sk7326
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Everything posted by sk7326
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Right now it seems like he is just too passive at the plate - not sure anybody planned on that.
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Eyanson throwing harder than he did in college and apparently the slider is top notch. Given he was an accomplished college starter - he is REALLY close to getting to Portland.
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More importantly, I'd have wanted the team to be comfortable playing him against lefties when he got promoted.
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The big thing with the Celtics was that the infrastructure was there and that did not change. Stevens took over, but the rest of the brain trust stayed too, until Austin Ainge left to work in Utah. I don't think Stevens was necessarily Danny Ainge's hand picked successor - but it became pretty clear to ownership that Stevens could do whatever he wanted in basketball and they weren't going to let him do it for another team. Stevens has made changes under the hood as you'd expect - but he was not starting from scratch. Cora is also one of those dudes who could do any of these jobs in baseball - and he was a good manager. But that sort of alignment was clearly not there in this case.
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The alarming thing is the downward spending pressure throughout. Like, I think of the increased reliance on Driveline and the downsizing of the scouting department. This was cost cutting, but also represents a false choice. Like, Boston should be shooting MORE money at the farm - after all, there's no cap on how much you can spend on the infrastructure. The model a big market team like Boston should be following is essentially the Dodgers model - even if your big league payroll does not get THAT high. The top of the farm system gets the time to develop and be ready fro big league spots. At the same time, you have enough depth to trade and pay for the big league club. Put another way, you want a farm system healthy enough that you can make Garret Crochet trades whenever a restaurant quality veteran pops up. The team seems to be wanting to show the appearance of their prospects leading the way - without really asking whether the prospects are ready to do it.
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Obviously, ownership wants to make money - let's get that out of the way. But the Red Sox at this point are a mint, so let's set that aside. Management has - especially in the last decade, though it's always been there - never been able to articulate what it wants the club to be. The vision to be a draft, develop and pay is sensible - but it's hard not to think that a lot of the fruits of the farm system have been rushed up and extended (see Kristian Campbell) so ownership can be like "SEE?? Look at all the prospects we have!". But if that doesn't click in the maximalist way - it tacks the direct opposite way. Finish in last? Sign Hanley Ramirez and Pablo Sandoval to show fans you are trying. Marcelo Mayer is a classic example. He gets promoted super aggresively because he appears on top prospects list, and so let's see what top prospect we have! But then he struggles - or shows the cake is not fully baked and now he is a platoon player. The answer is you either have to let him take his lumps in the show (see Pedroia 2006-7), or you send him down and let him mash at Worcester. But we get this sort of purgatory instead. I almost fear that Franklin Arias will be promoted if he does well to take Story's job - not because he is ready, but because management wants to show a shiny object to the Nation.
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Obviously "don't worry" is not a real answer - but we're still very much in small sample size theater, so that is worth noting. But yeah the offense has been the problem - and that Cora suddenly became the problem is pretty silly. Him getting fired is not a surprise - management is definitely quick to panic. The left side of the infield being an absolute zero offensively was certainly a plausible reality entering the season, and it is. Roman Anthony becoming a three true outcomes hitter without the 3rd outcome is less plausible.
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As it turns out, the early returns on the bullish case for Arias are pretty darn good.
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1. Cora being fired is whatever. He is a good manager - but it's not surprising that Breslow/ownership decided a head had to roll with this start. But I'm also pretty sure Cora didn't tell these players not to hit. 2. That said, it is fair to ask exactly why Roman Anthony is not pulling the ball or really attacking it. 27 games is 27 games, but this is not the same hitter that showed up for Team USA. I doubt that's the hitting coach specifically - these are usually larger decisions, but still yuck. 3. If Mayer is going to just be a platoon player, then he might as well have stayed in Worcester to hit against lefty pitching. Nobody is helped here. And he should be playing 3rd. Durbin is probably a better player than he has shown so far, but he was going to be a power vacuum at that position anyway. 4. Small sample sizes abound, but was it really more likely that Story would build on last season or that was the best it was going to get. He has been bad - but it's not all that surprising. The biggest crime of this ownership - and yes, it's the best ownership the franchise has ever had, sigh - is that they listen to talk radio too much and seem prone to these pretty rash pivots. Here is another one.
