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JoeBrady

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Everything posted by JoeBrady

  1. JoeBrady
    But both are high quality players.
  2. JoeBrady
    Read enough stories, and you'll hear Anthony and Crochet's names being mentioned.
  3. JoeBrady
    Why is the FG projected 3.3 Suarez "high quality", but the 3.4+ Gray not?
  4. JoeBrady
    Story at $23.5M AAV is by no means a problem.
  5. JoeBrady
    Fair enough. Just obtain a RH bat instead of Masa.
  6. JoeBrady
    It always works out poorly, yet they continue to do so. Moore is the latest. He was on roughly a 200-K pace in AA & AAA. That almost never works. So they promote him, and he has a 230-K pace, almost exactly what you would expect. So they come 4th in HRs and 25th in runs scored. And seemingly don't understand that that was because they struck out more than any team in BB, by a lot.
  7. JoeBrady
    They picked higher.
  8. JoeBrady
    Or we play the long game and eat all the salary to get a better prospect. But the key would still be getting the righty equivalent of Masa, with a better glove.
  9. JoeBrady
    But except for Duran dropping a fly ball and a baserunning gaffe, we'd have swept the Yankees.
  10. JoeBrady
    Some of these writers don't even follow baseball. The RS and TO tied last year at 4.9 rpg. The Orioles had one of the worst offenses in BB last year. They will improve, but still scored 108 less runs than us last year.
  11. JoeBrady
    Refsnyder was a bit of an illusion with his BABIP. Good bench player, but who does he realistically start over? And he is 35.
  12. JoeBrady
    I've mentioned this before. We finished 22nd in OPS at 1st, and 17th at 2nd. Those should be improved. Bregman will hurt, but I think Duran's all-around offense will be similar to Devers' hitting.
  13. JoeBrady
    IMO, we won't lose a single game. We have 8 teams that will definitely go over, and maybe 3 teams that might go over. Will those 11 teams vote for a cap? We have 11 teams that don't spend much. Will any of those teams vote for a floor? Of the 8 in the middle, some have fairly successful results. I'm not seeing it. The union just kicked the crap out of the owners on the 3rd year arbitration change. That was a huge win, after a huge loss 10 years ago. I think we'll see the usual whinging about how the owners will go broke if they have to pay one more dollar, and the players whinging about feeding their kids, but they will settle one week before the start of the season. IMHO.
  14. JoeBrady
    The recent lockout was a result of the players strike. Leaving the WS decision up to the players was incredibly stupid. With a lockout, the owners won't mind losing a 1/2 season, so long as they have a WS.
  15. JoeBrady
    I wouldn't be at all concerned about Duran being the DH, provided they can move Yoshida for a RH DH/OF. I'd have given the RS a B+ pending that move, but still had to round it up to an A.
  16. JoeBrady
    Welcome to the MLB. You have to get use to the fact that players want as much money as possible.
  17. JoeBrady
    Not at all. I like rooting for the same guys each year, but free agency has made that difficult. And I have been spoiled. I would like another WSC or two before I move on. Keeping good players at a huge cost won't do that. The three B's are likely on the downhill slide, and have another 23 years combined years left on their contracts.
  18. JoeBrady
    It might depend on how one defines power. Alonso has a lot more HRs, but Alonso's SLG is only moderately higher over the past two years. With our pitching and new-found defense, I can make a pretty good argument that Duran's ability to manufacture runs every day is more important than Alonso's ability to hit a HR once every 5 days.
  19. JoeBrady
    That's the whole thing. We don't know how they come up with their version of WAR, or even if they have their own version. Just taking a look at bWAR v fWAR, there is a difference of 0.9 WAR. Theoretically, 0.9 * 6 years * $10M/WAR is a difference of $54M. And that's without an inflation factor. I'm not bagging on BTV, but a long duration * even a small difference, yields a large variance.
  20. JoeBrady
    That's why BTV has to be taken with a grain of salt. Long-term contracts are difficult to assess,
  21. JoeBrady
    Those three guys had a combined 11 bWAR for a combined $95M, and still have another $685M in liabilities to go, and their average age is about 32. I liked them all, but we'd be finished for the next 6 years had we kept them.
  22. JoeBrady
    One good year+ one year at risk. I ignored the team option because it had a decent-sized buy-out, tough I normally give the team some credit on that.
  23. JoeBrady
    It's a great thing. 3 WAR * 6 years * $10M++/WAR = $180M. Less $43M is $137M in extra value.
  24. JoeBrady
    But I didn't really say that. Pitt and the Reds have drafted well, but are too afraid of making a mistake to trade anyone. And the Angels and Rox are just bad, bad front offices.
  25. JoeBrady
    I agree. I wanted to trade away Duran for a #2, but Suarez took care of that. And once we acquired Durbin, we really didn't need anything. That said, if I saw Burns, or Chandler, or Seth Hernandez on the block, I could change my mind pretty quickly.
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