2024 Prospects

[mvp 78]

@redsoxstats

Marcelo Mayer's 90th percentile exit velocity is 106.5 mph so far this year. Last season in MLB, that would have ranked 77th/396. A lot of very strong under the hood metrics for Mayer so far.

[mvp 78]

On Anthony:

 

@redsoxstats

His metrics are crazy, as of recently, his 90th was second in all of Double-A w/ very good discipline

[moonslav59]

Rafaela, Abreu and DHam graduated from prospect status on soxprospects.com, so we saw some attrition on their rankings for May. Zanetello jumps 4 spots (really just 1.) He humped over Sandlin

 

Fitts jumped over Wikelman to #6.

 

Yorke stayed at 11, but others passed him (Sandin & Zanetello)

 

Paulino jumped from 19 to 15, passing Jordan and Hickey, who both fell, despite higher ups coming off the boards..

 

Slaten jumped. a lot (20 to 12)

 

Others:

Zeferjahn from 46 to 31

Early 47 to 33

Jh Garcia 49 to 35

Benitez 54 to 44

Lugo NR to 50

Gambrell from 32 to 28.

 

Troye 34 to 41

 

[5GoldGlovesOF,75]

Rafaela, Abreu and DHam graduated from prospect status on soxprospects.com, so we saw some attrition on their rankings for May. Zanetello jumps 4 spots (really just 1.) He humped over Sandlin

 

Fitts jumped over Wikelman to #6.

 

Yorke stayed at 11, but others passed him (Sandin & Zanetello)

 

Paulino jumped from 19 to 15, passing Jordan and Hickey, who both fell, despite higher ups coming off the boards..

 

Slaten jumped. a lot (20 to 12)

 

Others:

Zeferjahn from 46 to 31

Early 47 to 33

Jh Garcia 49 to 35

Benitez 54 to 44

Lugo NR to 50

Gambrell from 32 to 28.

 

Troye 34 to 41

 

 

Slaten's still a prospect? Hope he makes it.

[moonslav59]

Slaten's still a prospect? Hope he makes it.

 

He's never pitched in MLB, until this year, despite being 26.

[mvp 78]

Rafaela, Abreu and DHam graduated from prospect status on soxprospects.com, so we saw some attrition on their rankings for May. Zanetello jumps 4 spots (really just 1.) He humped over Sandlin

 

Fitts jumped over Wikelman to #6.

 

Yorke stayed at 11, but others passed him (Sandin & Zanetello)

 

Paulino jumped from 19 to 15, passing Jordan and Hickey, who both fell, despite higher ups coming off the boards..

 

Slaten jumped. a lot (20 to 12)

 

Others:

Zeferjahn from 46 to 31

Early 47 to 33

Jh Garcia 49 to 35

Benitez 54 to 44

Lugo NR to 50

Gambrell from 32 to 28.

 

Troye 34 to 41

 

 

Ian Cundall gave a real mealy mouthed response about why Slaten jumped to 12 after saying they'd never let a reliever be higher than 20.

 

Sometimes, their rankings are a little too volatile IMO as we've seen with Matthew Lugo.

[moonslav59]

Last night on the farm...

 

Woo lost 7-5.

Gambrell saw his ERA drop to 4.62 (6IP, 4ER, 7H, 3BB, 5K)

Benitez 1.1 IP, 3ER, 2H, 4BB, 2K, now has an ERA of 5.82

EValdez 2-4 w 2B

Dalbec & Westbrook homered.

 

POR lost 4-1

Bello started (2.2 IP, 4H, 2ER, 2BB, 5K)

Oilvarez 4.0 IP, 0ER, 0H, 5BB, 5K

Teel 2-3 w 2B & BB

Anthony 1-4 w 2B & BB

Mayer 1-4 w rbi

 

GRE won 9-1

Early 4.2IP, 1ER, 4H, 2BB, 5K

K Campbell 0-4 w BB

Liendo 2-4

 

SAL lost 2-1

E R-C 4.2 IP, 1ER, 4H, 3BB, 8K

Bleis 2-5 w HR

Jh Garcia 2-4 w 2B

 

 

[mvp 78]

I tried to watch the Greenville game, but it had no sound. Really brutal. Early let some runners on, but part of it is due to the shaky IF defense there. The IF defense in Salem and Portland is much better.

