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JoeBrady

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Everything posted by JoeBrady

  1. JoeBrady
    I'd love to build something around Duran-Tong. I've mentioned this before, but Tong/Vientos gives a high-ceiling SP and a guy that can platoon with Casas, Mayer and Yoshida, and is likely a starter at some point.
  2. JoeBrady
    That's fair, but the same with almost any deal. The more years you are trading away, the larger upfront premium you have to expect. I don't think Polanco will out-perform Mayer over two years, let alone over 6 years. With Marte, you might get an added 5-6 WAR over the next two years. That's a pretty good down-payment, even if you lose later in the deal.
  3. JoeBrady
    FG has Mayer and Polanco as about even this year, so I assume they would rate Mayer better than Polanco over two years. Mayer's 6 years v Polanco's 2 years is not close, imo.
  4. JoeBrady
    Minor league deals are almost impossible to analyze. Even for well-known prospects with a lot of visibility and coverage, the range is outcomes is huge.
  5. JoeBrady
    If healthy, Kim is a very good at $20M. From 2021-24, Kim averaged a 4.5 bWAR/162 games.
  6. JoeBrady
    I think either one of your two recent posts will work. I think Duran is an overpay, but close enough that the Reds can kick in a semi-prospect.
  7. JoeBrady
    It's why I sometimes prefer to have someone that had the TJS and has put it behind him, like Alcantara. Alcantara looks good recently, and is unlikely to require a follow-up procedure in the next two years. A guy like Ryan finished awful. 6.47/5.85 with 10 HRs in his last 32 IPs.
  8. JoeBrady
    He almost has to be injured. Some his game logs are sick, and about as impressive as Crochet was when we got him. 4/2-4/43 ---31/2 K/W and 1 HR in 18.2 IPs 5/5-5/16 ---26/4 K/W and -0- HRs in 15 9/23-9/28 ---18/2 K/W and 1 HR in 9.1 Those numbers define the term 'unhittable'.
  9. JoeBrady
    I think you're high on Bregman. My guess is that he falls to an affordable $150M/6 with a no-trade and an opt-out after Year 3. Tie that into your previous post about Marte, add the #2 for Duran, and we are the best team in BB. I'd be interested in Ranger at that price, though I am curious why DD is not chasing him. As mentioned earlier, Okamoto for $70M/4 is good, but didn't Grisham accept the QO?
  10. JoeBrady
    I probably wouldn't do it, but it is real close. But that's more of a personal preference than my BB opinion. And if we added a #2 in a trade, I would take them even over any team in the AL.
  11. JoeBrady
    Which is the crux of several of my posts. It's entirely possible that you and Fred could be right on Alonso. But if RS sign a slugger like Suarez instead a glove-first player like Kim, I'm not going to call the RS a garbage organization. There is always the unlikely chance that Breslow knows more about baseball than I do.
  12. JoeBrady
    IMHO, too much for Ryan. If I were to give up Duran, Crawford & Sandlin (which I would), I'd go straight for Painter. After a huge physical.
  13. JoeBrady
    I see that a lot in fan reaction. They accuse the owner of being cheap. And while that could be true, as often as not, the team's record has more to do with mis-management. Teams like LAA, the WS, the Rox, the Nats, etc., haven't traditionally been cheap. They just been poorly run. And as a result of being poorly run, have no one on the roster worthy of a big salary. There's kind of a circularity about the process.
  14. JoeBrady
    We could make a simple deal. If Henry does nothing else, I will agree that it is a bad off-season. If he adds one more big piece, it is neutral. And if he adds 2 more big pieces, it is a good off-season. Anyone interested?
  15. JoeBrady
    Well, that is exactly why I posted the number. I understand and agree that henry should spend commensurate with his revenue. But some will call him cheap no matter how much he spends. And not because he isn't spending, but because he isn't spending on the player(s) that that particular poster wants. Acquiring Okamoto, Kim, and Greene would make this one of the best off-seasons in BB history, and some posters will still complain.
  16. JoeBrady
    I love Moon too, but he said that adding only the #2 FA + Gray was awful. Almost every team would be pretty happy with that. And he is by no means the most entitled.
  17. JoeBrady
    I'd love to see the medicals on Ragans. I like Duran a lot and think he would do very, very well for KC. But Ragans has a 2.79 FIP for KC in maybe 319 innings. It's almost impossible for me to think they would trade him for anything less than a star. Unless they anticipate major arm problems.
  18. JoeBrady
    If we did that, and add the #2 in a trade, I'd bet that we are the AL favorite, but approximately tied with TO and NY..
  19. JoeBrady
    That's something some posters fail to acknowledge. We won't get everyone on their wish list. It's a 0-sum game. What we would've spent on Alonso is money we cannot spend elsewhere. And then when we don't wind up signing Alonso, Bichette, and Bregman, it will be because JH is evil.
  20. JoeBrady
    Just a random number to lock posters in. My theory here is that some posters aren't concerned as much about the number as they are about the RS not signing their favorite players. So, if the number is $260M, 4% higher than last year, the posters can't complain that they signed a good glove like Kim + a good fit like Okamoto.
  21. JoeBrady
    There is a real good chance that, in three years, Alonso and/or Bregman are the new Yoshida. The same fans will be retroactively criticizing the deal, and calling JH cheap if he doesn't commit another $150M to yet another DH in waiting.
  22. JoeBrady
    I hadn't thought about that until reading MLBR this morning, plus your post. They aren't huge players, but three pretty good players. And we've heard nothing about them. Either Okamoto or Imai would fit very well.
  23. JoeBrady
    I did it for Bichette. With Marte & Bregman, the OPS would be .770. If we didn't add a 2B, and added Alonso & Bregman, it would be only .763. Upgrading 2B probably provides the single largest possible OPS upgrade. Just for background purposes, our three weakest sOPS+: 1B 84 (presumably rectified by Casas) Catcher 87 2B 97 These are NOT park-adjusted, but all other positions we are above 100. SS is our lowest above-grade with a 103, but that doesn't count Story's remarkable 30/1 SB/CS. All other positions were 115 or higher.
  24. JoeBrady
    I meant to say 'hitters', since that seems to be the main complaint.
  25. JoeBrady
    No one in the known universe spends more time criticizing "their team" than you do.
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