2021 Prospects

[moonslav59]

I’m going with trade.

 

My best guess is to Miami for Dylan Floro, because 1) the Marlins are loaded with young arms but desperately need hitters 2) Floro does offer the Sox a good bullpen upgrade and has postseason experience with the Dodgers and 3) it works out in BTV...

 

I like the 3 years of control for Floro, but I think they'd want more than Chavis.

[notin]

I like the 3 years of control for Floro, but I think they'd want more than Chavis.

 

Well they acquired him for a lefty reliever with a career ERA of almost 10.00 and a fifth round pick with no MLB experience, so the historical price isn’t TOO high. A controllable former first rounder could have some value. Take, for example, Christian Arroyo.

 

I can see the BTV valuations being reasonable...

[mvp 78]

@SPChrisHatfield

HR last night helps, but Duran's power numbers away from Polar Park still well below those at home. SSS caveat, but still kind of stark:

H: 12 G, .286/.375/.735, 4 2B, 6 HR, .258 BABIP

A: 9 G, .222/.349/.417, 1 2B, 2 HR, .286 BABIP

 

WooSox as a team:

H: 18 G, 33 HR

A: 15 G, 15 HR

 

I agree with some of the skepticism surrounding WOO numbers right now. We don't really know how that ballpark plays. At this point, there have been a few "jet stream" concerns posted by some who follow the team.

[moonslav59]

@SPChrisHatfield

HR last night helps, but Duran's power numbers away from Polar Park still well below those at home. SSS caveat, but still kind of stark:

H: 12 G, .286/.375/.735, 4 2B, 6 HR, .258 BABIP

A: 9 G, .222/.349/.417, 1 2B, 2 HR, .286 BABIP

 

WooSox as a team:

H: 18 G, 33 HR

A: 15 G, 15 HR

 

I agree with some of the skepticism surrounding WOO numbers right now. We don't really know how that ballpark plays. At this point, there have been a few "jet stream" concerns posted by some who follow the team.

 

2 Hrs in 9 road games is pretty good, too.

[mvp 78]

2 Hrs in 9 road games is pretty good, too.

 

The issue is 2x as many HR's at home in PP. May need to be mindful about power numbers going forward.

[moonslav59]

The issue is 2x as many HR's at home in PP. May need to be mindful about power numbers going forward.

 

I get the point but 2 Hrs per 9 games is 36 per 162.

 

That's a mind full.

[5GoldGlovesOF,75]

@SPChrisHatfield

HR last night helps, but Duran's power numbers away from Polar Park still well below those at home. SSS caveat, but still kind of stark:

H: 12 G, .286/.375/.735, 4 2B, 6 HR, .258 BABIP

A: 9 G, .222/.349/.417, 1 2B, 2 HR, .286 BABIP

 

WooSox as a team:

H: 18 G, 33 HR

A: 15 G, 15 HR

 

I agree with some of the skepticism surrounding WOO numbers right now. We don't really know how that ballpark plays. At this point, there have been a few "jet stream" concerns posted by some who follow the team.

 

Boston can be pretty windy, too.

[Hugh2]

Worcester kind of reminds me how scouts used to talk about the PCL years ago. You have to take the numbers with a grain of salt. The stadium was constructed for balls flying out of there.

[notin]

2 Hrs in 9 road games is pretty good, too.

 

But Duran’s .766 road OPS (and .222 road BA) is a little less than inspiring

[Hugh2]

But Duran’s .766 road OPS (and .222 road BA) is a little less than inspiring

 

It’s definitely a small sample size, but it falls in love with the reports that Worcesters Stadium pads stats. It’s a hitters heaven.

 

Just one of many reasons to not scout the box score.

[notin]

It’s definitely a small sample size, but it falls in love with the reports that Worcesters Stadium pads stats. It’s a hitters heaven.

 

Just one of many reasons to not scout the box score.

 

It also throws a big question mark into how ready to handle MLB pitching Duran really is…

[Bellhorn04]

It also throws a big question mark into how ready to handle MLB pitching Duran really is…

 

After going 0 for 5 last night he's hitting .244. That will cool the old schoolers' ardor a bit.

