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JoeBrady

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Everything posted by JoeBrady

  1. JoeBrady
    Already acknowledged. Story is better, and Bogaerts is more reliable.
  2. JoeBrady
    Not in the comparison I just made.
  3. JoeBrady
    If that's the main argument, it is more than enough reason to pass on him. Unless you think has some Vulcan mind control thing going on, just hire the best hitting coach you can find.
  4. JoeBrady
    Just cherry-picking for the folks that think Bogaerts is way better, Story has historically been better. Bogaerts has historically been much healthier. Even for your selection, Story has a 3.3 bWAR/162 (per B-R) and Bogaerts has a 3.0. Other than Story diving for a GB, he'd have had a higher total bWAR.
  5. JoeBrady
    Just circling back on this, I wish that some of the fans tried to apply some logic to it. When Story goes cold, there is every possibility he is in permanent decline. When it happens to Duran, he is far too young to have simply lost his skills.
  6. JoeBrady
    There is a portion of every fan base that will write off players after a 0-4 day. The RSN has more of them, but every team has some.
  7. JoeBrady
    I don't mind players making outs, but when the catcher has to slide to block it from being a wild pitch, I get a little irked.
  8. JoeBrady
    Answer-Spring Training Alex, I'll go all-in on 'Which period of time are players in 'the best shape of their life'?
  9. JoeBrady
    I could make a WS favorite from the number of guys that have started slow. I could make a WS favorite from the number of guys that disappeared in the 2nd half of 2025. That's the nature of BB.
  10. JoeBrady
    During the first year of any l/t contract, that's usually true. In the last year of the contract, it is seldom true. If Contreras had Bregman's numbers, would anyone be happy with the trade?
  11. JoeBrady
    I agree. The historical difference between the two is less than people think. Story has a much, much higher bWAR/650 PAs than Bogaerts, but Bogaerts has missed far fewer games.
  12. JoeBrady
    A lot of that depth was overrated. The list included Sandoval, Houck and Crawford, who were far from sure things.
  13. JoeBrady
    Story 2024-2026 4.7 bWAR Bogaerts 2024-2026 4.1 bWAR
  14. JoeBrady
    My philosophy is that you have to earn your payback early, since you are unlikely get anything later. Since he joined the Padres, he is among the lowest ranked SS irt to fielding. And he has a 104 OPS+. Even disregarding the fact that they have to pay him until he is 40, it still is a weak contract.
  15. JoeBrady
    That's fine. My wagers are always directed to charities, but no biggie.
  16. JoeBrady
    I not only agree 100%, I cannot even consider the possibility that the RS don't agree 100%. This isn't like 2022-2024, when our chances were slim, even assuming we'd make the playoffs. Even last year, when I'd have traded for Naylor, we still had poor odds of playoff success with Crochet being our only SP. Assuming Crochet comes back, e might have the best pitching in BB. Over the past 28 days, which is a decent sample size, Suarez, Gray, Tolle and Early have a 2.30 ERA, and Chapman, Whitlock, and Slaten have a 0.41 ERA.
  17. JoeBrady
    I'm thinking an actual wager where the odds are the equivalent of us having a 25% chance. I bet that we make the playoffs with the appropriate odds.
  18. JoeBrady
    Bregman is on pace for 12.7 HRs/600 ABs.
  19. JoeBrady
    You gotta get a +1 for that one.
  20. JoeBrady
    It would be two separate wagers. 25% on this year, and 33% in 2027.
  21. JoeBrady
    On the first part, we can use wRC+ by FG.
  22. JoeBrady
    Deleted-Duplicate
  23. JoeBrady
    With a little research, I can probably find another 1000 or so. I'll start with Story, and now I'm down to 999 left.
  24. JoeBrady
    You seem like an honorable guy, so I'll take that bet I expect you'll regret.
  25. JoeBrady
    The idea behind aging isn't that everyone stops playing. It is that they decline. I'd gladly make two serious wagers. First is that Judge's production is worse in two years. Second is that Judge's production in two years is still very good.
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