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JoeBrady

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Everything posted by JoeBrady

  1. JoeBrady
    It completely depends on circumstances. If we re-sign Bregman, then we'll have Romy/Mayer splitting some time, which means less lefties for Mayer. But if we sign Bichette or Kim, then Mayer starts at 3rd and plays every game.
  2. JoeBrady
    A walk is almost never a bad outcome. IMO, the two most important attributes for a hitter are: 1-Never swing at a ball. 2-If you're ahead in the count, don't swing at strikes you can't hit. I don't know how often I see a hitter leaning over to swing at a 1-0 ball low and outside. Even if it's a strike, so what?
  3. JoeBrady
    That cuts both ways. I've seen way too many guys swing at a ball two inches off the plate. Probably a lot more guys swinging at obvious balls than obvious strikes.
  4. JoeBrady
    Hamilton has some of the best grades in BB at 2nd, while Sogard, in limited innings at 2nd, grades out negatively.
  5. JoeBrady
    I wanted Bieber last year. I'd have gone $70M/4, and still would. I have no idea why he accepted the option, unless something is wrong with his arm.
  6. JoeBrady
    So we're trying to upgrade 1B and DH, and 2 of the top 12 are the guys we are trying to replace?
  7. JoeBrady
    Criswell had one start last year. We have both the money and prospects to make this a very good rotation. I don't want to have to get lucky at 40% of my rotation spots. Heck, even Bello is not quite a lock.
  8. JoeBrady
    is using two guys that didn't pitch in 2025 any better than starting two rookies? Our problems last year weren't the hitting nor the top of our rotation. It was the #4 thru #15 guys that started 76 games, went 15-26 with an ERA of 5.18. I can live with a question mark at #5, but not at #4 & #5.
  9. JoeBrady
    All of Casas' value will be based on health. You have a lot of mid-tier teams like Pitt, Miami, Texas, Mil, AZ, and maybe 1-2 more teams that will be looking for minimum-salary equivalents at 1B, and maybe more looking for cheap DHs. Of course they will be looking at his injury history, but every single one of them will also be thinking about his 126 OPS+ from 2022-2024, with three control years left. If we get into a Duran/Campbell, etc. for #1/#2 SP situation, for example, and the other team wants more, Casas will add real value. But mostly if he looks like he's coming back sometime in April.
  10. JoeBrady
    His .907 at the Fens includes a .394 BABIP. Think more along the lines of 24 HRs and a .290. Good, but not great. And his stats at Fenway over the past four years are 1 HR in 90 ABs with a .300 average. He's more line drive than FB HR type hitter. I doubt he does anything special at Fenway,
  11. JoeBrady
    If you ae going to overpay $6M a year, then you are adding at least $30M to his contract. You might as well add a year at a cheaper price. You'd be better off with BA's offer of $240M/8.
  12. JoeBrady
    You could be right. But if we add a #2, like Lodolo, then we have 3 SPs, and will have to add 2 more from your list. I like the other guys, but if you choose Early & Tolle, as good as their pedigree is, you're still starting two rookies.
  13. JoeBrady
    My thinking is still that, if we finished 6th out of 30 in road runs scored, and bring back the same team, we'll theoretically be 6th in scoring again.
  14. JoeBrady
    Fair enough. I'd like to consider him as a fallback position. Just for the sake of debate, say we signed Bregman, Alonso and Ranger. If that took our entire allowance, and we had to platoon Gonzo/Hamilton at 2nd, I'd be fine with that.
  15. JoeBrady
    My figuring is that we were 9th in road OPS and 6th in road RS last year. That makes us a good scoring team. If we replace Bregman's bat, and add a full year of Casas, Mayer, and Anthony, we should be better than last year. We can do better on offense, but if we add a Bregman-level bat, a #2 SP, and another quality SP, we'll stay under the cap, and should be a 90+ win team.
  16. JoeBrady
    Not the same lineup that slumped in September. We lost Abreu, Anthony, Casas, Mayer, and Bregman may or may not have been suffering lingering effects of his injury. And we still ranked 10th in OPS over the final 28 days.
  17. JoeBrady
    Painter is twice the size of Sale. I get the idea that you want legit strong guys on the mound, but it is not an iron-clad rule.
  18. JoeBrady
    Fair enough, but imo, people are giving up on Hamilton too quickly. A lot of his overall .590 was due to his very low .234 BABIP. But he still managed a 1.1 bWAR in only 177 ABs.
  19. JoeBrady
    After I posted, I realized that I probably should've stipulated that Ranger was my example, not Eugenio. IRT to Campbell, my concern is on position, not talent. He's never going to be an OFer or a 2B for us. And TBH, yeah, slightly concerned about his hitting. If we can package Campbell + Abreu or Duran, we can acquire some real good pitching, and still not be at all concerned about the OF.
  20. JoeBrady
    He had 6 HR?s in 158 ABs v righties with a 41/13 K/W. With his speed, that will play up. Just for fun, compare these two sets of numbers. Player A 311 ABs, 5 HRs, 103/18 K/W Player B 471 ABs 14 HRs, 127/35 K/W One is the first two seasons of Hamilton and one is the first two seasons of Duran.
  21. JoeBrady
    FWIW, before the TJS, I considered Painter the 2nd best pitching prospect behind Skenes, and not that far behind Skenes either.
  22. JoeBrady
    It's only 3 seasons according to BR. If this was vintage Painter, I probably make that move. Would you trade Abreu for Bubba Chandler? Chase Burns? I'd make either of those moves.
  23. JoeBrady
    He doesn't block anyone. We have 4 outfielders that should never be considered DH's. Trade one for pitching and the OF/DH is set.
  24. JoeBrady
    It's be $57M when they non-tender Lowe. If they wrap up Campbell in a trade for an SP, they'll have $64M. That would be more than enough for Alonso + Suarez plus a couple of minor pieces.
  25. JoeBrady
    I said at the time that this was the right price. And even at that price, I liked it because I liked Bogaerts, not because I thought it was a good deal.
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