Red Sox Preparing Offer To Free Agent Corbin Burnes

[Brock Beauchamp]

Chris Cotillo of Mass Live wrote that the Red Sox are preparing an offer for free-agent starting pitcher Corbin Burnes.

The Sox have had a rough week, losing two bidding wars against New York teams: Juan Soto ended up in Queens while Max Fried ended up in the rival Bronx.

It feels slightly odd that it is being reported Boston is "preparing an offer" this late in the game. Is it their initial offer or a revised offer in the wake of losing two of their targets early in this offseason?

Burnes himself has questions lingering around him. He's the closest thing to an "innings eater" we see in the modern game, pitching at least 167 innings a season every year since 2021. He also peaked in 2021, winning the National League Cy Young award with Milwaukee.

Since that time, Burnes peripherals have been trending down in a problematic way. His strikeout percentage peaked at 30.4% in his award-winning season but has dropped each season since, ending up at only 17.0% in 2024. Burnes is 30 years old through the 2025 season.

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[Brock Beauchamp]

In case you can't tell from this writing, Corbin Burnes is not my favorite free agent candidate.

[Bellhorn04]

I don't think anyone believes this is actually going to happen.

Just more Interest Kings nonsense.

 

[moonslav59]

He was not in my top 5 hopefuls.

I'd prefer him to Bregman, but Bregman was not in my top 10 to start the winter.

 

[Jasonbay44]

I cannot wait to hear how “close” the Red Sox were to signing him and how much interest they had before they got outbid by the Giants or Blue Jays! 

[Duran Is The Man]

reports are now saying Burnes cost will be more than the Sox want to pay and they are exploring the option of reuniting with Pivetta. you can't hate this front office enough.

[moonslav59]

We set our price and won't overpay. Do these guys really think our low offers have a chance?

If they do, they are dumber than dumb.

If they don't, they are con men that are not getting away with it, anymore.

[mvp 78]

7 minutes ago, Duran Is The Man said:

reports are now saying Burnes cost will be more than the Sox want to pay and they are exploring the option of reuniting with Pivetta. you can't hate this front office enough.

Blackpilled on this FO. 

[Flapjack]

Unless they're prepared to extend themselves outside their comfort zone, or what the spreadsheets say will be a good deal, they'll place a familiar 2nd or 3rd for his services. 

I'm almost never for desperate bidding on free agents, this really feels like the one we need to bring home.

[mvp 78]

5 minutes ago, Flapjack said:

Unless they're prepared to extend themselves outside their comfort zone, or what the spreadsheets say will be a good deal, they'll place a familiar 2nd or 3rd for his services. 

I'm almost never for desperate bidding on free agents, this really feels like the one we need to bring home.

Overpay the right guys. If Burnes is the best player available, you overpay him. You don't overpay Pivetta (or similar) to come back. 

[Duran Is The Man]

44 minutes ago, mvp 78 said:

Blackpilled on this FO. 

Henry is either cheap or out of touch with the realities of the economics of today's free agent market. if he doesn't sign Burnes, i hope Fenway is completely devoid of fans until he comes to his senses. 

[moonslav59]

1 hour ago, Flapjack said:

Unless they're prepared to extend themselves outside their comfort zone, or what the spreadsheets say will be a good deal, they'll place a familiar 2nd or 3rd for his services. 

I'm almost never for desperate bidding on free agents, this really feels like the one we need to bring home.

That's how I see it. Pick the guy you really want- maybe factor in removing some you think other will most grossly overpay for (Soto.) Just get it done on one and make a trade for a second guy.

[mvp 78]

1 hour ago, Duran Is The Man said:

Henry is either cheap or out of touch with the realities of the economics of today's free agent market. if he doesn't sign Burnes, i hope Fenway is completely devoid of fans until he comes to his senses. 

Cheap AND out of touch IMO. He needs to be bullied into signing players they way he was bullied into extending Raffy,

[moonslav59]

34 minutes ago, mvp 78 said:

Cheap AND out of touch IMO. He needs to be bullied into signing players they way he was bullied into extending Raffy,

If he doesn't feel the pressure to do something, this winter, he more out of touch than cheap, IMO.

There is bullying in process.

 

[Bellhorn04]

Sometimes we overlook that Henry "only" owns about 40% of FSG.

As I read somewhere else, some teams are run by owners, the Red Sox are now run by a group of shareholders.

[Old Red]

2 hours ago, mvp 78 said:

Overpay the right guys. If Burnes is the best player available, you overpay him. You don't overpay Pivetta (or similar) to come back. 

