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JoeBrady

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Everything posted by JoeBrady

  1. No. Shaw had a very good year, but suspiciously low EV and swing speed.
  2. By design. 1 means it the winning team had both a higher OBP & more HRs. 2 means HRs did better, and 3 means OBP did better. It's pretty meaningless since some of these series are 2-game series. But that was the question that was raised.
  3. That's 100% accurate. Can we all agree on what the two problems wre: The Red Sox don't give out no-trade clauses. The RS offered less PV money. Is there a 3rd problem that I am not seeing? On point 1, if this is JH's rule, there is nothing that Breslow can do about that. On point 2, maybe there is some grey area. Like I have mentioned, if there is a $5M difference over the life of the contract, one could argue give in and give him the extra $1M per. If the difference is $4M/year, there is nothing that Breslow can do about that.
  4. He did the same thing with JDM, twice.
  5. I can think of two other reasons. I know that CA is looking to change their tax laws, but if the law is taxing Ohtani on his $2M instead of the PV $42M, then Ohtani is saving about $40M over the course of the contract. This is probably sure to start a fight, but IF Ohtani has a gambling problem, it is POSSIBLE that he feels more comfortable only getting $2M a year in cash.
  6. Why would I want to do that? No one here has 1st, or 2nd, or 3rd hand knowledge of what went on. I fine with believing Bregman objected to the no-trade. What else do we know? If someone can tell me what the RS offered, at least in the ballpark, then we'll know more. But it won't matter. If the CBT offer was $135M/5, then Breslow didn't value Bregman as much as the Cubs.
  7. I have no issue with people deciding which version to believe, but we don't have two versions, and might not have one version. Some guy says he heard that Bregman was displeased with certain facets of the negotiation. Has anyone thought that Bregman might not be dealing directly with Breslow? If that's the case, then it is Boras feeding info to Bregman (which could be untrue), Bregman talking with an alleged MLB insider, who then talked to a reporter.
  8. IMHO, ten years is plenty. Players will want see some money in the bank at some point. But past that, I'd like to see the offer sheet. It is both amounts and duration. Deferring $5M/year for 15 years might be more favorable to the player than deferring $10M/year for 10 years.
  9. Maybe, maybe not. I like camaraderie, but I prefer a strong give and take.
  10. If we got Baty, I'd guess he'd go to 2nd, much like if we got Paredes, but that's guesswork. On the Mets side, my guess is that they platoon him and Vientos at DH. But, just like Paredes, it feels like a waste to platoon a player if you can trade him for a position of need.
  11. 1=winning team had both more HRs and higher OBP. 2-winning team had more HRs 3-winning team had higher OBP World Series ALCS 1 NLCS 1 AL Division Series 2 AL Division Series 1 NL Division Series 1 NL Division Series 1 Wild Card Series 1 Wild Card Series 3 Wild Card Series Wild Card Series 1 2024-No pattern on this one.
  12. That's a lot of babbling for this early in the morning.
  13. Someone asked the question about whether it applied to this year's playoffs, so it is only for one year. I can do 2024 as well to see if it is a pattern.
  14. I'd bet that some of that played into Breslow's negotiation. I didn't think there was any chance they'd move Shaw to the bench, and I'd imagine that Breslow felt the same way.
  15. But do we know that? Suarez' contract was heavily backloaded. It doesn't count for CBA, but payments of $10M/$15M/$30/$30M/$35M/$10M probably makes the real-world value something closer to $120M. I think the Bregman offer was probably far higher. But just like my 'discussion' with Drewski, we don't know.
  16. While I disagree with the rule, you either have rules or you don't. The first time you make an exception, then you have to make an exception for everyone.
  17. I might have added 'Bregman is a Cub and Suarez is a Red Sox'. The difference between the two is 0.3 fWAR. At the end of the day, the total amount of WAR generally dictates what your record is.
  18. I'm glad we agree. As far as I am concerned, it's still impossible to know what caused the split. Not trying to prolong the debate, but it could be: Bregman was insulted, or at least annoyed, by the no-trade issue. I don't blame him. We have no other IF prospects other than Arias, and he set to replace Story. Most of Bregman's value will be used by the end of year 3, so why sweat years 4&5?. Bregman could've been upset by the lack of a back-and-forth negotiation. To me, it's a game of numbers, but I've seen a lot of people get upset when you don't meet in the middle. And finally, the RS numbers might not have been competitive. That happens. But I cannot comment on that without knowing what the numbers were. If my not-to-exceed umber was $150M, and Boras tells me he'll sign today for $155M, I'd roll my eyes and sign him. But if we had $140M, and he had $160M, then it is a bridge too far.
  19. You said we wouldn't acquire a 2B/3B. When challenged, you said we wouldn't acquire a 2B/3B with an .820 OPS. When challenged, you changed that to a .780. I was saving this to the end, but you're wrong on all three accounts. What we really need is the best all-around 2B/3B. Would you be happy with a guy like Suarez, with no glove, or a guy like Paredes, who is okay with the glove?
  20. Jimi & Eric, certainly. But my musical tastes run more to towards Sly Stone and Santana rather than Jeff.. They exceled in everything, so they didn't get as much credit with the guitar. And I'm not too much into VH, but Eddie could pluck pretty well.
  21. I'm guessing the majority here likely agree. I'm still trying to talk myself into Baty, despite being a lefty.
  22. And five minutes later, complaining about JH being cheap. And when we acquire another big bat, he will say the same thing. He's a one-string banjo.
  23. When you wake up, you'll need to translate that to English.
  24. Glad to be of assistance. The research is easy. Trying to model what will win is key.
  25. He never tried to think it out. He said we would add no one. I challenged him and he folded. Then he changed the goalposts to an almost unattainable .820. I'm happy that he admits he was wrong.
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