2024 Prospects

[mvp 78]

No HR's this week for Cutter, but he's still gone 4-8. Hot bat!

[mvp 78]

Coffey, Campbell, Mayer, Teel and Anthony have all raked since May 1.

 

https://x.com/redsoxstats/status/1803860283607167209

 

@redsoxstats

Mayer is having one of those mini bursts that you often see leading into a promotion. 11 for 22 with 4 doubles in his last 5 games.

[mvp 78]

I think we are getting closer to a Mayer and Teel promotion to AAA in the next few weeks. Anthony may trail little bit behind, but should still be promoted this season.

 

I don't think we see any of them this year in BOS. Mayer has an outside chance if he keeps hitting and the Sox see the production dip in MIF, but the team is still in it.

[mvp 78]

@brendan_camp

Juan Valera today for the FCL Red Sox:

 

4 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 2 K

 

Retired 11 of the 15 batters he faced and lowered his ERA on the season to 2.31 over 21 1/3 innings. Opponents are batting just .143 against him.

[Larry Cook]

No HR's this week for Cutter, but he's still gone 4-8. Hot bat!

 

He just got one today. 12th of the year

[Larry Cook]

I think we are getting closer to a Mayer and Teel promotion to AAA in the next few weeks. Anthony may trail little bit behind, but should still be promoted this season.

 

I don't think we see any of them this year in BOS. Mayer has an outside chance if he keeps hitting and the Sox see the production dip in MIF, but the team is still in it.

 

Mayer’s splits are very extreme.

 

I think teel is ready for Worcester. He has some things to work on but he is ready for Worcester

[moonslav59]

Mayer’s splits are very extreme.

 

That is concerning, but it's just 52 ABs in 2024 v LHPs.

 

In '23 it was .710

.896 in '22

.887 in '21 (actually better than v RHPs)

[moonslav59]

Meidroth has walked in 14 of his last 16 games and 24 times, total!

 

He has a .517 OBP in June. It was .398 in May and .462 in April.

[mvp 78]

That is concerning, but it's just 52 ABs in 2024 v LHPs.

 

In '23 it was .710

.896 in '22

.887 in '21 (actually better than v RHPs)

 

There is a HUGE difference in competition as you climb the ladder. If he's struggling against LHP in AA, you can't just write it off as SSS.

[mvp 78]

Mayer’s splits are very extreme.

 

I think teel is ready for Worcester. He has some things to work on but he is ready for Worcester

 

What he needs to work on is the defense. That's what isn't showing up on the boxscore.

[moonslav59]

There is a HUGE difference in competition as you climb the ladder. If he's struggling against LHP in AA, you can't just write it off as SSS.

 

I'm not writing it off. I'm just saying the SSS might not reflect any actual major problem.

 

I did say it was "concerning," so I don't know where you get the "writing off" aspect of your post.

[moonslav59]

Cutter Coffey is 16 for his last 36 with 8 HRs and 20 rbi!

 

WOW!

[mvp 78]

I'd keep him down in Greenville for a while. He hasn't had any success while being in the organization. Let him enjoy it for away and get his confidence back before he has to take the next jump. Going to AA is arguably the toughest leap in MiLB.

[moonslav59]

I'd keep him down in Greenville for a while. He hasn't had any success while being in the organization. Let him enjoy it for away and get his confidence back before he has to take the next jump. Going to AA is arguably the toughest leap in MiLB.

 

Agreed. 36 PAs is not a long enough time to radically change the plan. Now, if they were close to promoting him before this stretch, then maybe, but I doubt they were.

[mvp 78]

I'm not writing it off. I'm just saying the SSS might not reflect any actual major problem.

 

I did say it was "concerning," so I don't know where you get the "writing off" aspect of your post.

 

From his scouting report: Needs to improve pitch recognition, especially against breaking balls. Some questions about how his contact skills will translate against more advanced pitching.

 

It's not a surprise that he's now struggling with a split.

 

GRE 23: 37.5 k% vs LHP, 20.0 k% vs RHP

SAL 22: 34.8 k% vs LHP, 23.9 k% vs RHP

[moonslav59]

From his scouting report: Needs to improve pitch recognition, especially against breaking balls. Some questions about how his contact skills will translate against more advanced pitching.

