A Realistic View at 2021: Part III

[Bellhorn04]

tbr>hou

tor>oak

bos>sea

nyy>>laa

bal

 

The Rays being better than Houston is questionable.

 

And Baltimore is so bad they count for 2 bad teams.

 

harmony's analysis of the W-L records tends to support equality or close to it.

[harmony]

I can see how playing the NL West vs the NL East could make a game or two difference- or even more, but in all honesty, do you really think the AL West is equal or better than the AL East?

My analysis was limited to whether the difference in interleague schedules could influence the Wild Card race where "a game or two difference- or even more" could be deciding.

 

The AL West still holds a 77-75 edge this year in head-to-head competition against the AL East. Draw whatever conclusion ... or no conclusion at all.

[Bellhorn04]

My analysis was limited to whether the difference in interleague schedules could influence the Wild Card race where "a game or two difference- or even more" could be deciding.

 

The AL West still holds a 77-75 edge this year in head-to-head competition against the AL East. Draw whatever conclusion ... or no conclusion at all.

 

That in itself isn't a clincher, but when you add the records vs. the AL Central being almost equal, you're on pretty solid ground.

[moonslav59]

My analysis was limited to whether the difference in interleague schedules could influence the Wild Card race where "a game or two difference- or even more" could be deciding.

 

The AL West still holds a 77-75 edge this year in head-to-head competition against the AL East. Draw whatever conclusion ... or no conclusion at all.

 

Why not answer my question?

 

It's just asking for an opinion.

[moonslav59]

The Rays being better than Houston is questionable.

 

 

They are 5.5 games up on HOU and played...

 

19 games vs BOS

13 vs TOR (6 more to go)

16 vs NYY (3 more to go)

7 v SEA

7 v OAK

7 v LAA

7 v TEX

4 v PHI

3 v ATL

3 v NYM

3 v MIA

4 v WSH

 

HOU played...

19 v SEA

15 v TEX (4 more to go)

13 v OAK (6 more to go)

6 v TOR

7 v BOS

6 v NYY

6 v BAL

6 v SDP

4 v LAD

4 v COL

3 v SFG

(to play 3 v ARI)

 

6 or 7 more vs TOR, BOS & NYY seems more than having to play 3-4 gmes vs LAD, SFG, SDP, COL, ARI vs ATL, NYM, PHI, MIA, WSH

Edited September 13, 2021 by moonslav59

[Bellhorn04]

They are 5.5 games up on HOU and played...

 

19 games vs BOS

13 vs TOR

16 vs NYY

4 v PHI

3 v ATL

3 v NYM

3 v MIA

4 v WSH

 

HOU played...

19 v SEA

15 v TEX

13 v OAK

6 v TOR

7 v BOS

6 v NYY

6 v BAL

6 v SDP

4 v LAD

3 v SFG

(to play 3 v ARI)

 

The Rays are 18-1 vs. Baltimore with a +79 run differential.

 

Houston definitely has the tougher schedule, and their run differential is about the same as the Rays.

[MADSTORK]

1 2 and you could argue 0 3

 

When you root for other Teams to lose your toast!

 

Why would you consider calling up Feltman, you have the Peacock! Priceless

[moonslav59]

The Rays are 18-1 vs. Baltimore with a +79 run differential.

 

Houston definitely has the tougher schedule, and their run differential is about the same as the Rays.

 

"Definitely?"

 

So, because TBR raked BAL and HOU went only 3-3 (+8) vs them , that's supposed to be the r=telling match-up?

 

Here's the differences:

 

TBR played these teams 12-13 games more:

TOR

BOS

NYY

BAL

 

HOU played these teams 12-13 games more...

SEA

OAK

LAA

TEX

 

Edge TBR as harder over 30 games

 

Then

 

TBR v HOU

6 MIA v 6 SDP

4 PHI v 4 LAD

4 WSH v 3 SFG

3 NYM v 3 COL

3 ATL v ARI

 

edge HOU, for sure over 20 games.

 

Pretty close, overall.

 

[moonslav59]

1 2 and you could argue 0 3

 

When you root for other Teams to lose you're toast!

 

 

When they play each other, it's guaranteed.

[moonslav59]

What is weird about HOU are these records:

 

2-5 v DET

3-4 v KCR

3-4 v MIN

3-3 v BAL

2-2 v COL

[moonslav59]

36-17 TBR

35-21 TOR

33-21 NYY

29-23 SEA

28-23 HOU

28-26 CWS

25-26 OAK

26-28 BOS

 

Houston has not really been doing all that well.

[moonslav59]

TOR has reached their make or break moment as they are riding about as high as any team could dream of riding.

