Alex Mayes

To say the beginning of the season has been an absolute disaster for Brayan Bello could almost be considered an understatement. The 26-year old righty was hoping to build off a solid 2025 while positioning himself as a crucial piece of the Boston Red Sox’s rotation behind Garrett Crochet, Sonny Gray, and Ranger Suarez. Unfortunately for him, he’s currently sitting on a 9.00 ERA after his blow-up start against the Orioles with a measly 13.0% strikeout rate to go along with an 11.3% walk percentage. His FIP has shot up to 8.27 to pair with a -0.6 fWAR. As a long time Bello Believer (trademark pending), I wanted to take a look under the hood and see if we could explain what’s going on with the young, former Opening Day starter. Maybe the most glaring thing is that Bello has all but scrapped his four-seam fastball. While it was never a pitch he favored, it’s taken a significant step back behind his other options, including a new curveball, so far in 2026. In 2025, he threw the four-seamer 15% of the time and averaged 95.1 MPH on it. Now, that percentage has dipped to 3% and it’s lost some gas at 93.7 MPH. This could be, in part, due to pitching coach Andrew Bailey’s preferred use of off-speed and breaking pitches, but the last time that happened in 2024 Bello was vocal about reintroducing the pitch back into his mix and it helped to turn his season around. From the outside looking in, it seems more like Bello no longer trusts the pitch and that has taken away a lot of his grip-it-and-rip-it style of pitching. That style though, is what his career has been built on. He’s been at his best when he just pitches. Now, he seems to be trying to nibble on the edges of the plate too much and he’s being crushed as a result. That’s not the only reason for concern, though. Bello has raised his arm angle a staggering 10 degrees, from 33 degrees in 2025 to 43 degrees this season. If you compare pictures or videos from previous seasons to now, it’s fairly noticeable. While there are merits to raising the arm slot, none of them have really panned out for Bello. It is likely what has contributed most to his massive uptick in generating whiffs, up from 20.1% last season to 31.6% now, but it’s also leaving him vulnerable to his sinker playing a lot higher in the zone than intended. We saw the results of that against the Orioles, when Adley Rutschman took a 95 mph sinker that hung out high and inside to deep right field. To be fair, Bello gave up home runs on his cutter and four-seam fastball as well, but the sinker got crushed all night because it failed to sink at all. That flat action on all of his pitches is a direct result of his raised arm angle as well. While the raised arm slot would work, or should work, for a four-seam fastball because the angle causes it to ride more, it has the opposite impact on the sinker. As we know, Bello is a sinker-heavy pitcher so such a drastic, upward change in his arm angle makes the pitch less effective. It also takes the sweeping motion away from his sweeper and forces him to rely on that new curveball as a snappier breaking ball. We can see an obvious difference if we look at his movement profiles from 2025 and 2026 side-by-side. His changeup and sinker are living in the same zone again this season, but when the velocity is down on the sinker, almost a full mile per hour from 95.3 to 94.4, then the pitches don’t play off each other nearly as well as they did last season. His four-seamer gave hitters a different look last season but now, when he does throw it, it’s cheating into the same movement profile as his sinker. Flattening out his arm angle could do wonders for him, and there’s been some tinkering from start to start recently, but we’ve yet to see it pay any true dividends. Also contributing to the issue is that Bello has lost spin rates on each of his pitches, and some have a fairly significant drop-off. His sinker is down from 2,121 RPM to 2,036 RPM, his cutter from 2,479 RPM to 2,333 RPM, the four-seamer from 2,161 RPM to 2,056 RPM, the sweeper from 2,476 RPM to 2,335 RPM, and his changeup is down from 1,842 RPM to 1,696 RPM. Yes, he’s working with a much smaller sample size so far this season, but the decrease in revolutions per minute is concerning. That spin allows the ball to break how it’s supposed to. It helps aid in the “ride” the four-seam is supposed to have and is what forces a sinker to dive as it’s reaching the plate so the hitter swings over the top of it. Now though, a lot of his pitches are living in the same RPM realm and it’s causing them to bleed into one another as they approach the plate. The sweeping action is less on his sweeper, down from 9.9” of glove-side break to 7.2” of glove-side break, and his cutter is almost running completely flat in 2026 as it has dropped from 0.9” of glove-side break to a measly 0.2”. Without the spin on each pitch, likely due to the increased arm slot, Bello goes from a groundball-inducing sinkerballer to someone who can't aggressively attack the bottom of the zone. This makes every other pitch in his arsenal far less effective as a result. I won’t go so far as to say that the Brayan Bello we got in the second half of 2024 and most of 2025 is gone, but it’s looking like that version of him is very lost right now. Might he benefit from a stint in Worcester to get his mechanics back on track> If the rotation were completely healthy, that’d be an easy enough decision. With Johan Oviedo on the 60-day IL and Sonny Gray on the 15-day IL, though, it’s a bit easier said than done. Once Gray comes back (Alex Cora gave a positive update on him before being ousted), then a much tougher conversation is likely going to happen than what happened on the mound during Bello’s start. Rookie Payton Tolle looked absolutely dominant against the Yankees in his season debut. He was electric and brought an energy to the team that they’ve needed since the season started. Perhaps he (and fellow rookie Connelly Early) can keep pitching well enough to buy Bello a little time to get his A-game back. View full article