[moonslav59]

After going 0 for 5 last night he's hitting .244. That will cool the old schoolers' ardor a bit.

 

Cue the Casas call-up brigade.

[Hugh2]

A good formula for determining when a guy is MLB ready is to take the date fans start insisting they belong in the majors and add one year to that date.

[moonslav59]

A good formula for determining when a guy is MLB ready is to take the date fans start insisting they belong in the majors and add one year to that date.

 

That's a better plan than many I have seen, here.

[moonslav59]

The new soxprospects.com rankings are out- updated for the PTBNLs added, last week. I kinda thought Valdez would be ranked more highly, but he was placed 19th (XST). Gambrell was placed 30th (Greenville). Luis de la Rosa was placed 47th (XST).

 

All-in-all, I had hoped for better, but we did add some very promising players with high upside potential.

 

Other significant movements (Whitlock moved to post prospect list):

 

Moving up:

6>4 Jimenez (jumped over Houck at 5)

24>9 Bello

27>25 Winckowski (I expected a steeper climb)

33>27 Blalock

40>35 Howlett

39>36 Wilson

42>37 Cannon

NR>43 Kaleb Ort (I know he's old, but man o man)

53>45 Wu-Yellan

NR>54 Kole Cottam

 

Moving down:

19>21 Bazardo

21>23 Potts

26>31 German (acquired with Ottavino)

28>32 Wallace (Pillar trade)

20>34 Jorge Rodriguez (IFA)

35>38 Miguel Bleis (IFA, it's been too long since our last IFA hit.)

37>41 Eduardo Lopez

31>44 Zeferjahn (The biggest drop)

41>46 C Koss (Yoan Aybar trade)

Gonsalves & Espinaldropped 4-5 slots in the mid 50's.

[moonslav59]

Worcester

OPS

1.195 Cordero (61 ABs) earning a 2nd look-see

.972 Duran (100) making his case

.956 Wilson (116) more ready, right now?

.892 Mieses (34)

.829 Herrmann (63) surprise catcher option

.779 Lopez (82) but 1.083 w Portland (11 HRs/84 ABs)

.737 Chavis (76) not really earned his second look-see

.697 Downs (100) Meh

.671 Ockimey (71) so much for my sleeper from years ago

.666 Y Munoz (114) not earning a 40 man slot like this

.644 Arauz (85) maybe time is almost up on '19's rule 5

.458 Wong (45) small sample size but not encouraging

 

ERA/WHIP

0.56/1.13 K Ort (16 IP) WHIP may suggest some luck

2.45/0.89 Schreiber (15) Hmm...

3.38/1.40 Gonsalves (29) Nope

3.58/1.35 Gossett (38) Nope

3.83/1.05 Espinal (40) Nope

5.92/1.34 K Hart (38) Double Nope

 

Portland

.875 Casas (90) moving up to AAA?

.869 Meneses (134) making a case

.824 Baldwin (61) meh

.807 Castellano (124) meh

.781 Fitzgerald (122) meh

.714 R Hernandez (104) not bad for a catcher

.640 Rosario (122) my current sleeper prospect

Potts on IL

0.66/1.24 Zack Kelly (14 IP)

2.25/1.75 B Bello (4)/ w Greenville 2.27/1.01 (32IP)

2.39/1.04 Winckowski (38)

4.24/1.41 Feltman (17)

 

 

[mvp 78]

@SoxProspects

Brandon Howlett was named the High-A East Player of the Week for June 7-13. Over 6 games played, he slashed .391/.462/.826 with 4 doubles, 2 home runs and 5 RBI. For the season, Howlett is slashing .292/.386/.531 with 11 doubles, 4 home runs, and 20 RBI.

[mvp 78]

If I had to guess, Jay Groome gets traded by year end.

[notin]

If I had to guess, Jay Groome gets traded by year end.

 

To who? Blue Cross Blue Shield?

 

Groome might be the first player to get injured merely by being traded…

[mvp 78]

To who? Blue Cross Blue Shield?

