2024 Prospects

[mvp 78]

@EdHand89

Notes on the Red Sox third round pick, RHP Brandon Neely.

-U of F Gator

-Fastball is his best pitch currently. Tops at 96-97 but mostly lives around 93 mph. Misses bats due to ride.

-Best secondary pitch is his slider, also throws a changeup + curveball.

-Worked mostly out of the pen in college but there are scouts who believe he has the pitch repertoire to be a backend starter.

[mvp 78]

On Neely:

 

@redsoxstats

In the post season last month, he threw 24 innings with 15 hits allowed, 5 walks, and 38 strikeouts.

 

92-94 T97, with yet again, lower release height and lots of ride and movement.

[mvp 78]

Round 4: Zach Ehrhard - OF, RH

 

@RotoClegg

Boston takes Zach Ehrhard at 115. OF from Oklahoma State.

Hit .331/.458/.627 with 14 HR & 25 2B tho year.

Elite contact profile:

87% contact/93% in-zone w/sub 20% chase

Respectable EVs: 90 mph average/104 mph 90th. Hits the ball at ideal angles.

[mvp 78]

Round 5: Brandon Clarke, LHP

 

6'4", 99mph, shaky command, secondary stuff needs work

[mvp 78]

Round 6: Blake Aita, RHP

 

@ggeiss_mlb

Blake Aita some who has “stuff.”

 

Another big metric pitcher.

 

FB 89-91 t94 with his spin rates and armside run.

 

Low 80’s sweeper with 3000+ RPMs and massive horizontal break.

 

Mid 80’s cutter as well.

 

The command is something he’ll need to work on moving forward.

[Hugh2]

FWIW, Ian and Chris of SoxProspects said they'd grade Montgomery in the Bleis/Campbell tier and Montgomery just after Elmer Rodriguez.

 

Dude is such a stud he’s going to get ranked twice

[moonslav59]

FWIW, Ian and Chris of SoxProspects said they'd grade Montgomery in the Bleis/Campbell tier and Montgomery just after Elmer Rodriguez.

 

as a hitter and pitcher?

[mvp 78]

Dude is such a stud he’s going to get ranked twice

 

Whoopsiedoodle. Tole was going to be ranked after Rodriguez.

[Hugh2]

Whoopsiedoodle. Tole was going to be ranked after Rodriguez.

 

We knew what you meant, but you can't throw red meat at us like that and expect us not to joke about it.

[moonslav59]

Prospects by Position:

 

P:

6. Perales

8. Fitts

9. Sandlin

16. E Rodriquez

20. Wikelman

21. Dobbins

22. Penrod

24. Early

25. Monegro

27. Mullins

29. Portes

30. Guerrero

Drafted: Tolle, Carson, Neely, Clarke, Aita, Futrell, Brooks, Tygart, Sorague, Bouchard, Gartrell, Kilander, Tolbert, Hansen

 

C:

3. Teel

18. Jo. Garcia

Hickey (DH,) Brannon

Drafted: White

 

1B:

Jordan (DH?)

 

2B:

7. Cespedes (SS/ OF?)

10. Zanetello (SS)

12. Yorke (LF?)

15. Paulino

26. Romero

 

SS:

2. Mayer

14. Arias (2B?)

 

3B:

11. Meidroth

28. C Coffey

A Anderson

Drafted: Ortiz

 

OF:

1. Anthony

4. Bleis

5. Campbell (2B)

13. Lugo (DH)

17. Castro

23. Jh. Garcia

Drafted: Montgomery, Ehrhard, Turner, Cruz

 

[moonslav59]

Top OPS on the Farm (150+ PAs)

1.046 K Campbell

1.005 Kavadas

.984 M Lugo

.956 Gasper

.951 Jh. Garcia

.946 Arias

.868 B Gonzales

.852 Westbrook

.851 Dalbec

.839 Teel

.837 Mayer

.827 Alvarez

.816 Sogard

.808 Meidroth

.794 Castro

.794 Binelas

.790 Yorke

.781 Anthony

.781 C Coffey

.740 Paulino

.733 Jordan

.733 A Lugo

.717 T Miller

.711 Hickey

.710 Sykes

.684 Taylor

.674 Bleis

.670 Yuten

 

50-149 PAs

1.088 Romy

1.063 Jo. Garcia

1.015 Cespedes

.946 J Gonzalez

.843 F Jimenez

.842 Bolivar

.834 Asencio

.825 Barry

.823 E Valdez

.808 Marrero

.801 Fernandez

.768 Noria

.762 Sierra

.759 E Lopez

.758 Pinto

.756 Ayubi

.752 Brito

.741 Nunez

.736 Heineman

 

