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Posted

  THU FRI SAT SUN MON TOT
Wyatt Olds 0 0 17 0 30 47
Raymond Burgos 0 0 0 0 0 0
Jovani Morán 0 0 15 10 0 25
Greg Weissert 0 0 13 0 0 13
Garrett Whitlock 13 10 0 0 15 38
Erik Miller 24 0 0 14 0 38
Aroldis Chapman 13 11 0 19 0 43
Alec Gamboa 0 0 0 0 12 12
Verified Member
Posted

The Magic Number is now 9 with 17 games left. I'd say we're in. I was concerned with Toronto's easy schedule remaining but but they lost their last two. 

Community Moderator
Posted
19 minutes ago, Nick said:

The Magic Number is now 9 with 17 games left. I'd say we're in. I was concerned with Toronto's easy schedule remaining but but they lost their last two. 

The teams behind the Sox have been .500 for most of the year. None of them have come close to making any sort of run and don't seem to want to. 

Verified Member
Posted

Off topic but Toronto has to be wondering what's going on with Guerrero Jr.

2021 48-111-1.002

2022 32-97-.819

2023 26-94-.789

2024 30-103-.940

2025 23-84- .848

2026  8-54- .682 14 years, $500M   Age 27-40

Odds are always better to trade the guy when things are going good. Best to trade at trade deadline 4th year of control. (Tolle and Bennet does not qualify yet)

Posted
4 hours ago, Nick said:

The Magic Number is now 9 with 17 games left. I'd say we're in. I was concerned with Toronto's easy schedule remaining but but they lost their last two. 

Small correction, the magic number is 10  Toronto is still in the 4 slot.  163 - 80 Sox wins - 73 Blue Jay losses = 10.  Same math applies to Texas, who also are at 73 losses.

Sox do not hold the tiebreaker over Toronto as the Jays took the season series 9-4.  They have 3 left with the Rangers; Sox took 2 of 3 earlier this year.

To get the magic number, you start with 163, not 162.  If you use 162, two teams that have the same record would both get their magic number to 0 vs each other but neither would have clinched a playoff slot (I’m not getting into tiebreakers). In theory, one would need 1 more win (a winner take all playoff  game in the old days

 

 

Verified Member
Posted
18 minutes ago, illinoisredsox said:

Small correction, the magic number is 10  Toronto is still in the 4 slot.  163 - 80 Sox wins - 73 Blue Jay losses = 10.  Same math applies to Texas, who also are at 73 losses.

Sox do not hold the tiebreaker over Toronto as the Jays took the season series 9-4.  They have 3 left with the Rangers; Sox took 2 of 3 earlier this year.

To get the magic number, you start with 163, not 162.  If you use 162, two teams that have the same record would both get their magic number to 0 vs each other but neither would have clinched a playoff slot (I’m not getting into tiebreakers). In theory, one would need 1 more win (a winner take all playoff  game in the old days

 

 

My only mistake was thinking the Sox owned both tie breakers.

Posted
3 hours ago, Nick said:

Off topic but Toronto has to be wondering what's going on with Guerrero Jr.

2021 48-111-1.002

2022 32-97-.819

2023 26-94-.789

2024 30-103-.940

2025 23-84- .848

2026  8-54- .682 14 years, $500M   Age 27-40

Odds are always better to trade the guy when things are going good. Best to trade at trade deadline 4th year of control. (Tolle and Bennet does not qualify yet)

A couple of things:

The 2021 stats were a mirage.  Because of Canada, they spent a lot of their home games in US minor league fields.  Take away the Sahlen and TD Ballpark results, and Vlad looks like a very good, but not great hitter.  That said, 2025 was one of the best playoff performances ever.

Best time to trade a hitter is halfway thru their free agency contract, or age 32.  The number of under-performing contracts at age 33 is legendary.

Community Moderator
Posted
17 minutes ago, JoeBrady said:

A couple of things:

The 2021 stats were a mirage.  Because of Canada, they spent a lot of their home games in US minor league fields.  Take away the Sahlen and TD Ballpark results, and Vlad looks like a very good, but not great hitter.  That said, 2025 was one of the best playoff performances ever.

Best time to trade a hitter is halfway thru their free agency contract, or age 32.  The number of under-performing contracts at age 33 is legendary.

Also need to take out the bandbox where he really raked in 2021:

10 G, 5 HR, 1491 OPS! 

Goodbye Fenway Park. Should have been torn down in the 90's. 

Posted
6 minutes ago, mvp 78 said:

Also need to take out the bandbox where he really raked in 2021:

10 G, 5 HR, 1491 OPS! 

Goodbye Fenway Park. Should have been torn down in the 90's. 

Have you seen the proposed Fenway II from ‘99 without the monster seats? I’m not sure if I like it or not..:

Verified Member
Posted
2 hours ago, mvp 78 said:

Also need to take out the bandbox where he really raked in 2021:

10 G, 5 HR, 1491 OPS! 

Goodbye Fenway Park. Should have been torn down in the 90's. 

You mean the park that sells out even with crappy teams and that people travel thousands of miles to see, that is familiar to  and loved by many of us for well over a half-century and is instantly recognizable to all baseball fans and is far more interesting than the crappy symmetrical stadia of the 70s and that serves as a model for more recent ones?  That Fenway Park?

Posted

Angels are likely to end up with 100 losses for the first time in their 66 year history.  

I was at the Yankee Angels game last Wednesday and Detmers looked really sharp.

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