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Community Moderator
Posted

@kileymcd

Right-hander Brayan Bello and the Boston Red Sox are in agreement on a six-year, $55 million contract extension that includes a seventh-year club option for $21 million, sources tell ESPN.

 

The Sox lock up the 24-year-old into the 2030s.

Posted

Right-hander Brayan Bello and the Boston Red Sox are in agreement on a six-year, $55 million contract extension that includes a seventh-year club option for $21 million, sources tell ESPN.

 

The Sox lock up the 24-year-old into the 2030s

Community Moderator
Posted

@redsoxpayroll

Updating the payroll projections, Bello is now 6th on the team in terms of highest AAV, and the team sits at ~$214MM, which is ~$23MM below the first CBT threshold.

 

Damn, they are at the dreaded 215M already. No Casas extension until next season I guess?

Community Moderator
Posted

@redsoxpayroll

Pending additional details, it would look like this for CBT purposes:

 

2024 - $9.167MM (instead of ~$790k)

2025 - $9.167MM

2026 - $9.167MM (Arb 1)

2027 - $9.167MM (Arb 2)

2028 - $9.167MM (Arb 3)

2029 - $9.167MM (FA 1)

2030 - $21MM (club option) (FA2)

 

He'll be 31 when the option year of the deal ends. We'll likely get more info about real yearly cash, but spreading out the AAV like this means we'll carry the burden higher for 2-3 seasons while benefitting, potentially nicely, every year after.

 

Everything comes back to performance, but if he pitches well, you have a cost-controlled piece exactly in line with the core coming up (6 seasons each, likely starting in 2025).

Community Moderator
Posted

@itsbrianbarrett

The Sox finally did something good...

 

Bello

 

2023

 

56.2% groundball rate - 3rd among starters (minimum 150 innings)

Launch Angle (4.9 degrees) - 4th

 

Getting better against lefties is the next step

 

.313/.361/.522/.883

Community Moderator
Posted
That seems like a very decent deal for us. If he develops as we hope it'll be a steal.

 

Without knowing the terms, it seems like what we'd project for him going forward at his current rate. If he doesn't get any better, it's a little bit of an overpay. It's a good deal though.

Posted

I like the deal and effort. Some of these deals may not work out well, but it's worth the gamble.

 

Finally, something to be encouraged about, this winter.

Posted
I like the deal and effort. Some of these deals may not work out well, but it's worth the gamble.

 

Finally, something to be encouraged about, this winter.

 

I dont care what the numbers are, as long as the contract is signed and doesnt include the words "opt" or "out" (unless it says something like, I promise to get out as many batters as possible).

Old-Timey Member
Posted (edited)
It’s good to see them not wait until year 5 to extend a player… Edited by notin
Posted
I dont care what the numbers are, as long as the contract is signed and doesnt include the words "opt" or "out" (unless it says something like, I promise to get out as many batters as possible).

 

Anyway you look at it, the money doesn't come close to Sale, Yoshida and GIO's AAV.

Posted
@redsoxpayroll

Pending additional details, it would look like this for CBT purposes:

 

2024 - $9.167MM (instead of ~$790k)

2025 - $9.167MM

2026 - $9.167MM (Arb 1)

2027 - $9.167MM (Arb 2)

2028 - $9.167MM (Arb 3)

2029 - $9.167MM (FA 1)

2030 - $21MM (club option) (FA2)

 

He'll be 31 when the option year of the deal ends. We'll likely get more info about real yearly cash, but spreading out the AAV like this means we'll carry the burden higher for 2-3 seasons while benefitting, potentially nicely, every year after.

 

Everything comes back to performance, but if he pitches well, you have a cost-controlled piece exactly in line with the core coming up (6 seasons each, likely starting in 2025).

So they have bought out the first 2 years of Free Agency

and given up 2 years of low cost control. Hmm. I hope they imaged his shoulder and elbow.

Posted
So they have bought out the first 2 years of Free Agency

and given up 2 years of low cost control. Hmm. I hope they imaged his shoulder and elbow.

 

Would it matter?

Posted
Would it matter?

 

Personally, if teams aren't imaging shoulders and elbows NOW to see if a guy is about to blow it out in 2030 I'm flabbergasted, flabbergasted I tells yea.

