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JoeBrady

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Everything posted by JoeBrady

  1. JoeBrady
    I believe I already did this analysis. And the team with the higher OBP percentage, relative to their opponent, won more series than the team that out-homered their opponent.
  2. JoeBrady
    I'd gladly take that bet. I am willing to bet that either our starting 2B or our starting 3B, will be someone not currently on our 40-man roster. A signature wager perhaps?
  3. JoeBrady
    HRs are more fun, but OBP is more closely correlated to scoring than HRs. They both count, but OBP counts more.
  4. JoeBrady
    So, just as an extreme example, if the RS were to have taxable income of $20M this year, all they would have to do is pay Contreras his 2027 $20M on 12/31/2026, and the IRS would accept that the RS had -0- taxable income in 2026? Or conversely, for GAAP purposes, the LAD could defer everyone's salary until 1/1/27, and show operating income of like $700M? Last time I did this, we had to match our expenses to the period in which the income was earned. And real recently, we still accrued salary expense from the first January payroll.
  5. JoeBrady
    The Angels just retired Rendon. I think most teams are reluctant to do so because the GM doesn't want to write off one of the contracts they recently signed. Poor optics. But imo, it's a bad idea to drag Rendon around, and have him clog up a 40-man spot during the off-season. I'm saying I'd give back a lot of my contract just so I can retire early. But if I already made a gazillion $$$, I probably would give up some of rather than go through the pretense that I was still coming back.
  6. JoeBrady
    I've said this before. There is no evidence to suggest Ceddanne will out-perform Romy/DHam. Using the PAs suggested by FG, Romy/DHam produce a .726 wRC+ while Ceddanne produces a .730. Duran over Yoshi is a bigger markup.
  7. JoeBrady
    No one. It's a silly argument. We might have been nowhere close to signing him. Or maybe we were $1 away and Breslow insulted Bregman's wife. This is simply an excuse, for the folks that don't like Breslow, to insult him.
  8. JoeBrady
    I'm not a tax guy, but that doesn't sound right. I think teams would have to accrue for salaries they pay in future years. Deferrals would make no sense otherwise. The LAD would be paying income tax on $40M more on Ohtani's salary if the tax was based strictly on a cash basis.
  9. JoeBrady
    If the CBT and the draft picks punishments are based on cash flow, then I will agree.
  10. JoeBrady
    We are on player away. IF Breslow wants to make a trade, he has three weeks to make one. Like I said, maybe he more in Romy/DHam that others do, which is prerogative. But he has plenty of time.
  11. JoeBrady
    Sure. Everyone that I think can fit will be on my list. That includes Suarez, Paredes, Baty, Smith, and others. And if Chandler or Burns were available, they'd be on my list as well.
  12. JoeBrady
    The top-8 is a fair comparison, but it really needs to be culled down to the #3-8. Even the NYY aren't going down the road with the NYM and LAD.
  13. JoeBrady
    I believe Correa was acquired to replace Paredes. And I am not super-high on Smith, but he (and almost everyone else) should be considered.
  14. JoeBrady
    And that would be Yoshi. I am more apt to retain Duran now that we acquired Suarez. But we almost cannot carry both Duran and Yoshi.
  15. JoeBrady
    If you believe that 87 is his ceiling. Houston didn't see any need to demote him last year.
  16. JoeBrady
    My guess is that this is posturing. The problem is that Altuve has been kind of a defensive wreck everywhere, for a few years. Their situation is identical to ours. They can move around their excess IFs, or they can trade one of them. And it doesn't get mentioned by anyone but Moon, but Houston needs to start thinking about getting Matthews some playing time. And it would be a heck of a long-shot, but I'd ask about Cam Smith with the possibility of moving him back to 3rd.
  17. JoeBrady
    Plenty early, I agree. But it only matters if Breslow agrees. If he thinks Romy/DHam is the solution. we have to hope for the best.
  18. JoeBrady
    #1. Like I've said before, we need to do more spending, but we need to eliminate NYM and LAD from the comps. Something like TO should be our target.
  19. JoeBrady
    #6 out of 30 is not middle-of-the-pack.
  20. JoeBrady
    Mayer will definitely be at one of those two positions, so we only need one. Past that, I agree that we don't need to settle. If we need a 2B/3B, go out and get one.
  21. JoeBrady
    #4 according to Forbes, but it is not quite that simple. Also according to Forbes, the NYMs lost $268M last year, the NYY lost $57M, the LAD made $11M, and Philly made $9M. There are from Forbes, so I won't debate the accuracy. But teams are allowed to make money on their investments.
  22. JoeBrady
    But that's different. The SDP signed Bogaerts to a $280M ($35M*8) deal disguised as an 11-year deal to reduce the AAV. He won't be around 11 years from now. Telling you I will pay you $105,000 next year for your $100,000 current year salary is just a funding mechanism.
  23. JoeBrady
    I've often felt the same way. I've often joined companies where people didn't know what they were doing, or maybe be uninterested in improving the processes. It made it easy for me to clean things up, and make my job much, much easier. Some felt like part-time jobs after a while. Back on target, the deferrals have an implied rate of return of maybe ~ 4.5%. For a lot of players, I think it is an easy conversation for the agent to tell the player to think of the deferrals as the fixed income part of his portfolio.
  24. JoeBrady
    No, not if you add stipulations older pitchers frequently violate pitch count recommendations to one side an older pitchers frequently violate pitch count recommendations It is akin to me making a claim that I am healthier than you because you sprain your ankle more often. But the only reason for that is that you run and I don't.
  25. JoeBrady
    I use to go to Houston. Even the hint of ice would result in a 72-car pileup.
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