JoeBrady
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Everything posted by JoeBrady
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A Realistic View at the 2026 Red Sox Part II
JoeBrady replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Since the ASB, which is a decent-sized sample, we are 4th in OPS, 6th in HRs, 5th in runs, and 4th/6th in the OBP/SLG split. If we add Arozarena to replace Yoshida, it doesn't feel like the marginal offensive gain is worth the contract. -
A Realistic View at the 2026 Red Sox Part II
JoeBrady replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
I think we're okay without any of them. But if we can't find an off-ramp, I'd run out the clock and wait for a 2028 position, as needed. That said, if Gray leaves, my preference would be to Forego any marginal improvements and go after Skubal. Go with all our current position players, and SPs, and BP, and just add Skubal. -
A Realistic View at the 2026 Red Sox Part II
JoeBrady replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
We'll need an SP more than anything else. I'd put a very steep offer out there for Skubal. Make the LAD or NY teams feel at least a little pain. But I'd be fine just keeping Gray. -
All I read was that the Harrison/Durbin trade was questionable. If one thinks a trade of a 0.4 bWAR player, for a 4.5 bWAR is questionable, then every trade made by every GM this year, is questionable. Or, from a slightly different perspective, has any trade in MLB this year been more lop-sided in our favor? If it is the most lop-sided trade in baseball, then by definition, it cannot be questionable.
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I never meant to imply that playoffs are completely random. The better team will win most of the time. But no matter how good a team is, one-run games are usually a coinflip.
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But my point is that Mead will be our starting 2B with 4 years of control. That's what the post was about.
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It feels like we had more stars in the '70s, with less results.
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What might also be interesting is if both teams have nothing to play for. If Sunday's game is a legit rainout, they can cancel the game on Saturday and fly to NY one day earlier, with one day of additional rest.
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Off-topic, but one of the things I'd like to see in the next CBA is a minimum salary and service time for a call-up up. Even if you are called up for a week, you get one month of major league pay and one month of service time. Both sides can afford to chip in a couple of nickels and dimes to reward the quad-A and career minor leaguers.
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To take my reply one step further, I think the RS winning will be more random.
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In this case, my excuse will be that they NYY, in a three-game series, at home, are a better team. I think we're close overall, but Schlitter-Fried-Cole/Rodon are better than Gray-Tolle-Suarez. In fact, in a 3-game series, I think the NYY are the best team in BB. TBH, I think we'll need to catch a break to win.
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My guess is that the RS have a plan for every pitch count from now until the playoffs. What day they are pitching to stay warm but relaxed.
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Yeah, that 1.067 OPS that Jones is sporting is really dragging us down.
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Nice camera work on both shots.
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WTH? Just imho, we only had Bregman for one year. Too many treat him like he was a l/t player. But rating the Durbin/Harrison trade as questionable is beyond obtuse. It's early, and Harrison could still be quite good. But obtaining a 4.5 bWAR player for a 0.4 bWAR player is unbelievably good. And that doesn't include one extra year of control plus that fact that we are deeper in SPs than in IFs.
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I do like the occasional serious deep-dive. So off the top of my head: Depression cannot be stopped. You can medicate, and take care of your health, and it helps. But I think it always resides in there someplace. My old pinochle partner was a great guy, but the more his meds helped, the more he felt like he didn't need them. An athlete's job is not to entertain in the way a comedian of musician entertains. Get on base, steal, catch the ball. Wins are the by-product of that, and that will entertain me. I'm more on the commodity/robot side of the equation, since my strength is in accounting software, but I'd like to think I can make everyone else's job easier by shaving away 10% of the side of work. I like that he talks about it. At my next annual physical, I'm going to ask my PCP about my lingering ADD and check to see if I need TRT. /end of blahblahblahblah/
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Not sure if anyone else brought it up, but I believe you missed Mead. I'm not looking past 2026, but it is phenomenal that we know almost every key player on the 2027 team.
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You're a funny guy Sully, I like you. That's why I'm going to kill you last.
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I've lived a long time with some of the biggest names being on the RS, but with -0- WSC. And I'd also question the relativity of a 'big name'. Are Alonso & Bregman big names (10 combined bWAR), but Contreras & Durbin not (9.1 bWAR)?
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Ideally, for 2027, I'd go for full-on flexibility and DH JJ/Gaspar/White for minimum wage, and move on from Duran and Yoshida. It makes the team very slightly worse, but gives Breslow some serious allowance to spend for an SP (Gray) and good RP.
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I don't disagree, but the budget will start off as a bucket from which can draw from. The more full the bucket is, the more we can budget for additions. I'm an agnostic on Duran at this point, but $9M is a serious consideration.
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FWIW, we should've beaten them last year. We outplayed them in game 2, but lost. That's the nature of one-run games.
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They've won two years in a row. And they went 2-0 in one-run games in the 2025 WS. It's like the WSOP. It doesn't matter how good you are; you have to get lucky to win.
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Good moves. Both well deserved.
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I've had a couple. They're like magic. But the disclaimer was 'no heavy metal'.
