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JoeBrady

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Everything posted by JoeBrady

  1. JoeBrady
    I agree with that. R&D is the cornerstone for every business. But it feels like we've been doing a pretty good job of that recently.
  2. JoeBrady
    I feel like Eddie Murphy in Trading Places. I have you down for one signature bet and you are taking the under at 89.5.
  3. JoeBrady
    Part of the bet, and part of the fun is that you are betting on what you think the RS will do. The folks that think the RS won't make a move should happily take the under 89.5.
  4. JoeBrady
    Always upgrade your weakest position with the best player you can find. That's your best marginal gain.
  5. JoeBrady
    It's tough to get those off-season trades. Most teams have a shot, so they won't like to give up veterans. There are usually FAs out there to meet a given need, so we have to compete against that. I think a ST injury or two might loosen that up.
  6. JoeBrady
    I'm open to betting on which of my paint drips hits the carpet first, so I'm in. Just for fun, I'm setting the under/over for 2026 at a bold 89.5, and I am taking the over. Anyone taking the other side?
  7. JoeBrady
    They're really good at that.
  8. JoeBrady
    I didn't understand that move at all.
  9. JoeBrady
    While acknowledging that you are more likely to be correct, $125M/5 is not onerous and is a good fit. Assuming that KC doesn't return to the IF, and that Arias replaces Story at the end of his contract, we don't really have a lot of options knocking at the infield door. I don't expect that, even four years from now, that anyone will be complaining that Bregman's $25M is blocking anyone good.
  10. JoeBrady
    What they've done in the past was to assess where they are in the pennant race at the deadline and adding to some degree based on our chances. What I'd like is to spend to the $269M and see where we are at the deadline.
  11. JoeBrady
    It's arbitration. One-year contracts are the norm.
  12. JoeBrady
    That stuff drives me crazy.. I liked the May move, even if it didn't work out. But the key move would've been Naylor. Our farm could've easily have matched the Mariner offer, and the salary and the tax on Naylor's salary would've been another $4.3-4.4M. And 1B was a match made in heaven.
  13. JoeBrady
    I'd bet we make the playoffs whether or not we sign Bregman. I wouldn't think twice about it. Bregman is the difference between backing in and being in the contention for 1st place. Having a #2 is the difference between a first-round exit, and a serious contender for the WS.
  14. JoeBrady
    I have no problem agreeing with that. Our spending, and virtually everyone else's, should be tailored to their windows. That said, will signing Bregman make one iota of a difference to this discussion?
  15. JoeBrady
    It's fairly straightforward and simple. If we make no further moves, and only spend $239M, you will be 100% right. And you can hound me on this the entire season. And if we sign Bregman (or a similar move) and spend to the $263,999,999, then I'll be right.
  16. JoeBrady
    Such a stupid thing to say. I am 100% on-board with JH spending up to the second tier. But I am a wimp simply because I recognize that locking in someone like RA is a smart move? Pure, unadulterated nonsense, and you know it.
  17. JoeBrady
    I wasn't jumping for joy. I accepted the fact that he wanted to leave, as his his right. Don't make stuff up to make a point.
  18. JoeBrady
    The idea being that we can have RA, AND, since we will not being paying him $40M, we can have someone else very good.
  19. JoeBrady
    Duran. Unless we trade him for a #2 SP.
  20. JoeBrady
    But only for now. I assume that Ceddane's and Anthony's trade value's are much higher due to the long-term contracts. If KC reverts to his top-prospect status with a .800 OPS, then his value will have risen. Same with every contract.
  21. JoeBrady
    Let me see if I phrase this thru more minutia. The difference between the cash payroll and CBT payroll, for 2026, is ~ $57M. The chief components of this, according to Cots are: Gray $10M (I assume the 2027 buyout?) Crochet $3.5M Bello $3M Anthony $13.6M Campbell $5M Ceddanne $4M Player Benefits $18M I suggest ignoring Gray's $10M, mostly because I don't know the implications, and it's only one year. And ignoring the player benefits, since I assume every team will have the identical difference. That leaves us with $29M, attributable entirely to the fact that we chose to pay a player next year instead of this year. If JH decided to cut a check for $29M to buy treasuries, would he not be 'spending' that $29M?
  22. JoeBrady
    But had he extended them early, wouldn't he be accused of being stingy, just like he is now with Anthony and Ceddanne?
  23. JoeBrady
    "this year" is the key phrase. If we sacrificed Anthony & Ceddanne 5 years from now, just so we could have a better record for the next 2-3 years, would that be better? IMO, I prefer to lock in the young kids. It almost always makes more sense.
  24. JoeBrady
    Then look at it another way. Every year, we inherit some deferred salary, and every year we defer some salary. If our average spend is $244M, then that is what our spend is. Trying to say JH is stingy because we deferred some salary for CBT purposes, or that he is a big spender because we inherited some deferred salaries, makes no sense.
  25. JoeBrady
    I'm going with the eye test on this one. I think he has a good swing, with good instincts using the whole field. He looks like Betts to me, except he can't field, but he is athletic enough to adapt. His winter results were a mixed bag. Nice K/W, but walks disappear in the pros. And he had -0- HRs. That could simply be our scouts refining his approach. But his AAA results were awful. A 19/6 K/W in September with 1 HR? Good weight is undefined to me. Probably good, but maybe not. So I see two questions. The first devolved from questioning who would replace Yoshi, if Duran got traded. I don't see any chance Campbell would do the job. We'd probably lose at least 40 OPS points. Which leads me to my second question. What is KC's best long-term development? If we replaced Yoshi's projected .767 with some 25 year old AAAA .725, I could be talked into it. But IMVHO, Campbell needs a full year of AAA. He was a top-10 prospect less than a year ago. Trying to promote him to replace Yoshi would be irresponsible.
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