[moonslav59]

OPS by Pitchers (50+ IP)

hunt

.538 Wehunt

.541 Dean

.548 Ingrassia

.552 E R-C

.607 Dobbins

.620 J Paez

.630 Mullins

.633 Olds

.645 Early

.661 Cohen

.683 I Coffey

.685 Webb

.693 Duffy

.695 Alexander (81.1 IP most on farm)

.704 Rogers

.748 Jackson

.756 Gambrell

.788 Fitts

 

35-50 IP

.447 Valera

.560 Sansone

.570 Olivarez

.572 Landry

.591 O'Donnell

.593 Penrod

.599 Carlson

.634 Fogell

.644 Luetge

.683 Stebens

.685 Bastardo

.694 Shugart

.695 Guerrero

.696 Kwiak.

.699 Wikelman

[Dipre]

Anyone even remotely interested in the Red Sox owes it to themselves to read The Athletics' Writeup on the Red Sox 2024 draft.

[moonslav59]

Top Sox OPS from 2023 to 2024 (250+ PAs, unless noted)

 

1.019 Campbell

.973 Cespedes

.956 Gasper

.948 Arias

.935 Abreu

.913 Dalbec (44 HRs)

.885 Asencio (234 PAs)

.883 Kavadas (38 HRs) .925 OPS from 2022-2024

.877 Teel

.875 Asigen (206)

.869 Rafaela (36 SBs)

.864 Jo Garcia

.851 Westbrook

.851 Valdez

.840 Anthony

.834 Alvarez

.818 Nunez

.817 Salazar (240)

.815 Jh Garcia

.803 Meidroth (151 BB/138 Ks)

.802 Jordan

.799 DHam (57 SBs)

.798 Musett

.797 Hickey (28 HRs)

.788 Yorke

.786 Sogard

.785 Mayer

.783 Castro

.777 Brannon

 

 

[moonslav59]

Woo wong big.

 

3-6 Meidroth w HR

2-6 Valdez w HR & 2B

3-5 Yorke w HR

2-5 Sogard w HR & BB

3-5 Dalbec w 2B

2-4 Alvarez w 3B & BB

0-3 Kavadas w 2BB & SF

Gambrell 5 IP, 3H, 1 ER, 2BB, 4K

 

POR won 6-2

I Coffey 5IP, 4H, 1ER, 2BB, 4K

3-3 Mayer w HR & BB

1-3 Teel w BB

1-4 Anthony w 3B

2-4 Jordan w HR

1-4 Campbell w 2rbi

 

Salem won 6-5

3-4 Anderson w 3B

2-5 Alcantara

 

FCL won 5-3

1-3 w BB Arias

2-4 Nunez

1=2 w BB Riemer

 

DSL Red won 4-0 as Beltre & Payano combined for a no-hitter!

 

 

 

[moonslav59]

Farm Records:

 

DSL Red 25-9 (+119 run diff)

DSL Blue 12-18 (-45)

Salem A- 46-42 (+3)

Grnvll A+ 38-49 (-36)

Prtlnd AA 47-39 (+20)

Woo AAA 45-48 (+69!!!)

 

[Larry Cook]

Mayer went 3 for 3 with a tater and a walk.

[moonslav59]

Mayer went 3 for 3 with a tater and a walk.

 

Time for him to see Woo.

[Larry Cook]

Time for him to see Woo.

 

What do we do with meidroth????

[moonslav59]

What do we do with meidroth????

 

He will never replace Devers, but he could be 3B depth, if Devers gets hurt.

 

I think his best chance at making the Sox 26 is at 2B/DH. I think he is blocked and could be traded.

 

2B: Story or Mayer (whichever is not the starting SS,) Campbell, Grissom, DHam, Romy, EValdez and Yorke make 7 guys ahead of Meidroth on the 2B depth chart.

 

DH: Yoshida, Refsnyder, EValdez, Campbell, Yorke and maybe Kavadas & Lugo are ahead of Meidroth at DH. That's 6-7 above him. Even if he beats out Yoshida, why does he look better than Ref vs LHPs and EValdez vs RHPs or Campbell/Lugo/Kavadas/Yorke?

 

If Meidroth learns to play LF, there are plenty in front of him, there.

