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JoeBrady

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Everything posted by JoeBrady

  1. The only opening I see is at DH. And even at DH, we have Yoshida and Duran. Even at DH, the baseline will be Yoshida's 111 OPS+.
  2. The arb money might only be $1M than minimum wage. And most teams don't have quality players at the #40 slot. If I were the Rox, LAA, or the Nats, I'd offer him $1.5M plus games-played bonuses. You probably show a profit if you are right just 10% of the time. That said, the RS don't have the luxury of open spaces. But at the cost of $1.5M and let's say, Cheng's slot, I'd gamble on Casas.
  3. How is an attempt to steal a game, as opposed to starting Gray?
  4. From my interpretation of MLB-R, Aroz might be $66M/3+.
  5. That remains to be seen. I recall seeing similar charts for the Panda. But more importantly, where
  6. Good point, and makes a lot of sense.
  7. Well, that's when they should've canceled it. Just the idea of both teams paying for an extra team flight, hotels, etc., is odd. Same with the NYY. It was an automatic rainout. They still have to pay vendors, guards, ticket guys, lights, etc. I haven't seen any pictures, but I wouldn't be surprised if there weren't more employees there than fans.
  8. Every bad team in BB will line up to sign him. Some might even gamble on giving him a spot on the 26.
  9. This year. But Duran had a 4.9 bWAR/162 prior to this season. FG projected him for a 3.8 in 2026. Aroz was projected to be 2.4. While it could be that Duran is washed up at age 30, and Aroz will continue to blossom at age 32, my abacus suggests otherwise.
  10. I always say yes, but if I had to throw out a couple of random things: How badly does Gray want to beat the NYY in NY? As good as the NYY rotation is, Gray, Tolle and Suarez have a 2.13, 1.53, and a 1.09 ERA is September. When you're the underdog, games that might be 2-1 or 3-2 are very winnable. Even without Tyron, the BP is still pretty good. I'm hoping that Tracy is not shy about using Whitlock for two innings. He's been fairly conservative with his usage, but Whitlock regularly went 2+ innings when he broke in.
  11. Alonso + Devers = 8.5 bWAR Contreras + Durbin = 9.0 bWAR, plus $45M to spend on Gray + Suarez. I agree, great moves, but is it enough to make Breslow Executive of the Year?
  12. There were his clever nicknames for Theo (InEpstein) & Tito (Francoma), both 1st ballot HOFers.
  13. You prefer that over: "Lester is a #5" "The 2007 Red Sox are the biggest chokers in history"
  14. Aroz wouldn't make sense for us with our configuration. Re-signing Gray or adding Skubal should be our priority.
  15. I don't like it, but the NYY was meaningless and should've been canceled on Saturday. Does anyone know if the Cubs game had any bearing on the playoffs? Had they lost, wouldn't they still have the H2H tie-breaker over the Phillies?
  16. But more than just a #4. He's a very capable starter, just in case someone goes down. This isn't like JJ, Refsnyder, etc. at #4. And he could be a DH.
  17. I assume that Duran DH's. It makes it easier to PH.
  18. I wouldn't trade him because there is a decent chance he has positive regression. But at a certain level, no employee gets any sympathy. $1M salaries in the real world (and probably a lot lower), you either perform or you leave. FWIW, I've been tracking him since 7/4, since it was one of those rare 2-walk games. He has a .670 OPS with a .268 BABIP. It's 'okay', if not more than occasionally frustrating.
  19. Random, but not absolutely random.
  20. If we had Crochet, would we have not won 92?
  21. Not really. I think/thought that 2022-2024 were fairly clear selling opportunities. And I was disappointed that we didn't pursue Naylor at the trade deadline last year. But I like most of Breslow's moves over the past two years. Don't confuse preferring pitching over hitting as good or bad. Those are mostly personal preferences. If you want my personal gripes, I didn't like the Newsome drop or Bernadino trade. Both useful lefties that were/are performing well. I honestly wasn't crazy about adding Bregman. The $$$ were okay, but the draft choice and the player options made the cost seem excessive to me. Every one of the biggest moves have worked out, though I'd be glad to discuss them.
  22. I predicted 92 wins. Our Py W/L is 89.5. Given the injuries, I'd say that was ballpark correct.
  23. We swept the LAD 3-3 in LA. We got swept by MN 3-3 at home.
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