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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. OPS+ from 2023-2026. Big enough sample to matter, but not so large that numbers players put up at age 22 are treated equal to last year. Contreras 129 Alonso 129 Bregman 120 Bichette 109 Yoshida 109 Bichette is far and away the youngest player on his list, but his hitting this year a very unhealthy .571 OPS. That’s Durbin Country, folks. Even without this year, Bichette is far from an elite hitter and barely a good ballplayer. And possibly not even an upgrade over Yoshida. Well, at least he costs twice as much. But again, why are Bregman and Alonso elite hitters but not Contreras?
  2. OPS+ is on the first offensive table for a player on baseball-reference.com
  3. Whether or not you care about OPS doesn’t change the validity of the argument. Especially when you counter with RBIs, a stat you probably don’t understand. Pete Alonso has come up to bat with 107 runners on based and driven in 14 of them. Willson Contreras has come up with 91 runners on base and driven in 15 of them. And somehow you think these two are equal on this stat? If you’re going to keep using RBI, learn how to make them useful…
  4. Pete Alonso is not an elite hitter. Not even with ridiculous definitions like this. Especially since his career mark, which Alonso is not on pace for, is only .015 ahead of what Contreras is actually hitting. At best he’s a lateral move. But not yet. Not until he actually starts hitting…
  5. I’ve been watching the Cubs a lot the last few years. This year that team has no one any fan would consider an elite hitter. Ian Happ is not an elite hitter. They have no pitcher anyone would consider an “ace” and maybe not even a “#1 starter”, a phrase I feel dirty for using. They did go crazy rebuilding their bullpen this off-season, but most of those acquisitions are injured, along with most of their returning relievers (and 3 starting pitchers). Also they have two 10 game winning streaks in the past 23 games. They just have good players that can all hit and all field their positions…
  6. Elite bats?? Plural? Please don’t tell me you think Pete Alonso and Alex Bregman are “elite bats”…
  7. Nick Martínez is proof the Rays can just get the most out of any player somehow…
  8. Story has been a flop, with multiple injuries and by the time he got healthy, straight decline. He’s not likely to be traded, and he probably won’t be DFAd/released. If he keeps up the lackluster D with the replacement player offense, will Tracy ever bench him? IKF at least brings the D. Monasterio isn’t good at either but is probably better than Story right now. But that’s sort of the main issue wuth free agency. Teams spends tons of. O su for players over 30 that see the downside of their careers more easily derailed by injury but still tie up payroll that prevents subsequent improvements. This happens all the time, yet fans still demand teams do it more often snd for longer contracts…
  9. … which doesn’t change my mind about flipping Story and Mayer on the diamond…
  10. But was he wrong? The Sox top prospect that year did play 1b. And if you’re going to gloat about the accuracy of your past posts, at least edit out Kris Bryant, who is currently struggling to stand upright but is still on the Rockies’ payroll…
  11. Yes, any recovery program will tell you is admitting you have a problem is the first step. What they neglect to mention is that for the overwhelming majority of participants, it’s the only one they do…
  12. Not true at all. The biggest lie anyone can ever tell themselves is “At least things can’t get any worse.”
  13. Think they DFA and walk away from them? Or will one of them pull a gun on IKF?
  14. Henry does still spend more than most owners. No one is happy about it, but the reality is it’s easier to get a cheaper one than a more free-spending one. That doesn’t change no matter how many banners fly over Fenway…
  15. Actually it does seem like others saw it as a problem. If no one did, Bloom wouldn’t have had to make that promise that Devers would get to stay at 3b. And if they didn’t see his defense as an issue, thats a bigger deal…
  16. True. Sac flies were normal at bats from 1930-1938 and then from 1940-1953, with conflicting reports about 1939 (Williams’ first year). I’ve seen sources say for his number of sac flies in 1941 that range from 8 to 17. That puts his average that year anywhere from .413 to .421 under today’s rules. But this did not affect his OBP, which always treated the sac fly as a plate appearance without getting on base..
  17. But Guerrero is not the guy pumping out 102-103 mph fastballs like he did in Miami. Couple that with the fact the he couldn’t find the strike zone if the house he grew up in was in it. I think he is more likely to be kerosene on a fire. But I suppose Breslow did bring him on board for some sort of reason. I’d move Bello to the bullpen first. The Sox have 5 starters without him and have Crochet coming back at some point…
  18. Actually things went south when the Sox stopped chasing OBP. Nothing wrong with not making outs…
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