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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    Anybody who knocks the Pedroia contract is basically saying you should never sign anybody to a long term contract because there's too much risk of decline. So they should be all in favor of letting Lester go...and Scherzer, forget that too. It's the way baseball is now for big market teams. Damned if you do, damned if you don't.
  2. Bellhorn04
    No, it's way too early to give up on Bogaerts. He's 21. He's hit 11 jacks. It's not like JBJ who's only hit 1.
  3. Bellhorn04
    Personally, I don't think there are that many 'garbage time' plate appearances in MLB. They all count equally in the player's season and career stats, and those stats are scrutinized to death and used to judge the player's value. They affect his playing time, his potential future earnings etc. etc. Sure there's less pressure if your team is out of it, but most hitters and pitchers are still trying their asses off because of the almighty statistics.
  4. Bellhorn04
    You could argue that the Red Sox have had very few meaningful games this year.
  5. Bellhorn04
    Maybe, but it worked superbly for the 2013 Red Sox.
  6. Bellhorn04
    You can be both an a-hole and a valuable contributor. See also Josh Beckett, 2007.
  7. Bellhorn04
    I seriously doubt they're getting to 70 now. I think they're going to lose more games than the 2012 team. Debacle-Championship-Debacle. I swear, the Red Sox are capable of more weird stuff than any other franchise in sport.
  8. Bellhorn04
    This question is sort of the new version of 'Why not us?'.
  9. Bellhorn04
    How likely is it he hits the open market?
  10. Bellhorn04
    In his last 14 games, Willie Washup has 23 K's and 1 BB, 2 Sombreros and 2 Regular Hats.
  11. Bellhorn04
    That's the 14th time they've been shut out this year, with 18 games to go. It's going to be a crazy high number, that's for sure.
  12. Bellhorn04
    I watched it. Not pretty at all.
  13. Bellhorn04
    2011 was Dunn's first year with the White Sox after they signed him to a 4 year, 56 million deal. They were in no position to do anything but play him with that much money invested. Note: he had 4 errors that year, not 60 - most of his time was at DH, plus some 1B. As for Victorino, assuming he's healthy enough to play ball at the start of the year, I'm guessing the Sox could trade him easily enough if they picked up at least half of his 13 million salary for 2015.
  14. Bellhorn04
    Pretty strange situation with Craig. If it was just an obvious case of needing surgery, you'd think it would have happened while he was still with St. Louis.
  15. Bellhorn04
    I think it diminished this year, yes. But I don't think it was that high at the start of 2014.
  16. Bellhorn04
    The only guy I can see they may have made a costly mistake with is Bradley. We're a long way from knowing if Bogaerts will live up to the hype. And Betts looks pretty good. 2014 is a disaster, I don't disagree in the least. But it will be a while before we know just how badly they judged the value of the prospects.
  17. Bellhorn04
    I see Palodios's point. How do you find out if it's Betts or Bradley who's the real deal until you see them play in the bigs for a while? As for trading for Stanton, nobody knows exactly when the Marlins will be ready to entertain offers. If it's not until next offseason, does that mean we should be keeping all our prospects in the minors until then to max their trade value? There's a lot of luck involved in all this stuff.
  18. Bellhorn04
    OK I found the article. I certainly get the point Wiser is making, that some hitters are going to have a higher BABip than others over the careers, regardless of luck. But what he's saying is that we should expect BABip's fluctuating in a certain range, say .270 to .330, instead of being .300 for everybody. A .395 BABip is not sustainable by anybody, period. Wiser notes that Miguel's Cabrera's career BABip is .346. I would guess that is as high as anybody currently in MLB has been able to sustain over their careers.
  19. Bellhorn04
    I haven't found the article, but I'm pretty sure that some short-term BABIP's are simply unsustainable, period, such as the .395 Holt had at the All-Star Break.
  20. Bellhorn04
    Fred, what did Farrell do wrong in the ninth? He got Bogaerts to sacrifice, successfully, and he pinch hit Nava for Middlebrooks. Where exactly did Farrell cost us there?
  21. Bellhorn04
    Ben probably tosses and turns some nights thinking about Buch and what to do about him. There's always that possibility that the guy finally gets it together, and you'd hate to see him doing that in another team's uniform after trading him for not much. Like it or not he'll be part of the 2015 opening day rotation.
  22. Bellhorn04
    Farrell's not getting fired. Cherington has already accepted a lot of the blame for this year's performance. The only way Farrell would get fired, IMO, is if there's some friction behind the scenes we don't know about. It won't be because of the 2014 W-L record.
  23. Bellhorn04
    I'm not going to try to debate Farrell's managerial abilities. I try to stay away from that stuff, most of it is up for endless debate. But I can't see how having a .500 record in one-run games this year, when the overall record is 61-77, reflects badly on the manager. There's a lot of randomness in one-run games anyway.
  24. Bellhorn04
    Tommy 'Night Train' Layne
  25. Bellhorn04
    Sox are 25-25 in one run games (huge number, I know). Their Pythagorean record is identical to their actual record. So there's nothing in the stats to point a finger at Farrell. The Yankees are on the way to beating their Pythagorean record 2 years in a row, which is very unusual. Not sure it'll be much consolation if they miss the playoffs both years.
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