JoeBrady
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Everything posted by JoeBrady
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I'm not a fan of the sacrifice, but if you don't sac the #9 hitter, with a guy on 1st, -0- outs, and a 0-0 game, then you will never sacrifice.
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Because Mayer is a platoon player, and the players that he platoons with are better at 2nd.
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A Realistic Look at the 2026 Red Sox: Part I
JoeBrady replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
I think there is hope for any of our bats to turn it around. Gut of the top infield FAs, which contract would you want: Bichette -0.3 bWAR .581 OPS Bregman 0.6 with a .736 Alonso 0.4 with a .685 Suarez -0.1 with a .663 These guys wouldn't move the needle compared to how poorly our own guys have done. -
A Realistic Look at the 2026 Red Sox: Part I
JoeBrady replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
My point being is that it is not the outsiders who have made the negative difference. If Narvaez, Story, Duran and Anthony were hitting like they should, no one would even notice Durbin. The same with Crochet and Bello. -
If SF could take it back, I'm fairly sure they would. Devers is notoriously streaky, but in his last 19 games, he has an awful, awful 28/2 K/W with 1 HR. 2nd worse fWAR right now, out of 182 qualified.
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If you are referring to IKF, it was a great bunt. Alonso made an excellent play to get the lead runner, or it would be 1st & 2nd with -0- outs.
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Devers was almost always going to look good for a couple of years. But he's only had 1.0 bWAR in 2/3 of a season.
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Meidroth has a 0.0 bWAR this year, and Monty is in AA.
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He started Hamilton as a platoon with Romy. That made perfect sense.
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Bello was #53 in fWAR for SPs from 2023-2025.
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That was the only good move by Bobby Valentine. He allowed Lester to be embarrassed by TO. He pitched much better after that.
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With Anthony out, it is the correct lineup.
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I told a lot of folks not to give up on Hammy. He is a high-end utility. Compare Hammy and Ceddanne on a per AB basis in 2024-25, and they are very similar players. Ceddanne with the better glove and Hammy with the great speed.
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Having Bregman instead of Suarez adds 0.2 bWAR. I doubt Mayer + Bello gets you Marte. And Marte's 0.4 doesn't make a huge difference. Arias had 46 weak AA ABs before this season. There is no way we were going to replace Story with a guy barely out of A+. H&H are okay backup guys, but haven't done anything special with Mil.
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I like the lineup tonight.
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The .596 OPS isn't as MVP-ish as it seems. But he did a good job for us, so no reason to not expect a certain level of play. He had a 3.2 bWAR/162 games over the past two years.
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The Phillies are suffering in every possible way. But Castellanos and Walker are both gone, so maybe better times are a'coming.
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Tong + Baty for Duran.
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I love Wood's swing, but he has huge swing-and-miss issues. He spent the last three months of 2025 hitting almost nothing. I wouldn't buy high based on a 17-game hot streak.
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I was just thinking about that. Most teams don't have a L/L platoon, bit given the numbers, I think I can make a case for Duran taking every AB v righties and Yoshida taking every AB against lefties. Part of the issue is that e currently have no righties but Ceddanne that have hit lefties. The numbers are too small to bother with, but 4 of our top 5 OPS against lefties, are lefty hitters. That makes any platoon problematic.
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I like Monasterio, but he is a #26 UIF, not a top of the lineup hitter.
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Devers is -2 DRS in 125 IPs.
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On the bright side, we aren't being subject to long-term torture. These are pretty quick affairs. And we aren't suffering the pain of a 5-4 loss in the 9th inning.
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I agree. If we had a lefty-killer, then I'd platoon (occasionally). But I'd rather see Mayer v a lefty than IKF.
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Durbin is +0.1 and Paredes is +0.1. The improvement of 0.0 is not as important as it looks.
