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JoeBrady

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Everything posted by JoeBrady

  1. JoeBrady
    To me, there are always reasons to pounce. I doubt Duran is going to be a big-name FA. He'll be 32 when he starts his next contract. I don't see anyone offering him a 5-year contract. But that can be an argument for signing him now. I think guaranteeing his 3 remaining control years, plus one market-priced FA year, should be enough to have him give us an option year.
  2. JoeBrady
    Going over the budget won't be the issue. Out-bidding LA, NY, NY, TO & Philly will be the issue.
  3. JoeBrady
    You are correct. That makes it easier since the net $17.3 was already included in my number.
  4. JoeBrady
    That was my guess as well. You can tell by the reactions of some players how they feel about their arm. IMHO, Woodruff took the QO and Bieber took the player option because they had doubts their arm could pass the physical. If healthy, both guys would be multi-year $20M+ candidates.
  5. JoeBrady
    Taking nothing for granted, but having Abreu + Durbin seems mech better than having Paredes + Harrison + ???. And I like Paredes.
  6. JoeBrady
    Our payroll is only $116M for 2028. That accounts for 3 OFs, DH (Duran), catcher, one IF, and 3 SPs. We'd need a 1B, 2 IFs, 2 SPs, and a closer. Internal options: 1B-Casas 2 IF Mayer & Arias 2 SPs Early & Tolle Closer-Whitlock Other 'names' include Crawford & Romy So imo, we can sign Skubal for ~$50M, blow thru the cap in 2027, duck under the cap in 2028, and still have funds to fill in elsewhere. Wise or not, I don't know. But it could be done. And the ancillary benefit would be the howling and screaming that all we added was Skubal.
  7. JoeBrady
    It didn't have to be a 'today' #2. Wrestling away #2's is almost impossible, but both Pitt and Cincy have great rotations. There is no way they trade Chandler or Burns straight up for Duran, and I have no idea how to make up the difference. I did think Seth Hernandez might've been an option. He's at least two years away.
  8. JoeBrady
    I always wanted to be the RS Corporate Controller. That would've a cool job. Never wanting to leave NY was kind of an issue.
  9. JoeBrady
    I haven't paid enough attention to him because of his K/W issues, but doesn't look skinny.
  10. JoeBrady
    Not necessarily. A guy like Burns or Chandler pushes Oviedo, Sandy, etc., to the BP. That is still worth a trade.
  11. JoeBrady
    I was never a Romero fan, but he has looked better than I expected. He threw someone out well on the SS said of 2nd (he was playing 2nd).
  12. JoeBrady
    That's usually the case. It's not so much the lack of moves, but I guess maybe most posters have their favorite non-Red Sox players. But it feels kind of silly to lose your $schitt because the RS spent $26M on Suarez instead of $31M on Alonso.
  13. JoeBrady
    I was one of the original "Duran-for-a-#2" guys, but the better we get at other positions, the more comfortable I am with Duran as the DH. I'd still move him for Burns, Chandler, maybe Seth Hernandez. But now I'm comfortable letting the buyers come to me.
  14. JoeBrady
    Of the top-70 guys, the only interesting guy was Hoskins on minor league contract. If we move Masa, Hoskins would've been an interesting weak-side platoon. But there is also a good chance we will opt for a jack-of-all-trades.
  15. JoeBrady
    I did, but I didn't look close enough to see if agreed with all the detail. That said, I haven't seen a single thing that would lead me to believe that we won't have an above-average offense.
  16. JoeBrady
    We obviously spent too much on hitting and not enough on pitching.
  17. JoeBrady
    It's always the same thing.
  18. JoeBrady
    I thought the same thing. I didn't do any fancy math, but that's a pretty high OPS.
  19. JoeBrady
    The numbers (Steamer I assume) for Bregman and Durbin were based on 638 & 437 PAs. The difference becomes ~ 0.8 if Durbin gets Bregman's 638 PAs.
  20. JoeBrady
    I posted something similar right after you posted yours. That's why I skim over his posts. If one wants a real discussion, they have to deal in real facts. FWIW, TO did almost the identical thing the RS did. We had almost identical scoring teams. They lost Bichette and we lost Bregman. They made their biggest acquisition a #2 SP, and we made our biggest acquisition a #2 SP. They added Ponce to the rotation and we added Gray. They added Okamoto to the IF and we added Durbin. We're running in lock step, but Fred wants to pretend like TO did great and we didn't. Maybe it is my accounting background, but I expect a little analyses.
  21. JoeBrady
    So Cease and Okamoto are a great improvement over Bichette & Bassitt?
  22. JoeBrady
    I question the point of arguing what is or is not possible, but have at it. FWIW, I agree that we won't win less than -0-.
  23. JoeBrady
    But Sweet just gave up two HRs. Looks like Fred's prediction of 0-162 is looking more and more likely.
  24. JoeBrady
    67+ (5-1) feels like you are in the 71 club.
  25. JoeBrady
    I have him on kind of a TL/DR internal mechanism. It isn't so much the disagreements, as much as I know exactly what he will say. I'd say roughly half the folks in here side on adding a slugger in the middle, and half side on adding a #2. I can debate that all day long, but it's a debate at the margins. A 3 WAR slugger or a 3 WAR #2 won't make that much difference. But if one is going to be negative on every acquisition, then there is no real point on me reading the post.
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