[moonslav59]

Van Belle let up 9 runs in 4 IP.

Zeferjahn: 2 IP, 3H, 0ER, 1BB, 2K

EValdez & Koloz homered, and Kavadas went 2-2 w BB

 

Woo won the second game 4-0 as Shugart pitched 5 scoreless.

Kavadas homered (1.107)

 

POR lost 3-2 as Dobbins did okay (5IP 2 ER)

Mayer homered (1-3) w BB

Teel had a 2B (1-4)

Anthony 2-4

Yorke 1-3 w BB

Lugo 1-3 (1.165)

 

[mvp 78]

Johanfran Garcia was moved to the full season IL list and is done for the year.

[sk7326]

Yorke is a hit first mediocre 2b with a 737 OPS in his second go around in AA so far.

 

Blaze Jordan was drafted for light tower power, but he's morphed into a contact hitter who struggles with velo.

 

Miguel Bleis has all the tools you would want, but has never put it together. There's a little bit of unluckiness there for sure, but he needs to at least show something in game.

 

The Sox system is highly rated because it has a lot of depth, not because it has a bunch of highly rated guys. Aside from the big 3, I'm not sure there's a lot of trade value there.

 

Zanatello and Cespedes look like big upside guys but in each case it is very, very early.

[sk7326]

After two horrendous starts, Wikelman Gonzalez has started to hit a groove in Portland.

[moonslav59]

Johanfran Garcia was moved to the full season IL list and is done for the year.

 

What a shame.

 

What is the injury?

[mvp 78]

What a shame.

 

What is the injury?

 

Knee surgery

[5GoldGlovesOF,75]

What a shame.

 

What is the injury?

 

Plays for the Red Sox.

[mvp 78]

@PatSullivan05

Niko Kavadas percentile ranks (90+ PA):

 

Damage/BBE: 100th

90th EV: 75th

Barrel/PA: 97th

wRC+: 98th

ISO: 98th

xwOBA: 100th

SwStr%: 74th

K/BB: 76th

Selectivity: 97th

Chase%: 94th

[moonslav59]

Plays for the Red Sox.

 

Body strain.

[moonslav59]

@PatSullivan05

Niko Kavadas percentile ranks (90+ PA):

 

Damage/BBE: 100th

90th EV: 75th

Barrel/PA: 97th

wRC+: 98th

ISO: 98th

xwOBA: 100th

SwStr%: 74th

K/BB: 76th

Selectivity: 97th

Chase%: 94th

 

Does this get you to have some hopes he can make an impact in the bigs?

[mvp 78]

Does this get you to have some hopes he can make an impact in the bigs?

 

It depends on Casas' outlook and the continued suckitude of the guys they bring in like Smith and Cooper. He's still a platoon bat with a long swing. Maybe it could work? Hard to say if they want to give it a shot. He's still hitting really low in the order whenever I watch.

[mvp 78]

Kavadas:

1263 OPS vs RHP

672 OPS vs LHP

[moonslav59]

Kavadas:

1263 OPS vs RHP

672 OPS vs LHP

 

Maybe he can get his OPS vs LHPs up to the Yaz number of .693.

[5GoldGlovesOF,75]

Kavadas:

1263 OPS vs RHP

672 OPS vs LHP

 

Realists would say he's half bad vs. lefties. Fakests would say he's twice as good vs. righties.

[moonslav59]

Realists would say he's half bad vs. lefties. Fakests would say he's twice as good vs. righties.

 

Good thing for Kavadas, batters face RHPs about 65-70% of the time.

[moonslav59]

Speaking of the surging Kavadas, who batted him 7th, tonight.

He doubled (1-4 w 3 Ks)

They are losing 6-4 in the 9th.

 

POR lost 5-3, but it looks like Mayer is heating up. He homered, last night and went 3-4 with 3 doubles and a BB. Too bad Anthony was 0-5 in front of him. Teel was 2-4 behind him w a BB. Yorke went 2-3 w a BB. Lugo is cooling off (0-4).