 

Groome might be the first player to get injured merely by being traded…

 

United is fielding a solid intermural team this year.

[mvp 78]

Was following the gameday:

 

Groome - 4.1, 3 H, 4 BB, 7K, 0ER, 82 pitches

 

It was against Hickory, a dreadful team.

[moonslav59]

If I had to guess, Jay Groome gets traded by year end.

 

My mantra has been "get the best we can for Chavis+ Groome, and call it a day."

[notin]

Was following the gameday:

 

Groome - 4.1, 3 H, 4 BB, 7K, 0ER, 82 pitches

 

It was against Hickory, a dreadful team.

 

 

He doesn’t look like much in the way of trade bait after that.

 

What’s Bloom’s sales pitch supposed to be? “We know he’s not very good when he’s healthy, but at least he gets injured a lot.”

[Hugh2]

He doesn’t look like much in the way of trade bait after that.

 

What’s Bloom’s sales pitch supposed to be? “We know he’s not very good when he’s healthy, but at least he gets injured a lot.”

 

Groomed trade value absolutely skyrockets if he can just stay healthy for a year. If he does that, we might even want to keep him.

[Bellhorn04]

Groomed trade value absolutely skyrockets if he can just stay healthy for a year. If he does that, we might even want to keep him.

 

That sounds OK.

[moonslav59]

On the farm...

 

Clean sweep to go with the big club win.

 

Worcester won 10-1 and are now 24-13.

 

Cordero 3 for 3 with 2 BB and 3 doubles and 3 rbi.

Ockimey homered and walked twice.

Arauz 3 for 4 with 4 rbi

Duran, Downs and Wong with 2 hits, each

Espinal went 5 IP, 3 H, 3 BB, 7 K and 1 ER

Pen went 4 with 2H, 0 BB and 5 K - 0 ER

 

Portland won 9-4 and are 21-16.

Rosario 3 for 5 with a 2B and 4 rbi

Casas 1 for 5 with a 3B

German 5 IP, 6H, 2BB, 5K and 2 ER

 

Greenville won 9-3 and are 20-17,

Esplin 3-4 w 2B and BB

Cannon 2-5

Brannen 2-3

Groome 4.1, 3H, 4BB, 7K, o ER

 

Salem won 6-2 and are 20-17.

Jimenez 2-5

Rafaela 0-0 with 4BB

Northcut 1-3 with 3 rbi

 

 

[moonslav59]

soxprospects.com

 

Players of the Week 6/8-6/13

 

Michael Chavis, 1B, Worcester

5 G, 19 AB, 9 H, 3 HR, 5 R, 10 RBI, 3 BB, 4 K, .474/.522/1.000

 

Chavis was one of several Worcester players to beat up on the Syracuse Mets pitching staff, and he capped off the week with a promotion to Boston. Since being sent down to Worcester on May 24, Chavis has hit .275/.338/.420 in 17 games with a strikeout rate just north of 27 percent. Since May 1 Boston's first basemen have hit just .158/.218/.386, and Chavis has a chance to get significant at-bats if he can keep this recent hot streak going.

[mvp 78]

soxprospects.com

 

Players of the Week 6/8-6/13

 

Michael Chavis, 1B, Worcester

5 G, 19 AB, 9 H, 3 HR, 5 R, 10 RBI, 3 BB, 4 K, .474/.522/1.000

 

Chavis was one of several Worcester players to beat up on the Syracuse Mets pitching staff, and he capped off the week with a promotion to Boston. Since being sent down to Worcester on May 24, Chavis has hit .275/.338/.420 in 17 games with a strikeout rate just north of 27 percent. Since May 1 Boston's first basemen have hit just .158/.218/.386, and Chavis has a chance to get significant at-bats if he can keep this recent hot streak going.

 

He's a guy that can get on hot streaks. We'll see if he can provide something. I have my doubts.

[mvp 78]

Groomed trade value absolutely skyrockets if he can just stay healthy for a year. If he does that, we might even want to keep him.

 

Taking up a 40 man spot for the next 2+ years while he's in the minors doesn't seem like a great idea to me. I don't think his ceiling is front end starter anymore.