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JoeBrady

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Everything posted by JoeBrady

  1. JoeBrady
    As always, RS fans put way too much faith in small sample sizes. Devers has a .915 over his last 7 games, with a 7-game hitting streak. Players his age rarely derail,
  2. JoeBrady
    Red Sox fans take it as a matter of faith that, when a player goes 0-4, his career is over.
  3. JoeBrady
    He likely starts in RF for the Cubs when Suzuki moves on. Pretty sure he is off-limits.
  4. JoeBrady
    IRT the 'what-ifs', if a player is not traded, then he is not worth discussing. None of us know what the price was, or even what players might be involved. Neto's name was thrown around as if he was a realistic possibility. He wasn't. I liked Burns, Chandler and Seth Hernandez, but they were all almost certainly off the trading block.
  5. JoeBrady
    For the bottom half, maybe the bottom 20, I'd agree. But not for the big spenders. We should be in contention every year, our recent history notwithstanding. Some slight tweaking is fine, but a bad year for us should be .500. But in order to do that, even the RS can't afford to throw away too many contracts.
  6. JoeBrady
    The average MLB team is pretty average. But that's the wrong take-away from the LOB number.
  7. JoeBrady
    256. Neither high nor low.
  8. JoeBrady
    We are #15 out of 30 in total LOB.
  9. JoeBrady
    2.25 per 9.
  10. JoeBrady
    Anyone know the Rule 5 implication? Does the injury get us another year?
  11. JoeBrady
    And a 3.54 ERA.
  12. JoeBrady
    Yordan is a good example of what I am talking about. He's 28.313. His contract lasts thru age 31. There is almost no age-related risk, and you get almost three perfectly prime years. With Marte (and others), you generally get two prime years, and 3+ years of decline. This is why a relatively rich team like the LAA haven't been .500 in 11 years. They added Pujols, Upton, Cozart, Rendon, Hamilton, Wells, etc., at an age where they had no reason to expect much production.
  13. JoeBrady
    I have no problem incorporating as many stats as possible. The bottom line, for me, is the dramatic drop-off. There is a real good chance that he won't be playing at all at ages 35-37. There is only one player 2023-2025 ages 35-37, that has a fWAR of >3.0. No one even averages 1 fWAR/year. You need to get a ton of return from the first three years to make it worth $101M..
  14. JoeBrady
    I forgot about that, but I did think about it at the time, It was a pretty big shot, but he did linger a few seconds.
  15. JoeBrady
    I agree completely. A slow start doesn't mean that much to me.
  16. JoeBrady
    Real aging starts at 33.
  17. JoeBrady
    You can choose other stats. One of my favorites is PAs. From 2021-2025, there were only 16 players, aged 33-37, who even had 1,500 PAs (300/year). Only 6 that averaged 400 PAs.
  18. JoeBrady
    I don't find it that unusual. A lot of hot streaks start with one good batted ball.
  19. JoeBrady
    I used his career stats.
  20. JoeBrady
    That's a fair compromise.
  21. JoeBrady
    To be perfectly honest, I don't think that Valdez spends 5 minutes a day in logical thought. The idea that he thought he wanted to get out of the game, and then devised a plan to allow B2B HRs, and then hit Story and get thrown out and likely suspended without pay? 10% chance, at tops.
  22. JoeBrady
    I'd guess that it is just the opposite. If a guy is so hot-headed that he will throw at a teammate, then I guarantee that he is hot-headed enough to throw at an opposing player after B2B HRs.
  23. JoeBrady
    That part is easy: 84 wins Highest payroll in baseball 30th ranked farm. To me, it's like discussing Cora's firing. One can discuss the merits, but one cannot deny that there were certainly good reasons to do so.
  24. JoeBrady
    Which ones?
  25. JoeBrady
    Half of everything discussed in the RSN is based on conspiracy and conjecture. It couldn't possibly be that we had a DH and four good outfielders, and that Devers was a good, but not great, DH, making $32M.
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