1.106 Lugo

.822 Mayer

.792 Teel

.750 Jordan

.749 Yorke

.699 Anthony

 

GRE lost 4-2

KCampbell doubled and walked in 5 PAs.

They are playing the second game, now. Perales 8 Ks in 4 IP (2ER)

 

JH Garcia homered for SAL, and they are up 4-2 in the 7th.

 

Mikey Romero went 3-5 for the FCL club (1.071)

[5GoldGlovesOF,75]

Good thing for Kavadas, batters face RHPs about 65-70% of the time.

 

... except in late innings of every close game the Red Sox play with their totally unbalanced lefty batting order.

[moonslav59]

... except in late innings of every close game the Red Sox play with their totally unbalanced lefty batting order.

 

Here are our L-R splits...

 

LHB

.751 v RHPs

.680 v LHPs

 

The split with RHBs is more pronounced:

.690 v RHPs

.725 v LHPs

 

The biggy is this:

games when a RHP starts: .757

games when a LHP starts: .618

[moonslav59]

Woo OPS Leaders(80+ ABs, unless noted)

1.145 EValdez (30 ABs)

1.092 Kavadas

1.078 Romy (39)

1.052 Ref (12 in rehab)

.844 Grissom (30 in rehab)

.818 Westbrook

.803 Dalbec (28)

.778 Guthrie (48)

.772 Meidroth

.695 Hickey

 

Portland (70+ ABs)

1.106 Lugo

.912 Gasper

.848 Paulino

.822 Mayer

.792 Teel

.750 Jordan

.749 Yorke

.699 Anthony

 

GRE

.955 K Campbell

.851 T Miller

.789 B Gonz

.754 Castro

 

ERA Leaders

Woo (15+ IP)

2.40 Guerrero

3.72 Fitts

3.94 Alexander

POR

1.40 Olivarez

2.42 Dobbins

2.50 Penrod

2.76 Webb

3.66 I Coffey

4.00 Bastardo

GRE

3.00 Mullins

3.71 Perales

 

[mvp 78]

Jhostynxon misses a few weeks, but comes back and keeps mashing. He may get promoted before Bleis.

[moonslav59]

Woo lost 12-7. I sure hope Kavadas is not the new Dalbec. (1-2 w HR, BB)

Meidroth went 1-4 w 2 rbi

 

POR lost 9-6, as Wikelman went back to struggling, again.

Mayer stayed hot: 2-5 w 2B

Anthony 0-3 w BB and Teel 1-5

Paulino and Yorke keep trying to raise their stock: both went 3-5. Paulino is over .900 and Yorke is at .770, now.

 

GRE won 1-0 as Rogers looked good in 5 IP, except for 4 BB (0 ER)

K Campbell walked twice and scored the only run on a hit by Castro.

 

Salem had a no hitter through 9, and in in the 11th inning, now.

Dean 5IP, 0H, 2BB, 5K

O'Donnell 4IP, 0H, 2BB, 1K

Weins let up a hit in the 10th and Yuten his a 2-run job in the 11th.

Lugo dbld in 4 ABs.

[Larry Cook]

Woo lost 12-7. I sure hope Kavadas is not the new Dalbec. (1-2 w HR, BB)

Meidroth went 1-4 w 2 rbi

 

POR lost 9-6, as Wikelman went back to struggling, again.

Mayer stayed hot: 2-5 w 2B

Anthony 0-3 w BB and Teel 1-5

Paulino and Yorke keep trying to raise their stock: both went 3-5. Paulino is over .900 and Yorke is at .770, now.

 

GRE won 1-0 as Rogers looked good in 5 IP, except for 4 BB (0 ER)

K Campbell walked twice and scored the only run on a hit by Castro.

 

Salem had a no hitter through 9, and in in the 11th inning, now.

Dean 5IP, 0H, 2BB, 5K

O'Donnell 4IP, 0H, 2BB, 1K

Weins let up a hit in the 10th and Yuten his a 2-run job in the 11th.

Lugo dbld in 4 ABs.

 

Winklemen was all over the place, he walked a bunch of batters. Whenever he got a pitch in the strike zone, he got a lot of white with it