In perhaps the most shocking bit of news since his tenure in Boston began, Alex Cora has been fired as the manager of the Red Sox. While it was clear there were some divisions between him and the front office, very few expected the team to part ways with almost the entire coaching staff a mere 27 games into the season. The front office, correctly, promoted Triple-A manager Chad Tracy to interim manager of the Red Sox to help guide the young team, many of whom he has coached as recently as last season, through this brand-new chapter in their lives. What remains to be seen, though, is what happens after the final pitch of the 2026 season has been thrown. With that in mind, let’s look at three potential names who could be next in line to lead the Red Sox from the dugout. 3 Alex Cora Replacement Options for Red Sox Chad Tracy Current Role: Red Sox Interim Manager We’ll start with the most obvious one first. Tracy has already been promoted to the big-league club and in his first game in Baltimore, he showed some new wrinkles to an offense that struggled to get going throughout the start of the season. They were far more active on the basepaths, something he indicated in the post-game presser that he wants to continue, and he allowed youngest Marcelo Mayer to stay in the game against left-handed pitching. Mayer rewarded Tracy’s faith in him with an RBI single to put the team up 5-1. Tracy will likely get the rest of the season as an extended audition for the full-time manager role in 2027. If the team responds well to him, and there’s evidence that may be the case, then he should have the inside track for the position over anyone else. Make no mistake, Tracy has been viewed as the manager in waiting by some for quite some time. There will be a lot of people behind the scenes hoping he succeeds. He likely has his future in his own hands right now. No pressure or anything. David Ross Current Role: ESPN Analyst Rossy is going to be a very popular name fans think of most when they start to ponder who will replace Cora in a full-time role next season. He’s a World Series champion, fan-favorite, and semi-recent MLB manager who was only relieved of his duties because the Cubs' dream candidate became available. Ross also has a couple of different connections to President of Baseball Operations Craig Breslow. The two played for the Red Sox together and Ross was the manager of the Cubs when Breslow was brought into Chicago to head up their pitching department. He went 262-284 overall in Chicago, good for a .480 winning percentage. That won’t inspire a ton of confidence right away, but he’s likely to get an interview simply because of the good PR and his history with Breslow. Rocco Baldelli Current Role: Working in the Dodgers’ Front Office Would Baldelli consider leaving the cushy L.A. lifestyle and make the move to Beantown as the manager of the Red Sox? It’s possible. Baldelli’s tenure in Minnesota ended with a whimper — he was relieved of his duties after posting a 70-92 record in 2025 that can largely be attributed to the Twins having a fire sale at the trade deadline. He posted a 527-505 managerial record during his seven-year tenure with the Twins and for all intents and purposes, his teams apparently enjoyed playing for him. He has one 100+ win season under his belt and likely would be a solid bridge between the front office and the players. He’s seen his way through semi-rebuilds and coached teams that have won their division. While Sox fans likely will look to his last season with the Twins as a sign that he’s maybe not the right man for the job, he’s going to land a job back in the dugout sooner than later. While we likely won’t have any kind of answers until the offseason about who will lead the charge in 2027 for the Boston Red Sox, the three names above likely will garner the most interest early in the process. There has been some speculation that Dustin Pedroia could be viewed as a candidate, especially if the front office is trying to soothe troubled waters with the fans at the end of the season, but that just feels too far-fetched with the current state of the front office. There will likely be other managers who move on from their teams and vice versa as the season unfolds, so expect the potential list of candidates to grow as we march on to the dog days of summer. View full article