Mets meeting with Pivetta today.

[moonslav59]

17 minutes ago, Bellhorn04 said:

Sometimes we overlook that Henry "only" owns about 40% of FSG.

As I read somewhere else, some teams are run by owners, the Red Sox are now run by a group of shareholders.

Yes, but they don't hold a shareholders vote for any signings.

[Hugh2]

People are still going to be shocked when Pivetta gets $60 million plus. 

[moonslav59]

3 minutes ago, Hugh2 said:

People are still going to be shocked when Pivetta gets $60 million plus. 

He might get $70M/3. 

[Larry Cook]

3 minutes ago, Hugh2 said:

People are still going to be shocked when Pivetta gets $60 million plus. 

Eovaldi got 75mm. 
 

surely someone will give pivetta 70mm

[moonslav59]

1 minute ago, Larry Cook said:

Eovaldi got 75mm. 
 

surely someone will give pivetta 70mm

Exactly! Nate turns 35, soon. 110 ERA+ in 314 IP the last 2 years.

Nick has a 108 ERA+ since 2023 in 288 IP. Nick turns 32 about the same time Nate turns 35.

Based on this, he should get $78-84M/3.

[Bellhorn04]

51 minutes ago, moonslav59 said:

Exactly! Nate turns 35, soon. 110 ERA+ in 314 IP the last 2 years.

Nick has a 108 ERA+ since 2023 in 288 IP. Nick turns 32 about the same time Nate turns 35.

Based on this, he should get $78-84M/3.

Last 3 years:

Eovaldi 6.1 fWAR

Pivetta 5.4 fWAR

Last 4:

Eovaldi 11.8

Pivatta 7.7

[moonslav59]

25 minutes ago, Bellhorn04 said:

Last 3 years:

Eovaldi 6.1 fWAR

Pivetta 5.4 fWAR

Last 4:

Eovaldi 11.8

Pivatta 7.7

Now, factor in age and projected decline.

[redsoxrules]

Haha this has already turned. 

Blue Jays and Giants appear to be the front runners at the moment 

[moonslav59]

I think Crochet was a pivot from Burnes.

[mvp 78]

4 minutes ago, redsoxrules said:

Haha this has already turned. 

Blue Jays and Giants appear to be the front runners at the moment 

Noted this AM.

[mvp 78]

3 minutes ago, moonslav59 said:

I think Crochet was a pivot from Burnes.

Sox finally get their man!

"It was a pivot to a pivot to a pivot to the guy we wanted all along." 

[vjcsmoke]

6 hours ago, mvp 78 said:

Overpay the right guys. If Burnes is the best player available, you overpay him. You don't overpay Pivetta (or similar) to come back. 

Watch them offer an insulting deal to Burnes, shrug their shoulders and say, we tried.

Considering Fried got 218/8, Burns will cost more. Anywhere from 225-250m is my guess at his final contract total. Red Sox don't have the balls to pony up. As we've seen again and again, they lowball and come back to the fans, Hey at least we tried!

You either Piss in the pot or get off, stop teasing us with these lame leaks that lead to nowhere, Red Sox Front Office. Shameful. Full Throttle is such an Awful Joke now!

[vjcsmoke]

1 hour ago, mvp 78 said:

Sox finally get their man!

"It was a pivot to a pivot to a pivot to the guy we wanted all along." 

Here was the Front office meeting.:

Guys we failed to land Soto but we still need to PRETEND to Try to make fans happy.

OK, what do next?

We could offer 200+ million for proven starting pitchers like Burnes or Fried.

Spend money BAD. Do we have a cheaper answer?

Yes sell off the farm and trade for Crochet.

Oh yes, less spend is GOOD, we do that ONE!

What about Burnes, Fried is gone.

Oh we Pretend to go in for him too, the Fans are Suckers, they will buy our Act!

[Duran Is The Man]

20 minutes ago, vjcsmoke said:

Here was the Front office meeting.:

Guys we failed to land Soto but we still need to PRETEND to Try to make fans happy.

OK, what do next?

We could offer 200+ million for proven starting pitchers like Burnes or Fried.

Spend money BAD. Do we have a cheaper answer?

Yes sell off the farm and trade for Crochet.

Oh yes, less spend is GOOD, we do that ONE!

What about Burnes, Fried is gone.

Oh we Pretend to go in for him too, the Fans are Suckers, they will buy our Act!

and Henry got a boner because didn't have to spend any money getting Crochet.