players salaries (also a vague term) is less than 50% of total broadcasting revenue.
  20. I'm not sure there is any settled science on the lineup. If Kimmi is peeking in, I think she has studies thsat show only a minor improvement between an optimal lineup, or one put together at random. In this case, there is no chance I want Contreras batting in front of the RS 7-8-9 hitters, particularly as they were earlier in the season.
  21. A couple of things: The 2021 stats were a mirage. Because of Canada, they spent a lot of their home games in US minor league fields. Take away the Sahlen and TD Ballpark results, and Vlad looks like a very good, but not great hitter. That said, 2025 was one of the best playoff performances ever. Best time to trade a hitter is halfway thru their free agency contract, or age 32. The number of under-performing contracts at age 33 is legendary.
  22. Since 50% doesn't yet exist, you can make 50% include anything you want. And I don't see any philosophical reason for the owners, or the players, to not get 50%.
  23. He's an idiot. I found it funnier when Hampton threw his career away by signing the Rockies, and couldn't figure out a better excuse than 'It is all about the schools'. Because, you know, Manhattan, Scarsdale, etc., don't have the best schools in the world.
  24. Every team has 'what-is', but had we won that first 1-0 in NY, we'd have the #1 WC slot right now.
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