Boston Red Sox Weekly Snapshot Record Last Week: 3-4 Runs Scored Last Week: 36 Runs Surrendered Last Week: 32 Standings: 5th in AL East 7.5 GB First Place Transactions: 04/21/26: Red Sox recalled LHP Tyler Samaniego from Worcester Red Sox. 04/21/26: Red Sox placed RHP Sonny Gray on the 15-day injured list. Right hamstring strain. 04/22/26: Red Sox selected the contract of LHP Eduardo Rivera from Worcester Red Sox. 04/22/26: Red Sox optioned RHP Jack Anderson to Worcester Red Sox. 04/22/26: Red Sox transferred 1B Triston Casas from the 10-day injured list to the 60-day injured list. Recovery from left patellar tendon repair. 04/23/26: Red Sox optioned LHP Eduardo Rivera to Worcester Red Sox. 04/23/26: Red Sox recalled LHP Payton Tolle from Worcester Red Sox. Scores: Game 22 (4/20): BOS 8, DET 6 Game 23 (4/21): BOS 0, NYY 4 Game 24 (4/22): BOS 1, NYY 4 Game 25 (4/23): BOS 2, NYY 4 Game 25 (4/24): BOS 3, BAL 10 Game 26 (4/25): BOS 17, BAL 1 Game 27 (4/26): BOS 5, BAL 3 Series Breakdown/Highlights Yankees Series: Not a lot went right during the first homestand against the Yankees. The offense looked listless and failed to show up for the first two games. At least in the third game, things started to seem different. The team recalled Payton Tolle to make the start in the final game of the homestand, pushing back both Brayan Bello and Garrett Crochet’s next scheduled starts, and he lit Fenway Park on fire. He began the game with five straight strikeouts and went on to strikeout 11 on the night while surrendering only one walk and one earned run on a Jazz Chisholm home run. He induced 18 whiffs, thanks in large part to his arsenal of high-velocity fastballs and his power curve He pitched his way into a couple of jams, and then turned right around and pitched his way back out of them. It was an absolute shame that the bullpen let him down in his first game this season, but if he keeps pitching like he did against the Yankees, then he’s going to have ample opportunities to earn wins for the Red Sox. Carlos Narvaez also took Cam Schlittler deep over the Green Monster for his first home run of the season. Orioles Series: This series was completely boring and offered no newsworthy, drastic changes to the coaching staff. Game one started off much like the entire Yankees series—just uninspired baseball from the entire team. Brayan Bello looked like he has for much of 2026—lost on the mound. His frustrations grew with each pitch and he let it show on his face for much of his outing. The Orioles ran out of fireworks due to the amount of home runs they hit in the game. That’s never a good thing when you’re the visiting club. Game two thankfully, sang a much different tune. Garrett Crochet looked every bit of the ace that the Red Sox expected him to be again this season. He tossed 90 pitches over six innings with 57 of them going for strikes. He allowed three hits, zero runs, two walks, seven strikeouts, and had 12 whiffs. He topped out at 97.5 MPH and almost doubled the use of his four-seam fastball, kicking it up to 59% of the time from 28.3% in prior outings. Andruw Monasterio hit a grand slam, Caleb Durbin got his first home run in a Red Sox uniform, and Willson Contreras looked like a true middle-of-the-order slugger. Shockingly, following that contest, the team parted ways with manager Alex Cora, hitting coach Pete Fatse, bench coach Ramon Vazquez, game manager Jason Varitek, and hitting instructor Dillon Lawson. At least they went out with a blowout win. In game three, the Red Sox became demons on the basepaths under the new management style of interim manager Chad Tracy, swiping four bags. Contreras continued his hot streak and Monasterio was again a spark in the lineup. Arguably most impressive, though, was Ceddanne Rafaela throughout the entire series. He’s shown a new plate approach that is paying dividends for him. He’s quickly becoming a star caliber player right in front of our eyes and it’s been incredible to witness. Connelly Early turned in his best start of the season in the series finale, tossing 6 ⅔ innings, allowing four hits, two earned runs, one walk, and four strikeouts. Website Highlights Red Sox Fire Alex Cora, Most of MLB Coaching Staff in Shocking Pivot by Nick John The Red Sox Can’t Hit Baseball’s Most Fundamental Pitch by Jack Lindsay Carlos Narvaez is Getting Eaten Alive by Fastballs, but the Red Sox Shouldn’t Lose Hope by Gottie Chavez Jarren Duran’s Struggles are a Bitter Reminder of the Red Sox’s Poor Roster Construction by Alex Mayes Looking Ahead April 27: Red Sox (Ranger Suarez) @ Blue Jays (Dylan Cease): 7:07 PM EDT April 28: Red Sox (Payton Tolle) @ Blue Jays (Trey Yesavage): 7:07 PM EDT April 29: Red Sox (Brayan Bello) @ Blue Jays (Max Scherzer): 3:07 PM EDT May 1: Astros @ Red Sox: 7:10 PM EDT May 2: Astros @ Red Sox: 4:10 PM EDT May 3: Astros @ Red Sox: 1:35 PM EDT View full article

Story doesn’t have the arm to play short, let alone the arm to play third.

