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JoeBrady

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Everything posted by JoeBrady

  1. JoeBrady
    I don't know why they would think Paredes is still a target. He's unlikely to play 3B, unless Durbin slumps. He can't play SS. He's had 14 starts at 2B since 2022. And I am not sure how much of an upgrade he is over Romy.
  2. JoeBrady
    My guess is that Bello is will fill a 3-4 inning role to rest the kids. If you are trying to restrcit innings, what way than have the rookies throw 3-4 innings/twice thru the rotation and have Bello throw 3-4 innings.
  3. JoeBrady
    FWIW, I take all off-season trade talk with a grain of salt. I doubt any GM will tell a reporter which players he is discussing and for what? My take hasn't changed in 50 years. GMs will spread disinformation to writers who just want a story to print. And they will give a heads-up to their favorite writers, but only after a deal is 99% certain.
  4. JoeBrady
    If you remove Bello, we go from being 3rd by a large margin to 3rd by a smaller margin. But still 3rd. But more importantly, our 1-4 will be Chapman, Whitlock, Slaten and Guerrero. I don't think I'd want to pay a large-ish price to improve that. And the 5-8 is Weissert, Watson, Moran and Bello. And I don't think I'd like to pay a lot to improve our 5th inning chances.
  5. JoeBrady
    That's the crux for a lot of these trades. With Lindor, it'll be 5 years. Out-performing at age 33 is difficult, so what are the chances of doing so for 5 years? The odds of finding someone with a 7.5 cumulative fWAR for years 35-37 is a unicorn. In the past ten years, there is Justin Turner with a 7.7,and Nelson Cruz, but I'm not including him on the PEDs issue. Even assuming Lindor is THE unicorn, we'd need 10 WAR from him the next two seasons. Again, I'm not necessarily opposed to adding him, but just not at that price. Just imho, I'm in the camp of acquiring a 1-2 year type of player. I think some of the guys mention, Arraez, Steer, Ward, Adell, can supply a lot of value without a lot of l/t costs.
  6. JoeBrady
    Like everything else, I can change my mind tomorrow, but I would not focus on an RP. We have a crowded and good BP. The return of Sandoval pushing Bello into bulk reliever changes the dynamics.
  7. JoeBrady
    I'd be shocked if the Mets traded him. They'll trade pieces, but trading Lindor would be an act of surrender.
  8. JoeBrady
    Is Cro as good as Romy? Over the past three years, Romy has a 117 OPS+ v Cro's 99.
  9. JoeBrady
    I'd love to see Arraez at the top of the lineup, as in, mi gusto. Platoon Romy with Yoshida improves DH. Let Romy take a few turns at 2nd against select lefties. Current lead-off OBP/OPS .288/.638 Arraez OBP/OPS .369/.829 Sometimes I will argue against a move because it's high cost v marginal improvement, like Alonso v Duran (pre-season) at DH. My thinking is that someone will outbid us because their need is greater. In this case, does anyone need a quality lead-off guy more than us? And I know some folks prefer HRs, and I see the hole. But I'd make a modest wager that Arraez' lead-off skills would help out as much, or more, than someone like Devers.
  10. JoeBrady
    It's pretty difficult to compare roles. DC is still mostly a lefty specialist, while Watson is a multi-inning type guy.
  11. JoeBrady
    It's enough where I could shrug my shoulders. There is every chance that he has entered his permanent decline, but he is declining from a 5.8 bWAR last year. He also only missed 15 games in the four previous seasons. Does anyone know if he is a good clubhouse fit? Or a good Boston fit? Weak Fenway production? Blocks Arias? I'm not convinced either way, and I think we could do well pursuing smaller pieces without the longer term costs in $$$ and/or prospects. Adell, and others have mentioned Ward and Steer. And MLBR mentioned the have gotten calls on Steer. Hopefully we are one of them.
  12. JoeBrady
    Being baseball, there are a ton of stats that you could push either way. But I've never seen anyone with a 10/15 K/W succeed long-term. And a 0/7 in his last few games is crazy bad. TBH, I expect the RS to land something for him, as some BPs are really bad. But I'd bet Watson has more value over the remainder of the season.
  13. JoeBrady
    DC' FB% in 2026 is 24.3%, which is higher than his career 21.8%, and higher than the league average. His HR/FB of 3.8% is likely unsustainably low.
  14. JoeBrady
    That's what I mentioned in one of my previous E-mails-$50M.
  15. JoeBrady
    I hate when RS players join the Derby.
  16. JoeBrady
    Per FG, he had a 6.18 xFIP. At a level of 20 IPs, he was #242 out of 242 in K-BB%.
  17. JoeBrady
    Why would the RS want to pay Lindor $170M for seasons 33-37?
  18. JoeBrady
    I wouldn't give them anything. I'd want the Mets to give me $50M, minimum. Probably more. He'll be 33 in November. No thanks to paying him $34M at ages 35-36-37.
  19. JoeBrady
    Why? Lots of players get started late because their original teams had no spot for them, particularly RPs.
  20. JoeBrady
    https://talksox.com/forums/topic/90850-red-sox-front-office-did-something-right-they-got-rid-of-devers/?do=getNewComment Just in case someone wants to discuss the Devers issue in the Devers thread.
  21. JoeBrady
    I'm open to Bichette, at a substantial discount, but it might be too costly, and complicated. Just like with Bogaerts, Devers, and some non-RS players, the GM looks like a dunce if he has to eat $100M on a deal he just signed. And he might be a head case which we can't fix.
  22. JoeBrady
    That's the difference between me and the rest of y'all. You guys are wrong 50% of time. I, OTOH, am right 50% of the time.
  23. JoeBrady
    Those are YTD numbers. Since he is a rookie, here is some merit to weighing his recent results more heavily. The numbers are much better more recently, and 51.2 IPs is not a small sample size.
  24. JoeBrady
    And since everyone in here talks to Breslow on a regular basis, we'll know if you're being truthful.
  25. JoeBrady
    I think by now that everyone takes it for granted that teams move money around. There is no reason to be loud or quiet.
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