 

It's not a surprise that he's now struggling with a split.

 

GRE 23: 37.5 k% vs LHP, 20.0 k% vs RHP

SAL 22: 34.8 k% vs LHP, 23.9 k% vs RHP

 

I have agreed this is a concern. I'm not sure what else I need to say.

[Hugh2]

I'd keep him down in Greenville for a while. He hasn't had any success while being in the organization. Let him enjoy it for away and get his confidence back before he has to take the next jump. Going to AA is arguably the toughest leap in MiLB.

 

Agree, even if he mashes all year. You can always give him a call up with the last few weeks of the Milb season as a reward. He's fine.

[moonslav59]

Criswell was cruising through 5 with Woo, when the big club bug bit, and two errors have led to 3 runs in the 6th (so far.)

Kavadas has homered twice.

Meidroth is o-3 w no BBs- shocking!

 

POR got swept in a DBLHDR by one run, each game.

Game 1: Encarnacion let up 8 runs (7ERS) in 1.1 IP.

Teel, Jordan & Sikes homered.

Anthony 1-3 w BB

Mayer 1-3 w BB

Teel 2-4

Game2: Wikelman roughed up, again. Mata w 3IP 3H, 0ER, 1BB, 2K

Anthony 0-3 w BB

Mayer 2-4

Teel 1-2

 

GRE lost by 1, also.

Sandlin 2 IP, 0H, 0ER, 1BB, 4K

 

All of a sudden, SAL is scoring in bunches.

Dean: 5IP, 2H, 2ER, 5BB, 6K

Brannon 3-5

Anderson, Alcantara & Taylor all w 2 Hits.

[Larry Cook]

Criswell was cruising through 5 with Woo, when the big club bug bit, and two errors have led to 3 runs in the 6th (so far.)

Kavadas has homered twice.

Meidroth is o-3 w no BBs- shocking!

 

POR got swept in a DBLHDR by one run, each game.

Game 1: Encarnacion let up 8 runs (7ERS) in 1.1 IP.

Teel, Jordan & Sikes homered.

Anthony 1-3 w BB

Mayer 1-3 w BB

Teel 2-4

Game2: Wikelman roughed up, again. Mata w 3IP 3H, 0ER, 1BB, 2K

Anthony 0-3 w BB

Mayer 2-4

Teel 1-2

 

GRE lost by 1, also.

Sandlin 2 IP, 0H, 0ER, 1BB, 4K

 

All of a sudden, SAL is scoring in bunches.

Dean: 5IP, 2H, 2ER, 5BB, 6K

Brannon 3-5

Anderson, Alcantara & Taylor all w 2 Hits.

 

In terms of sweet swings, I think Brannon has one of the best. But to date, he is always injured

[moonslav59]

Woo lost 9-7, and it looks like Meidroth is taking a break from walking and just hitting the ball, now, going 3 for 5.

3-5 Westbrook w HR

2-5 Lugo w HR (.742 OPS in AAA)

Sogard walked 3 times.

 

POR lost 2-1. (I never got around to see them, this summer.)

Mayer and Teel did not play. Anthony went 0-4.

 

GRE lost 6-5

Jh Garcia homered (1.027)

Bleis 1-4 w BB

[moonslav59]

We are just about halfway through the minor league season. Despite some setbacks to guys like Perales, Johanfran Garcia and others due to injury and a few prospects that dropped off the top rankings lists, like Drohan, Wikelman, Mata and others, I do not think I'm being a "homer" by saying our farm is looking as strong as it has in many, many years.

 

Our top 3 prospects are highly ranked by almost every ranking site around. I do not think it's a wearing rose-colored glasses type of situation, here. These three look for real. Of course, many "for real" prospects end up not impressing, and it might be likely one or maybe even two of these three that don't reach expectations, but all three look legit, and all three will likely be in the bigs within a year or maybe 1.5 seasons.

