A Realistic View at 2019: Part I

[oldtimer]

So, this means you DFA or trade Pearce?

 

Don't think Pearce has trade value so it's likely a DFA if you go that way. Chavis is probably the best choice to run back to Pawtucket for a short stint to let him work out adjustments. He is a guy that I want on the team for his energy and power. We all knew Chavis was likely to go through a slump as the pitchers caught up but he may well come around given a chance to experiment in the minors.

[Kimmi]

The Red Sox schedule only gets harder.

 

http://www.espn.com/mlb/stats/rpi/_/sort/sos

 

The Red Sox aren't scared.

[Kimmi]

perhaps the dehydrochlormethyltestosterone is fully leaving his system.....

 

!!!

[moonslav59]

Don't think Pearce has trade value so it's likely a DFA if you go that way. Chavis is probably the best choice to run back to Pawtucket for a short stint to let him work out adjustments. He is a guy that I want on the team for his energy and power. We all knew Chavis was likely to go through a slump as the pitchers caught up but he may well come around given a chance to experiment in the minors.

 

Pearce was actually starting to heat up before the injury.

 

I agree, his trade value, even if we pay a big chunk of his remaining contract, is minimal.

 

Chavis has options remaining, he's slumping, and he could use some time to make adjustments away from the big stage, but he also has a chance to heat up before Pearce returns and change the narrative.

 

I'm far from giving up on Chavis, but I'm not ready to give up on Pearce, either.

 

A month ago, I was ready to give up on Nunez, so things can obviously change pretty quickly.

 

The idea is to keep as many good options available as possible. Chavis will have every opportunity to return and contribute later or get hot now and stay- perhaps forcing a trade of Pearce, Nunez or Holt.

 

[moonslav59]

Chavis in his last few games (in reverse order - most recent going backwards):

 

0-4 (3Ks)

1-5 (3)

0-4 (2)

2-4 (0)

0-3 (3)

0-3 (2)

0-5 (2)

 

That's 3 for 28 (.107).

 

That's 15 Ks out of his last 25 outs made.

 

Tiny sample size, I know. He deserves more time before a demotion is considered, but looking ahead to Moreland and Pearce's return, I think the choice is up for discussion.

[moonslav59]

Black Holes to Super Novas

 

Holt .404 to .697 in 5 games at 1.203

 

JBJ to .421 to .607 in 15 games over 1.050

 

Nunez .432 to .604 in 9 games at over 1.100.

 

[moonslav59]

Next 14:

 

TBR Porcello

TBR Price/ TBR (2) Shawaryn

TBR ERod

TEX Sale

TEX Weber & Co.

TEX Porcello

TEX Price

@BAL ERod

@BAL Sale

@BAL Eovaldi?

@MN Porcello

@MN Price

@MN ERod

Day off

Sale opens 8 game home stand with an extra day of rest.

 

 

[mvp 78]

Next 14:

 

TBR Porcello

TBR Price/ TBR (2) Shawaryn

TBR ERod

TEX Sale

TEX Weber & Co.

TEX Porcello

TEX Price

@BAL ERod

@BAL Sale

@BAL Eovaldi?

@MN Porcello

@MN Price

@MN ERod

Day off

Sale opens 8 game home stand with an extra day of rest.

 

 

 

Looks like a 14 game win streak to me.

[oldtimer]

Next 14:

 

TBR Porcello

TBR Price/ TBR (2) Shawaryn

TBR ERod

TEX Sale

TEX Weber & Co.

TEX Porcello

TEX Price

@BAL ERod

@BAL Sale

@BAL Eovaldi?

@MN Porcello

@MN Price

@MN ERod

Day off

Sale opens 8 game home stand with an extra day of rest.

 

 

 

I'd think twice about Weber.

[OH FOY]

Tampa hasn't made a decision in game 2 tomorrow, but as it looks now only Snell is goin on Sunday. Good time to take at least 3 of 4. Ryan Yarbrough against Price in game 1 of DH. Looks like a BP game tonight, and 2nd game tomorrow.

Always look at Opponent Pitcher too, never worried 14 games down the road. Just because you could have injuries. Right now, we should be looking one game at a time. Or just a series.

Edited June 7, 2019 by OH FOY!

[notin]

I'd think twice about Weber.

 

 

You give him one more thought than I do...

[Maxbialystock]

Next 14:

 

TBR Porcello

TBR Price/ TBR (2) Shawaryn

TBR ERod

TEX Sale

TEX Weber & Co.

TEX Porcello

TEX Price

@BAL ERod

@BAL Sale

@BAL Eovaldi?

@MN Porcello

@MN Price

@MN ERod

Day off

Sale opens 8 game home stand with an extra day of rest.

