I like Hamilton a lot. He has a 3.7 bWAR in 471 ABs over the past 2 years, can run, field, and at least owns a SS glove for an odd start. His only real issue, and it's big, is that he cannot hit lefties.
I'd guess that the chances of us offering him arb is about -0-. Over the past three years, he's averaged 17 HRs with a .252, he's a lefty, slow and doesn't provide a lot of defense. He gone.
I'm not sue why the RS would be cautiously optimistic. We're probably slightly better off if he leaves. He had a fine year, but it was his first one in a while. I wouldn't bet on him being as healthy or productive going forward.
I don't like that he's a lefty, and his contract is about 3 years too long. We can get similar overall production from Alonso for shorter years at a younger age.
It is situation-dependent. If the NYY, NYM, LAD and Philly pass on Alonso, we will have best chance of signing him. But even that depends on our other needs. If we sign Cease, then our chances of adding Alonso falls quite a bit.
You could easily be right. Great talent, but mediocre results. Maybe with a better pitching coach, of is he a head case? And only two years left. It's crazy how hot and cold he runs.
We need to trade him. We don't have a position for him and won't for a while. And there is a decidedly non-zero chance he doesn't work out like we'd hope for a year ago.
SF 'probably' goes with Eldridge, even though they promoted him about one year too early. LAA will stick with Schanuel, and the Phillies still with Harper. And we have little chance of out-bidding the Mets. If the Mets pass on Alonso, we should really sign him, regardless of Casas' upside or downside.
There is a -0- chance that Casas gets non-tendered. He still has serious upside. Traded? Maybe.
Houck is close. Assuming he is gone for 2026, and earns $8M for 26-27, he is probably worth keeping.
The RS will likely only add one #2 type SP, and then maybe sign a lower-tier #4-5.
The Nats might trade Gore, but it would be for kids. It would have to start with either Mayer+ or Campbell+.
He could be good, despite his bad K/W in his rookie year. But the question would remain, why trade talent to obtain a top-30 catching prospect, when we already have a catcher? I'd much prefer to trade for a pitcher or infielder of a similar value.
He didn't clear 200 because of injuries and ability concerns.
In 2025, he averaged 196/600 ABs, and in 2024, he averaged 199 per 600. That's close enough to a 200K season.
Most of this is unlikely to happen. I have no idea why anyone would want Hoskins or Bell over Casas, unless we find some trade value for him. Replacing Casas with Alonso is definitely interesting. Replacing Casas with Hoskins or Bell just adds expense, and probably a downgrade in talent.
He has value. Teams that need a 1B with a small budget will consider that he's injured, but also consider that he had a career OPS+ of 126 before last year and three years left. In many ways, it is identical to Greene. He only had 19 GS last year. You're not going to ignore the injury factor and you're not going ignore the talent.