Posted
So they have bought out the first 2 years of Free Agency

and given up 2 years of low cost control. Hmm. I hope they imaged his shoulder and elbow.

 

It's a little better than that because it's a team option for what would have been the second year of free agency. If something bad happens they don't exercise that option.

 

Overall I think this was a good move.

Old-Timey Member
Posted
It's a little better than that because it's a team option for what would have been the second year of free agency. If something bad happens they don't exercise that option.

 

Overall I think this was a good move.

 

Not to mention, arbitration for many players is more profitable than free agency. The Sox basically bought out his pre-arb and arb years to pay him like a high end setup guy.

 

The Sox now have a young, controlled SP who could improve dramatically for roughly the same AAV as Hector Neris…

Community Moderator
Posted
Not to mention, arbitration for many players is more profitable than free agency. The Sox basically bought out his pre-arb and arb years to pay him like a high end setup guy.

 

The Sox now have a young, controlled SP who could improve dramatically for roughly the same AAV as Hector Neris…

 

Neris is very much overpaid.

Posted
It's a little better than that because it's a team option for what would have been the second year of free agency. If something bad happens they don't exercise that option.

 

Overall I think this was a good move.

 

I think it was an excellent move, I'd love to see more of them.

Posted
I think it was an excellent move, I'd love to see more of them.

 

Extending Bello is a great move, and the kind of move the front office has planned for, since the Bloom Era began.

 

It's also nothing novel or ingenious, but one that all big market teams and even mid-markets like Cleveland have aspired to for awhile now.

 

The Red Sox have resisted for too long (except for Whitlock), but maybe the Brinks truck that Henry had to give Devers will now expedite the plan of paying now to save later, and that includes reserving homegrown stars for loyal fans to root for, for a long time. Hopefully, no more Mookies will be lowballed and have to leave?

Posted
Extending Bello is a great move, and the kind of move the front office has planned for, since the Bloom Era began.

 

It's also nothing novel or ingenious, but one that all big market teams and even mid-markets like Cleveland have aspired to for awhile now.

 

The Red Sox have resisted for too long (except for Whitlock), but maybe the Brinks truck that Henry had to give Devers will now expedite the plan of paying now to save later, and that includes reserving homegrown stars for loyal fans to root for, for a long time. Hopefully, no more Mookies will be lowballed and have to leave?

 

You don’t need a 100% success rate on these types of deals for it to make good business sense. Maybe even 50% would save mi ey, long term.

Community Moderator
Posted
Extending Bello is a great move, and the kind of move the front office has planned for, since the Bloom Era began.

 

It's also nothing novel or ingenious, but one that all big market teams and even mid-markets like Cleveland have aspired to for awhile now.

 

The Red Sox have resisted for too long (except for Whitlock), but maybe the Brinks truck that Henry had to give Devers will now expedite the plan of paying now to save later, and that includes reserving homegrown stars for loyal fans to root for, for a long time. Hopefully, no more Mookies will be lowballed and have to leave?

 

I was thinking that Bloom didn't make any similar moves, but there was the Whitlock extension. Not sure why he didn't try to extend Raffy earlier. There weren't really many other notable guys around that were in need of extending during his tenure.

Community Moderator
Posted
You don’t need a 100% success rate on these types of deals for it to make good business sense. Maybe even 50% would save mi ey, long term.

 

50% is like the success rate of FA contracts.

Posted
50% is like the success rate of FA contracts.

 

Maybe less, but these contracts are less expensive, making 50% better than 50% on mega deals

Posted
I was thinking that Bloom didn't make any similar moves, but there was the Whitlock extension. Not sure why he didn't try to extend Raffy earlier. There weren't really many other notable guys around that were in need of extending during his tenure.

 

He might have tried with Devers and others, but I do y remember reading about any attempts with Devers, until a year before he signed.

Community Moderator
Posted
Maybe less, but these contracts are less expensive, making 50% better than 50% on mega deals

 

I'm going to have to check my slide rule on that.

Posted
I was thinking that Bloom didn't make any similar moves, but there was the Whitlock extension. Not sure why he didn't try to extend Raffy earlier. There weren't really many other notable guys around that were in need of extending during his tenure.

 

Except, of course, Marcus. No one needed to be extended more in Red Sox history.

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