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JoeBrady

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Everything posted by JoeBrady

  1. They wouldn't, but what's the point of being a 'journalist' if you don't ask tough questions. Do we even know if the NTC is a hard and fast rule, or just a preference?
  2. It's neither. The best approach, imo, is to attain the most WAR for the money available. Schwarber + Alonso project to ~6.2 fWAR for $61M. Suarez, Contreras, Gray & Durbin project to 11 fWAR for $65M, plus some minor prospects.
  3. Gotta disagree. Just impo, I'd rather be chasing WSCs than WC slots. We should've gone all-in last year, but in 2022-2024, I'd have been selling hard. JDM, Eovaldi, Pivetta, TON, etc., would've all gotten decent prospects (top-150).
  4. Fred thinks Suarez, Contreras, Gray & Durbin are 'dregs'. Some of his utterances are there merely to annoy.
  5. That's not quite right. In 2020, we were out of it. In 2021, we added Schwarber In 2022-2024, while we weren't out of it, imho, it would've made no sense to give up prospects for a shot at the WC and a likely early exit. Even in 2025, we added May. It looked like a good for his first three starts before going south. IMO, Naylor was the obvious target, and that was a mistake.
  6. He's a one-string banjo. He'd rather get an expensive player than a good player. And he'd rather get a HR hitter than a well-rounded one.
  7. The funny part is, while I know the name, I had no idea who Gaspar was. Now we have posters who think we picked Gaspar over Alonso & Bregman.
  8. IMHO, Durbin will be the better value than Marte, and Neto was always just a fantasy. If LAA had any common sense whatsoever, they would offer him a lifetime contract.
  9. FWIW, I am more concerned about his declining EV. At his age, that seems correctable.
  10. It's overrated. Here are the #3, 4, 5, 6 & 7 scoring teams. Mil 29 Tor 32 Cubs 34 Bos 25 DBacks 36 These teams aren't depending on a 40-HR guy to score.
  11. This is like the 'full throttle' statement. If I was part of the press corp, my first question would've been "what does that even mean? What's the number? I assume you have a budget, so what's the number? Of if you don't have an exact number, what is the worst-case number? What's the range?" I'd have pounded him until he admitted that they had no spending plan, which they didn't.
  12. I've been saying this for years. Some people should never talk. Ever. He might not be dumb, but he feels compelled to answer questions that don't have pat answers, and he talks in sound bites. The easy, non-PC answer is that everyone is replaceable. A more PC answer is that they have Duran, Yoshida, and Casas to take his place. Simply say what 90% of the fans already know. Devers is an excellent hitter who is a DH. We can start Duran in his place, be just as effective given Duran's speed, and spend the $32M elsewhere.
  13. What is a fun(ny) exercise is to add up the rankings for RS and RA for each team. It's surprising how often a team can be 3rd in one category, but 13th in another, and still do very well.
  14. I don't always agree with Pete, but no one works harder and he has some understanding of the game.
  15. I think of it differently. Don't swing at anything borderline until you have two strikes. Until you have 2 strikes, swing hard at anything you like. This one drives me crazy, but at 1-0, 2-0, 2-1, 3-0, and 3-1, don't swing at a pitch you cannot drive. Every single game, often with Story, I'm thinking to myself, "what did you think you were going to do with that pitch? The upside is a swing-and-miss, and the downside is a ground-out to 2nd.' If you aren't going to strike out, then give the pitcher his due, and hope for an easier pitch next time. The rest is mostly noise. Taking strike 3 right down the middle is an issue. But if the count is 2-2, and the pitch is tough and on the border, I have no problem taking the pitch. But the bottom line for me is, pitchers don't usually strike the hitter out. The hitter strikes themselves out. The strike zone is not that large. If you swing at nothing but strikes, you won't strike out that often.
  16. I wouldn't give up anything. He's owed $150M+. Assuming he ages normally, he'll have to be about the best player in BB over the next three years in order to earn his salary.
  17. If walking Judge was a net negative for the NYY, wouldn't other teams walk him every PA?
  18. I've already provided Fred with the numbers. They should be an above-average scoring team. I have them at 102.4 wRC+.
  19. I don't consider it particularly close. Schwarber + Alonso likely won't be close to the WAR added by Contreras + Durbin + Suarez + Gray.
  20. That was the old format.
  21. Cool! So Fred is predicting us to finish 1st!
  22. You already admitted they should win enough games to make the playoffs. After that, it is a crap shoot.
  23. But you do think that they will win 90. The difference between us is de minimis.
  24. Absolutely yes.
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