 

 

 

Rays and Twins (4 +3 games) are both having good years, and the Rangers (4 games) are above .500, so this is a pretty good test. I think the Sox split with the Rays, take 1 of 3 at Minnesota, take 3 of 4 from the Rangers and 2 of 3 at Baltimore. That's 8-6, which probably won't make up much ground with the Yankees, but also shouldn't give up too much.

 

The lineup, despite all our complaints, isn't that bad and is 4th in MLB in runs and 5th in OPS. The rotation is pretty good with two--Sale and Price--capable of being very good to great.

 

The big question, especially with all these back to back games including a doubleheader tomorrow, is the bullpen. On another thread (or page on this thread) I said Barnes, Walden, Workman, Brasier, and Hembree--maybe our five best--are being paid a total of $5.5M. The Yankees pay their four best relievers about $40M, and the Cubs just handed Kimbrel a $42M contract for 3 years.

[mvp 78]

@SoxNotes

 

American League leaders in runs scored:

 

1. Xander Bogaerts – 50

2. Mookie Betts – 48

3. Rafael Devers – 47

T4. Mike Trout – 46

T4. Mitch Haniger – 46

[OH FOY]

@SoxNotes

 

American League leaders in runs scored:

 

1. Xander Bogaerts – 50

2. Mookie Betts – 48

3. Rafael Devers – 47

T4. Mike Trout – 46

T4. Mitch Haniger – 46

 

Interesting, tells me our Pitching, and sloppy play is hurting us. Probably not too good in RISP too.

Edited June 7, 2019 by OH FOY!

[moonslav59]

You give him one more thought than I do...

 

Shawaryn is going to be used in another game. Who starts instead? Smith?

[notin]

Shawaryn is going to be used in another game. Who starts instead? Smith?

 

 

Erasmo!!

[Bellhorn04]

Erasmo!!

 

What is striking your fancy about Erasmo?

[moonslav59]

What is striking your fancy about Erasmo?

 

Maybe his 5.14 ERA in AAA?

 

His .797 OPS against?

 

His 1.33 WHIP?

 

Josh Taylor has much better numbers, so far.

[notin]

Maybe his 5.14 ERA in AAA?

 

His .797 OPS against?

 

His 1.33 WHIP?

 

Josh Taylor has much better numbers, so far.

 

He has struggled, but he also has an MLB track record that isn’t awful..,

[tom-uk]

On the June 4th Royals game every Sox position player (except Holt's 24 games w the Pirates), was home grown. When was the last time every Sox player fielded was home grown? Pretty rare I'd guess. Maybe a late season game?

[notin]

What is striking your fancy about Erasmo?

 

 

While DD did actually try to address the minor league pitching depth issues this off-season, he really didn’t actually sign much to choose from.

 

I think we’ve already seen the best of Ryan Weber...

[moonslav59]

He has struggled, but he also has an MLB track record that isn’t awful..,

 

So does the lefty, Poyner.

[notin]

So does the lefty, Poyner.

 

But he’s not a starter...

[Slasher9]

On the June 4th Royals game every Sox position player (except Holt's 24 games w the Pirates), was home grown. When was the last time every Sox player fielded was home grown? Pretty rare I'd guess. Maybe a late season game?

 

thats an awesome stat. thanks for pointing that out tom.

[moonslav59]

It would be nice to have some homegrown SP'ers!

[Elktonnick]

I thought DD hire Brian Bannister was going to make a major readjustment and retinking of the way Red Sox develop pitching in the minor leagues. I haven't heard or read anything about what Bannister is doing along these lines. I'd appreciate any info from anyone who has.

[moonslav59]

I thought DD hire Brian Bannister was going to make a major readjustment and retinking of the way Red Sox develop pitching in the minor leagues. I haven't heard or read anything about what Bannister is doing along these lines. I'd appreciate any info from anyone who has.

 

Me, too.

 

The overhaul should take time.

[OH FOY]

Anybody notice the Astros are on fire. 18-6 in last 24 games. No problem with that team, even after WS win, they got there again, and this year, repeating. Injuries don't bother them. Their Farm system is strong, big reason. Edited June 8, 2019 by OH FOY!

[Bellhorn04]

Anybody notice the Astros are on fire. 18-6 in last 24 games. No problem with that team, even after WS win, they got there again, and this year, repeating. Injuries don't bother them. Their Farm system is strong, big reason.

 

The Astros have done a great job and are the premier team over the last 3 seasons.

 

But I'll still take our 4 titles in 15 years any day.

[OH FOY]

I'll take our Patriots 6 SB's over our Sox, last 19 years. Just voted the most dominating team in all sports in this decade.

You know what Belichick would say about this? He would say what's done in the past has no bearing on this season. He could care less, its all about the now.

That's why they are great.

Edited June 8, 2019 by OH FOY!