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JoeBrady

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Everything posted by JoeBrady

  1. We would owe him $102M. If he is only good for three years, which I doubt, then he costs us $34M pr.
  2. No, but that is the only alternative. You can sign them cheap, before they've proven themselves, or you can sign them for a lot more money, after they have proven themselves. But you have to choose a lane.
  3. The more LOBs you have, the more runs you've scored, After you've processed that, we'll move onto scoring 102.
  4. Disagree with us giving him the opt outs? There is a good chance Bogaerts leaves without us even getting those first three years.
  5. Higher OBP leads to higher scoring, Take a look at the ten highest OBP teams from almost any year, and they will mostly the highest scoring teams. More HRs will lead to more scoring, but there are always team with a lot of HRs that are not atop the scoring board. I will provide some analysis later,
  6. Only if one thinks he will be effective for the length of his contract. Someone like Tatis will be paid until he is 35, at which point, he might still be making a contribution. Guys like Machado and Bogaerts might be out of the league for 3-4 years before their contracts end. Age matters. I doubt Marte will be good for three years, but even if he is, you're effectively still paying him $34M a year.
  7. I agree he thinks too much, but Boston has not bothered him at all in 24-25.
  8. Runs and total bases are not 'old' stats. Even HRs still count, though not as relevant as OBP. The correlation between OBP and runs scored is very high.
  9. 6 years, but Bogaerts could (and did) opt out after three years. Still very lucrative for us. I'd like to see the RS engage in more contracts where we grant an opt-out, but retain an option to buy out the players' option. So if Bogaerts declines the final $60M/3, we have the option of replacing that with say, a $100M/3 contract.
  10. 26th in HRs, but 9th in OBP. OBP, pitching and defense. Who'd have thought that was a winning combination?
  11. They traded for Arenado on 1/13. At that point, there was probably no possibility of a Duran trade.
  12. There is no reason that one excludes the other. Everything I've read says pulling the ball in the air pays dividends. But that probably varies from player to player.
  13. You can keep sticking up for Story, but he is part of the problem, and pretty likely the biggest part of the problem. He should be focusing on his own problems. Not to mention the fact that Cora hasn't done anything to validate his parking either. And, FWIW, I've probably stuck up for Story more than anyone in here. And I've stuck up for Cora more than a lot of other fans. But production counts. And neither one of them have done enough recently that they get any special treatment.
  14. Not in my experience. As a disclaimer, you can play it either way. But it my last job, the boss had a reputation for being hot-headed, and he had people that disliked him. But I never had a problem with him. He didn't go off unless he had a valid reason. Things have to be done a certain way. He got me in his sights once or twice. but even before he started in, I knew exactly what he was going to say, and why, and I knew he was right.
  15. Duran was too old for a l/t extension.
  16. I certainly hope so. Romy was a big hitter last year. SSS and all, but he could provide a decent improvement on offense.
  17. I still expect Marte to be a decent player, but I question whether or not he will produce enough to be worth $102M, let alone be worth any serious prospects.
  18. Duran is warming up, and Durbin, imo, is still an investment. It doesn't get mentioned much, but if Romy was still here, Mayer might have already moved to SS.
  19. I never said it guaranteed anything. But I will usually be in favor of extending the kids.
  20. -3 this year. That's pretty bad. Normally I go for the larger sample size, but I think Devers issue has always been a lack of focus. So I'm using the more current sample size.
  21. I thought about adding both Narvaez and Durbin to my analysis, but neither get paid enough to expect major contributions, and both are young enough to expect some inconsistencies. And, as you said, defense counts. And I am not writing off Story, but there has to be some limits.
  22. "Dad, I think we need about my allowance" "Son, I'd love to talk to you, but maybe first explain why you're flunking half your classes despite me paying $23M for your tuition"
  23. As an accountant, I've always believed we should always be the calmest one on the room. But I also don't think we need to be calm 100% of the time. But if I need to speak with the president, I probably won't pick a time right after I screwed up.
  24. Story is at -0- this year. Weak last year, but generally a positive.
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