[moonslav59]

I'm not sure if these guys have much trade value, but to me, these near ML ready prospects/young player are super blocked:

 

E Valdez

Meidroth

Lugo

Castro

Paulino

Kavadas/Hickey/Rosier

[Hugh2]

I'm not sure if these guys have much trade value, but to me, these near ML ready prospects/young player are super blocked:

 

E Valdez

Meidroth

Lugo

Castro

Paulino

Kavadas/Hickey/Rosier

 

They could be secondary pieces for a decent rental if a team values them higher than the Red Sox. Meidroth is starting to intrigue me, I've never given him much thought because the scouting worries me in that the underlying metrics tells he's a guy who can't impact the ball and will be exposed at the higher level. But he's been nailing the ball lately so I'm wondering if something is changing with him.

[moonslav59]

They could be secondary pieces for a decent rental if a team values them higher than the Red Sox. Meidroth is starting to intrigue me, I've never given him much thought because the scouting worries me in that the underlying metrics tells he's a guy who can't impact the ball and will be exposed at the higher level. But he's been nailing the ball lately so I'm wondering if something is changing with him.

 

I think we can get something decent for 2-3 of the guys I listed- perhaps 2-3 together, or one with a mid level guy added (Fiits, Sandlin or Yorke.)

 

I keep bringing up the Aldo Ramirez for Schwarber trade as an example, but those types of deals are common: a team's 10-20th prospect for a decent and useful player.

 

Fitts and 1-2 from Valdez, Lugo, Meidroth, Paulino, Castro, Jordan for a SP.

Yorke and 2-3 from the same group for a SP or RHB + RP.

 

It would hardly affect our future depth chart, except for maybe Fitts.

 

[Larry Cook]

I'm not sure if these guys have much trade value, but to me, these near ML ready prospects/young player are super blocked:

 

E Valdez

Meidroth

Lugo

Castro

Paulino

Kavadas/Hickey/Rosier

 

Valdez opens up a spot on the 40 man roster

 

A decision has to be made on winkleman. He has a spot in the 40 as well

[moonslav59]

Valdez opens up a spot on the 40 man roster

 

A decision has to be made on winkleman. He has a spot in the 40 as well

 

Yes, as do Dalbec & Mata. Many times, needing to be on the 40 is a bad thing, to some teams looking at a winter roster crunch.

 

Some of our 40 man roster players have zero trade value, but here is my trade list for them:

 

EValdez

Murphy

Walter

Wikelman

Mata

Westbrook

Horn

Heineman

Wingenter

Speas

Dalbec

 

Rule 5, this winter, that could be traded:

Yorke

Lugo

Jordan

Guerrero

Paulino

Castro

Hickey

Gambrell

Sogard

Troye

[Larry Cook]

Yes, as do Dalbec & Mata. Many times, needing to be on the 40 is a bad thing, to some teams looking at a winter roster crunch.

 

Some of our 40 man roster players have zero trade value, but here is my trade list for them:

 

EValdez

Murphy

Walter

Wikelman

Mata

Westbrook

Horn

Heineman

Wingenter

Speas

Dalbec

 

Rule 5, this winter, that could be traded:

Yorke

Lugo

Jordan

Guerrero

Paulino

Castro

Hickey

Gambrell

Sogard

Troye

 

Did’t hang’em Chaim say he preferred a long jam of middle infielders because they are athletes

[moonslav59]

Did’t hang’em Chaim say he preferred a long jam of middle infielders because they are athletes

 

Time to look at quality over quantity, and Bloom ain't here, no more.

[moonslav59]

Woo is tied in 9th

 

Kavadas homered (17th) and Dbld 1.012 OPS

Grissom was walked twice.

EValdez 2-4

Lugo 2-3 w BB

 

POR lost 6-5.

Teel 4-5 w HR & 2B (.868)

2-5 Mayer (.864)

1-5 Anthony (.799)

1-4 w BB Campbell (1.100)

2-5 Jordan (.758)

 

GRE is down 5-4, but Monegro went 4 scoreless (1H, 3BB, 2K)

Jg Garcia 1-3 w 3B

Coffey 1-3 w 2B

 

SAL won 7-6

3-4 Yuten w 2B & BB

3-4 Lugo w BB

 

FCL lost

2-3 w BB Arias (1.055)

1-3 Reimer (.815)

1-3 Nunez (.761)

 

 

Edited July 21, 2024 by moonslav59

[Larry Cook]

Time to look at quality over quantity, and Bloom ain't here, no more.

 

Do you hate the man that much??

[moonslav59]

Do you hate the man that much??

 

Who do I hate?