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JoeBrady

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Everything posted by JoeBrady

  1. JoeBrady
    Everything depends on numbers, but Okamoto looks like a good fit. Even if Casas is healthy, and Mayer and Yoshida do okay, he is still a worthy backup at all three positions.
  2. JoeBrady
    Well, there is always a rumor out about players signing for huge amounts. IMHO, it will be more like $120M/4 or $150M/6.
  3. JoeBrady
    1-I am scared of the backslide of 5 weak and non-existent seasons at the benefit of gaining two very good seasons. 2-A very important piece of my calculus was that I would be using Duran to obtain a #2, as opposed to obtaining Marte. At the end of the day, will we better off with Marte or with Suarez + Lodolo?
  4. JoeBrady
    I did this about a week ago and used the same 300. I forgot this time, but thought that if I had to reach to 300, it is still not a great recommendation. But the numbers you supply shows how steep the cut-off is.
  5. JoeBrady
    I would make the move, but you'd like to make that move last. Move Duran first, and the Teo becomes a pretty good platoon partner for Abreu and Yoshida.
  6. JoeBrady
    This is standard fare. Almost every player has value at a given price. Yoshida is surely better than the TX DHs (& 5 other teams) last year. 5 teams had 2Bs that were worse than Hamilton. And plenty of teams will have worse RPs than Hicks.
  7. JoeBrady
    IMHO, Pitt should've kept Burrows as their #5, and traded a more valuable SP for a more valuable hitter. Lowe is a one-year rental with injuries and split concerns.
  8. JoeBrady
    Hamilton is a great sub. His split issues is all that keeps him from being a starter.
  9. JoeBrady
    15th in position players, 2nd best rotation, and #5 BP? Pretty good for a team that still has their powder dry.
  10. JoeBrady
    Anything can happen, but last year, in all of baseball, there were only two players aged 34-37, that supplied more than 2.3 fWAR. At a level of 2.4 or higher, their specific age brackets: 34 -0- players 35 2 players 36 -0- players 37 -0- players
  11. JoeBrady
    If we could get Suarez for two years, I'd much prefer that to trading for Marte. It's just the opposite of my Mayer/Marte calculus. In this case, we lose a little on the first two years, and make it up in the next four years by virtue of not carrying 4 years of Marte's salary. And, of course, we would retain Duran's trade value. So it is the equivalent of adding Marte, or adding Suarez + someone like Lodolo.
  12. JoeBrady
    Just a couple of things that I found of interest. The first is that, if you are thinking about a rebuild after 2019, you can only base that decision on the ranking of the farm as of that date. And that was mostly ranked around #30. But even in retrospect, a rebuild was in order. Below are the bWAR totals of the players you mentioned, by year: 2020 1.3 2021 0.6 2022 2.0 2023 11.3 2024 18.9 2025 10.0 So even if we knew then, what we know now, we'd have still rebuilt.
  13. JoeBrady
    Just curious, do you get anything for the credits? Like, do you get paid for an article, or a few pennies per purchase? How does that work?
  14. JoeBrady
    I left Ref off of my analysis because I don't know if he will re-sign. But replacing Duran, Bregman, Devers, Lowe and Toro, with an identical amount of PAs by Anthony, Abreu, Mayer, Casas and Yoshida, changes the outcome of those 1,928 PA from a .793 OPS to a .771 OPS. Given that the 1,928 PAs represent 31.1% of the team PAs, that lower our team OPS by .007. If we got Marte for Duran, the increase of *team* OPS would be about ten points.
  15. JoeBrady
    Ceddanne had a higher bWAR than Marte. Marte is owed $101M/6, while Ceddanne is owed ~$43M/6. That's over twice as much, and likely for less WAR. If we want more offense, just sign Okamoto. The trade Duran for a #2 SP.
  16. JoeBrady
    1-A first-ballot HOF manager. 2-Arguably the best GM in history. No matter what Fred and Pumpsie think.
  17. JoeBrady
    My thinking on things like this is that, if he couldn't hit a FB, all he would see would be FBs, and he'd be out of the league. I'm not sure if y'all remember, but back when the RS fans were criticizing the Beltre signing, they said he couldn't hit a curve. I was like, "10 years in the league, and no one knew he couldn't hit a curve? Until you figured it out?"
  18. JoeBrady
    We should trade Pedroia. Everyone knows that prospects are suspects.
  19. JoeBrady
    Because Rafaela has more long-term value than Marte. I wouldn't do that trade straight-up.
  20. JoeBrady
    The week is still early.
  21. JoeBrady
    They've added $100M+ in payroll since DD joined them. If JH added another $100M to what our payroll was in 2019, we'd be above the LAD.
  22. JoeBrady
    Good for the RS. If Bregman goes to 3rd, then AZ is going with Marte or Lawlar at 2nd.
  23. JoeBrady
    Aren't you working your life away?
  24. JoeBrady
    I am always confused about how RS fans see the past 7 years. Some seem to feel that JH should be run out of town, and some seem to think it was okay, and some seem think think it was a rebuild.
  25. JoeBrady
    My pure guess is that he is penciling in Casas at 1B. It's unfortunate, but a lot of fans don't think in terms of fit, or long-term, or more appealing options.
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