 

The next group of three prospects, Perales, Bleis and Cespedes are farther away and carry greater risk than the big three, but there is a ton of potential in these guys. Perales was looking really good, before the major injury. He has a ways to go to come back, but the promise is still there. Bleis and Cespedes are multi-tolled players who have gotten more notice, especially Cespedes. I'm super high on Cespedes, and I like the odds on 1 or 2 of these guys becoming pretty special.

 

The next 3, Fitts, Zanetello and Campbell, to me, are super promising. Maybe I'm being a homer, here- maybe not. Campbell is a shooting star, right now, but the other two are hopeful, too. I'm thinking these three might have the same chances of success as the second group of 3.

 

Together, the top 3 groups of 3 might very well might produce 5-6 very productive ML players. Is thinking 5 of 9 will being a homer?

 

To me, there is a big drop off after 9-10, but there is hope in numbers.

 

Sandlin, E R-C, Monegro, Dobbins, Guerrero, Early and others might produce a couple keepers for the staff.

 

I'm not that high on Yorke, Castro, Paulino as some others, but maybe I'm higher on Meidroth, Lugo and the Garcia brothers than some are.

 

In short, I think we have a lot to be optimistic about on the farm, but on top of this, many of the farm infusions will be joining the bigs within the window of recent grads and extended players still being under team control for so many more seasons.

 

We went through a pretty long stretch with no major impactful players being called up from our farm. I've noted the time period between Devers in 2017 to Houck, who graduated in late '21 and Duran in '22 as being particularly empty of help, but in reality, the true impact of Houck and Duran is just now being realized. That was about a 7-8 year timeframe.

 

I don't mean to minimize the recent impact of graduated prospects: it goes beyond just Houck & Duran. We have Crawford, Bello, Wong, Casas, Rafaela, Whitlock, Abreu, Valdez, Slaten, and a few others like Wink, Kelly, Bernardino, DHam and Booser, too.

 

Combine the two large groups together and add Devers, and maybe we can reach the promise land sooner than many think we will.

 

[mvp 78]

Lugo falling back to earth in AAA.

 

192 AVG

742 OPS

[mvp 78]

On the flip side, Yorke has stayed hot and has had a hit n 14 of 16 games for WOO with a 991 OPS.

[mvp 78]

@SoxProspects

In a minor transaction, the FCL Red Sox added infielder Jancel Santana from the DSL today. The move is a little more significant, though, because the domestic reserve list is now full at 165, albeit with Luis Perales and Angel Bastardo candidates for the long-term IL.

 

Corresponding move is probably Cespedes to Salem.

[mvp 78]

@SoxProspects

In a minor transaction, the FCL Red Sox added infielder Jancel Santana from the DSL today. The move is a little more significant, though, because the domestic reserve list is now full at 165, albeit with Luis Perales and Angel Bastardo candidates for the long-term IL.

 

Corresponding move is probably Cespedes to Salem.

 

@BOSSportsGordo

Yoeilin Cespedes has confirmed on his IG that he has been promoted to Low-A Salem.

[Larry Cook]

On the flip side, Yorke has stayed hot and has had a hit n 14 of 16 games for WOO with a 991 OPS.

 

Yorke - Keeper or trade chip????

Jordan - keeper or trade chip????

Campbell - keeper or trade chip????

[moonslav59]

Yorke - Keeper or trade chip????

Jordan - keeper or trade chip????

Campbell - keeper or trade chip????

 

Trade

Trade

Keep

[Dipre]

I'm still high on Yorke. I'd keep him.

[mvp 78]

Yorke - Keeper or trade chip????

Jordan - keeper or trade chip????

Campbell - keeper or trade chip????

 

There isn't enough trade value for Yorke at the moment. He's a diminished defensive guy who may figure it out offensively. Better to hold onto him.

 

Jordan is a guy with light tower power who has never done it in game. I don't think he has any trade value.

 

I don't see the point in trading any of them. I think you probably add Yorke to the 40 man and see if Jordan gets picked in the Rule 5, but I don't think it happens.

[Larry Cook]

What prospect assets does bres-slow have to use at the trade deadline?

 

Blies?

Cespedes?