I've been vocal about how Story is the issue with the infield since last season, and it's even more noticeable now. Give me Mayer at short, Sogard at third, and Durbin at second in that scenario. If AC is determined to keep Durbin at third though, then to fix both log jams you would pull Ceddanne in to play second while shifting Mayer to short, where he should be playing every single day. But, Story makes that impossible since he isn't moving off short unless he's dealt or DFA'd, both unlikely, or injured, far more likely.

It’s more that Durbin has a ceiling that can help this team and IKF is washed. Give me the second year player who can grow into a role instead of the journeyman who has limited upside.

The day IKF is DFA’d can’t come quick enough. Durbin has all the makings of a great super utility player, which this team needs. Just makes the price paid for him less stomachable. If Ceddy’s bat stays solid, it’s worth the defensive trade off.

The best path forward for him right now, and probably the team as a whole, is to move Ceddanne to second, put Duran in center, and send down either Mayer or Durbin while the other plays third. I don't love bringing Rafaela out of the outfield but something has to give quickly.

Thanks for clearly not reading the article and making more baseless claims. This piece highlights why the roster construction is holding Duran back, but facts don't matter. Find the Houck pieces you mentioned, because you won't. I've been a big proponent of his since he was called up. Did I document his struggles last season? Absolutely. That's part of it. Not everything is sunshine and rainbows in the world of baseball. But those pieces are built on facts, and the facts showed that he was hurt long before he landed on the IL. I've been a big believer in Bello since he was called up as well, but have already this season documented his struggles. But facts don't fit your narrative.

What a forgettable start to the season it’s been for Jarren Duran. He’s mired in that fabled outfield logjam that is getting worse by the day, and when he is getting at-bats, he’s not producing. Alex Cora has moved him around the lineup multiple times to try and get his bat going, shuffling the 29-year-old from designated hitter, to left field, and then to center. In what may be the most damning piece of evidence that Duran is losing his grip on what little playing time he sees, he was pinch hit for by Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the series finale against the Tigers. Instead of letting Duran attempt to get on base, even with a bunt as Kiner-Falefa was instructed to do, Cora would rather turn to someone who currently holds a .179 batting average over 12 games. That’s not to say Cora's thought process was entirely flawed; as of the series finale against the Yankees, Duran is slashing .194/.266/.306. Still, you’d think that someone Cora trusted to show up in big spots over the last two seasons wouldn’t be sat down for a veteran journeyman who arguably doesn’t have a true role on this team. Dive further into Duran's start, and things start to look even worse. He’s currently in the 18th percentile for expected batting average, the 20th percentile for xwOBA, and the 25th percentile for xSLG. The only red areas on his Savant page are his barrel rate and bat speed. Those are solid indicators of someone who can do damage from the batter's box, but not when everything else presents a glaring red flag. What’s maybe most concerning is the fact that Duran is chasing a ton of pitches this season. He’s currently sitting at a 34.0% chase rate, ranking in the 26th percentile, which is an increase from both his 2025 season, 31.1%, and his 2024 season, 28.1%. As with all things Duran, his 2024 mark was the best of his career. If you judge him solely on the eye test, you’ll see similar troubling trends. He’s swinging out of his shoes at pitches that never touch the plate while staring at fastballs pumped right down the middle. That’s not someone who’s just struggling, that’s someone who is completely lost in his approach. MassLive.com’s Chris Smite spoke to the Red Sox's skipper about Duran’s struggles and Cora had this to say: “…Now he’s not even doing that (walking)… Kind of like slow it down, even a bunt or something. Just get it going. We need him to run the bases, do what he does. Hit one in the gap and stretch it out to a triple or one of those ground balls that get through and get to second and get that energy going. We need it as a group, he needs it as a player.” Those are telling comments from the manager who pulled Duran in a bunt situation later that day. Should Cora have kept Duran in to attempt that bunt scenario, especially when Kiner-Falefa bunted the third strike foul? Possibly, but the fact Cora pulled him shows that the trust he once had in Duran is waning quickly. Unless the team finally trades an outfielder so that Duran, or even Masataka Yoshida, can get more at-bats, there’s no clear answer to the current problem. Duran’s struggles are likely due in large part to the fact that he’s sitting on the bench more often than not at this point in the season. As long as the outfield logjam continues to exist though, it’s not going to get any better. Duran’s All-Star 2024 was followed up by a quiet yet solid 2025. His 2026 season, though, paints a picture of a hitter who is falling further from his peak. His at-bats are unspectacular and the process behind them is even worse. As currently constructed, the Red Sox can't afford to give someone struggling this bad more opportunities... which is exactly what Duran needs to break out of this funk. View full article

We absolutely should have traded Duran two years ago. His rise felt unsustainable then and the front office should have capitalized on his value to make improvements to the team. The next best time to trade him was the deadline last year when, rumor has it, Leo De Vries was on the table. Now that he’s even more stuck in the outfield log jam and not producing, he has zero value.