 

They have won 11 of 12, which includes sweeps of OAK & NYY.

 

They have won 14 of 16.

 

They play 9 of the next 16 vs TBR (6) and NYY (3) sandwiched around 7 vs MIN (3H and 4A).

 

They finish with 3 vs BAL at home, so if they are looking odd before the last series, they should make it.

 

The Yanks have an easier time, now but end with 9 vs BOS, TOR & TBR.

[harmony]

36-17 TBR

35-21 TOR

33-21 NYY

29-23 SEA

28-23 HOU

28-26 CWS

25-26 OAK

26-28 BOS

 

Houston has not really been doing all that well.

FWIW the Astros are 2-1 against the Rays with three games remaining in Houston.

[moonslav59]

FWIW the Astros are 2-1 against the Rays with three games remaining in Houston.

 

Still won't answer.

[dgalehouse]

Seattle blew a golden opportunity by losing a series to the 96 loss Diamondbacks.

[Bellhorn04]

What is weird about HOU are these records:

 

2-5 v DET

3-4 v KCR

3-4 v MIN

3-3 v BAL

2-2 v COL

 

How about these for the Rays?

 

1-6 v SEA

1-2 v DET

3-4 vs TEX

1-3 vs WSN

[dgalehouse]

They say that a baseball season is a marathon , not a sprint. But at this point , it really is just a sprint to the finish line.

[dgalehouse]

How about these for the Rays?

 

1-6 v SEA

1-2 v DET

3-4 vs TEX

1-3 vs WSN

 

The wonderful thing about the millions of stats that are now at our fingertips is that we can always find a stat or a certain time frame that helps to make our case. And vice versa.

[harmony]

Why not answer my question?

 

It's just asking for an opinion.

Want an opinion? A forum member is under no obligation to answer a question from another forum member.

[dgalehouse]

Want an opinion? A forum member is under no obligation to answer a question from another forum member.

 

That is true. The forum is about ideas and opinions. I don't know why some folks always feel like they are entitled to having their questions answered. This is not a courtroom.

[moonslav59]

Want an opinion? A forum member is under no obligation to answer a question from another forum member.

 

Not obligated, of course, but this is a site for expressing opinions, too.

[moonslav59]

That is true. The forum is about ideas and opinions. I don't know why some folks always feel like they are entitled to having their questions answered. This is not a courtroom.

 

Asking several times is not saying I am entitled to an answer.

 

[jad]

They say that a baseball season is a marathon , not a sprint. But at this point , it really is just a sprint to the finish line.

 

Ever tried sprinting to the finish line at the end of a marathon? Maybe the RS started their kick a bit too soon.

[Bellhorn04]

The wonderful thing about the millions of stats that are now at our fingertips is that we can always find a stat or a certain time frame that helps to make our case. And vice versa.

 

Today I'm actually helping harmony's case.

[Bellhorn04]

Ever tried sprinting to the finish line at the end of a marathon? Maybe the RS started their kick a bit too soon.

 

Well, look at this way, if we didn't have such a great first half, we'd be toast now.

[harmony]

Ever tried sprinting to the finish line at the end of a marathon? Maybe the RS started their kick a bit too soon.

Yes.

 

The final 200 yards were always at a faster pace than the previous six miles.

[harmony]

Today I'm actually helping harmony's case.

Who would've thought?

[moonslav59]

Next year the ALE plays the NLC and the ALW plays the NLE.

 

Should be a more balanced schedule between the ALE and ALW.

[harmony]

The five AL West teams also have the disadvantage of extensive travel, occupying five of the top seven slots in 2021 travel miles:

 

https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/visuals/map

 

But what's annoying are the frequent makeup games as a result of rainouts in the East and the Midwest. East and Central teams almost never need to squeeze in a makeup game on the West Coast; West teams almost always need to squeeze in a makeup league games on the road.

 

This year's weather has been particularly bad but during a normal baseball season Seattle receives only a fraction of the precipitation of Boston or New York.

[notin]

The five AL West teams also have the disadvantage of extensive travel, occupying five of the top seven slots in 2021 travel miles:

 

https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/visuals/map

 

But what's annoying are the frequent makeup games as a result of rainouts in the East and the Midwest. East and Central teams almost never need to squeeze in a makeup game on the West Coast; West teams almost always need to squeeze in a makeup league games on the road.

 

This year's weather has been particularly bad but during a normal baseball season Seattle receives only a fraction of the precipitation of Boston or New York.

 

That’s a pretty weak thing for the Mariners to complain about. They knew where Seattle was when they put the team there…