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I think Mayer being made of glass probably scares Cora a little. But I do think it is the best defensive alignment - and maybe everybody figures that out as the season wears on.
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89-73. I wish the ball went over the fence more. But this is a good team - and might be even better if Story moved over to 2B.
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Sox Prospects does a great job. The national guys I think are useful for putting them into a league perspective. They get limited looks, but might look at the Statcast results a little more, and check with team contacts and stuff to cross check. Ultimately, all the views end up helping.
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https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/7027413/2026/02/09/boston-red-sox-2026-top-20-prospects-keith-law/ Prospects 11-19 (since #20, Shane Drohan just got traded) 11. Dorian Soto, SS 12. Henry Godbout, 2B 13. Johanfran Garcia, C 14. Gage Ziehl, RHP 15. Yordanny Monegro, RHP 16. Miguel Bleis, OF 17. Yophery Rodriguez, OF 18. Endy Azocar, OF 19. Adonys Guzman, C Others of note (not quoting, summarizing) Hayden Mullins, LHP - Hard to hit fastball, good secondary stuff, terrible command/control as 24 yo in AA Mason White, SS - Does everything quickly. Swings super hard. Lots of mistakes, but 20 homer power who could stick at SS. Lot of work to do. John Holobetz, RHP - PTBNL in Priester trade. Good control, no out pitch. Could be decent reliever if he missed more bats with breaking stuff Christain Fouch, RHP - touches 100 mph, above average changeup. Could be a reliever now if he could get to average control. Nelly Taylor, OF - sneaky power, good runner. Hasn't hit anywhere and has not hit non-fastballs Tyler Samaniego, LHP - old for a prospect (27), 93-94, above avg slider. Never pitched above AA but has some possiblity as a lefty reliever Tyler Ubertsine, RHP - velocity getting better as he moved to AAA. Low arm slot, throws a bunch of pitches decently, swingman/reliever potential.
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The Athletic Top 20 Sox prospects: https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/7027413/2026/02/09/boston-red-sox-2026-top-20-prospects-keith-law/ Intro: Top 10 1. Franklin Arias (12th in Top 100) 2. Payton Tolle (40th in Top 100) 3. Kyson Witherspoon (62nd in Top 100) 4. Connelly Early (64th in Top 100) 5. Justin Gonzalez, OF 6. Jake Bennett, LHP 7. Juan Valera, RHP 8. Marcus Phillips, RHP 9. Yoelin Cespedes, 2B 10. Anthony Eyanson, RHP
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Red Sox 10th in the Athletic's Team Ranks From Law:
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We'll see what happens. If Arias starts the season at Portland as a 20-year old, it definitely gives more heft to the lofty ranking.
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The Athletic Top 100 Overall https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6985939/2026/01/26/top-mlb-prospects-2026-keith-law-konnor-griffin/?source=emp_shared_article 12. Franklin Arias 40. Payton Tolle 62. Kyson Witherspoon 64. Connelly Early
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Red Sox acquire Wilson Contreras From Cardinals
sk7326 replied to Tedballgame's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
If Contreras' bat holds - it's a 3 win difference from the giant sucking sound the Sox had at 1B. They gave up a high end lottery ticket - but Fajardo is 18 and a pitcher and the range of outcomes there is too wide to get too hopped up about it. -
At the Athletic,, Law liked the deal for both teams ... The Nationals are bad and need high ceiling - Perales fits the bill. Perales obviously coming off of injury. His control improved a lot - but while the walks went down, he hasn't exactly turned into Greg Maddux either. There is some reliever risk. Red Sox under Breslow have shown some ability to help pitchers improve stuff - and Bennett's frame could very well take that. The the command and stuff are good enough that he might end up making some starts for Boston this season.
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A Realistic Look at the 2026 Red Sox: Part I
sk7326 replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Lackey was a bad deal on a WAR basis for sure. That said, the Tommy John of it all in the early going makes it a little harder to bash. And of course the team doesn't win the 2013 banner without him. -
A co-ace or something like that is asking too much. But for the price, the deal was a no-brainer. Gray's peripherals were better than his results last year - but his results have been better in previous years, so I have some confidence that a bunch of it was noise.
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Clarke is an interesting prospect - but we have a good number of them. It's a fair deal for a durable #2/#3 sort.

