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JoeBrady

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Everything posted by JoeBrady

  1. JoeBrady
    That's the beauty of baseball. No one knows if a player is simply on a good run, or if he is simply becoming the player he was always destined to be.
  2. JoeBrady
    The concept of 'under-valued' fluctuates. Some under-valued concepts get hot, and when everyone jumps on the bandwagon, they become over-valued. The accountants crunching the numbers can easily miss that the rest of the league is bidding up the same values. I'm not sure if any single concept works consistently.
  3. JoeBrady
    W/L is a past-tense measurement. Py W/L is predictive. It's like picking a stock based on past performance, or current circumstances.
  4. JoeBrady
    I'd offer him arb. It's only about $1M. His potential is worth the cost, and probably the roster spot.
  5. JoeBrady
    I always remind people that for every Acuna that might underprice himself, there is always someone that gets injured or hits the wall. I remember Hinske discussing that a long time ago. If I were a player, I'd always lock in my arb years in exchange for giving up a FA year.
  6. JoeBrady
    Of course we don't know what he'd accept. But I've had these discussions in my own life. No one knows what a counterparty will accept. Maybe we offer $80M/4, and he says not close, but willing to counter. Or he says he wants $200M/8 and we part company. My philosophy is that you might always be closer than you think. IRT hitting, I am usually much more concerned about age than reversions. When a player has a 115 career OPS+, and has a current year 115 OPS+, I tend to think he is a 115 OPS+ hitter. FWIW, I see AR as a Realmuto close. I don't expect we'd lose on a 4-year age 30-33 contract, though it might take a 5th year.
  7. JoeBrady
    I consider it MY money. The more efficiently we handle our payroll, the more talent we can buy with our payroll. I like AR, and said he might be the best all-around catcher in BB, before the trade. But now I am explaining reasons why AR might want to extend, rather than gamble down the road.
  8. JoeBrady
    Basically everyone but Bello is available. Gutsy move keeping Chapman on the bench last night. Had Moran blown the lead, this site would be awash with threads demanding Tracy's firing.
  9. JoeBrady
    The whole idea of extending him now would be to get a discount. He lacks leverage right now. He's injured. He's playing well, but coming off of two weak-ish seasons. If (and I seriously doubt they will) BB shuts down for a year, and they don't grant any service time, then he becomes a FA in 2029. At age 31. The RS still have to offer fair money, but I'd bet he'd be inclined to take the safe route.
  10. JoeBrady
    Nothing has been talked about, that we know of. Breslow says nothing to anyone, and he is a relative gossip columnist compared to Manfred.
  11. JoeBrady
    Money is an issue; the individual salaries are not. We're spending $275M this year, and if nothing changes, we will be spending $275M in two years. And that will provide us with $157M to spend. It is the $157M that counts.
  12. JoeBrady
    Run differential and Py W/L is settled science. Take any team, at the end of April, with a actual v Py W/L difference of 100 percentage points. I will gladly bet that they will play closer to their Py W/L than their actual record for the remainder of the season.
  13. JoeBrady
    IMHO, this was the Sandoval we expected. It just took longer than expected. The surgery should've knocked him out for 14 months + some rust, and that was just an internal brace. He was out over 2 years. If he had come back in April, he'd be a legitimate QO candidate (and might still be if he can continue).
  14. JoeBrady
    Take a look at the Philly SP splits. When Wheeler, Sanchez, and Luzardo pitch, they're as good as anyone in BB. If anyone else starts, they almost never win.
  15. JoeBrady
    he has seen a massive decline in his batting average (.261 to .200), It should be noted that the BA of .200 comes with an incredibly low .136 BABIP. I agree with resting both him and Ceddanne, but the average is likely not a good reason why.
  16. JoeBrady
    This is shades of 2021. He has I think a 26/1 K/W in his last 28 games.
  17. JoeBrady
    What?
  18. JoeBrady
    I always said this. I root for our guys, even after they leave. But if Harrison and Durbin both become AS's, good for both of us. And it is probably almost meaningless, but other GMs could be influenced by the success of our guys after they leave. It shows that we are dealing talent, and not just scrubs.
  19. JoeBrady
    He's a fine hitter. Good eye, good power, even if he can't field. But I wonder if he is taking his recovery seriously. I have no backup for that, but with numerous setbacks, and he wasn't in great shape to begin with, it makes me wonder.
  20. JoeBrady
    There's no reason to get rid of Yoshida. He's probably more valuable to us than anything we'd get back. And we probably can't get rid of Story. But I can't help but think that Atlanta might be interested. They seem to always be on the lookout for a new SS, and it seldom works out. Maybe they'll think they can re-capture the Sale magic and have some positive reversion.
  21. JoeBrady
    I didn't think about it, but the 'no rentals' is beneficial.
  22. JoeBrady
    Yup, way too early for off-season conjecture.
  23. JoeBrady
    I am still shaking my head about when he told everyone he was swinging a bat. Then said he was swinging 'in his mind'. I think we've passed the one-year anniversary of that pronouncement, and he still isn't swinging a bat. I don't mind folks being eclectic, but he was just screaming not to be taken seriously.
  24. JoeBrady
    I rarely watch with the sound on. The RS announcers are usually good, but if I catch the wrong feed, some other announcers just never shut up. Let the game explain itself. Or provide a little statcast data. Don't drone on about players thinking this and that, or trying to peak into their brains.
  25. JoeBrady
    Some of these articles are written by people that know nothing about baseball. The crown (same as in the off-season) goes to the team that picked up the most guys, or the shiniest toys. If Mil had traded their top four prospects for Skubal, they'd have gotten an A.
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