JoeBrady
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Everything posted by JoeBrady
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As I like to point out, if the team is not ahead in the contract after year 1, it is unlikely they will ever be ahead.
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I do remember Fred pointing out Rafaela's 2 Ks in his first ST game as evidence of his collapse.
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That's a genetic thing with some RS fans. It's still early for the other 29 teams, and the other754 players. But the sets in early April for the RS.
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A Realistic Look at the 2026 Red Sox: Part I
JoeBrady replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
It's unquantifiable to say what he might have been had he stayed. But moving off 3rd was already locked in. I happened to be looking at career DRS for another player, and noticed that Devers was already up to #14 in negative DRS, and he has years to go. Had he stayed at 3rd, he might have been the #2 worst in history (behind Jeter). FWIW, Bogaerts is #10 worst, and could crack the top-5 before he retires. -
Pitching doesn't age like hitting does. It still ages, mostly hurt, but I think you'll have more successful 34+ pitchers than hitters.
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Just so I understand: Contreras currently > Alonso, but the jury is still out. Fair enough. You agree we should not have signed Bregman. I assume that, no matter what your original opinion was (pro or con) you agree that we should not have signed Bichette (.571), Suarez (.663) or traded Tolle or Early ++ for Marte (.614)?
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Fred thinks we signed Gaspar for minor league pay as some sort of equivalent to spending $42M on Bichette. But even worse, he is the last person on the planet that still wants Bichette.
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So we made the right move not signing him? And I assume everyone agrees that adding Contreras over Alonso was correct as well. Is it that two rights make a wrong?
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Fred & Red apparently have inside sources in the RS FO.
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I can't believe that people are still pining for Bregman. For the price of Alonso & Bregman (1.6 bWAR), we got Contreras, Suarez & Durbin (2.8 bWAR).
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Casual fans don't understand AAA depth.
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I think what some fans don't differentiate is that all these moves are 'okay', but never, ever consider the long-term results. It's entirely possible that Alonso will out-play Contreras this year. But over two years, Alonso could even be ahead by 1-2 WAR, but then you are stuck with his salary for three more years.
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In the sense that one compares strictly HRs to all-around hitting, they are similar. We know that OPS is more closely related to scoring than HRs are. More of either is good, but more OPS, and specifically, more OBP, is what results in higher scoring.
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A lot of fans, particularly RS fans, want the shiniest, and usually the oldest, toy they see in the window. Then complain about the contract two years later.
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All offensive stats add to your offense. HRs look pretty, but Story has more than twice the number of HR/AB than Tony Gwynn,
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I doubt that there will be a material difference between the two. If your only focus is HRs, and only in 2026, then you are probably better off with Alonso. If you value defense, OBP, and value, then you're better off with Contreras.
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Minor technicality, but Moran threw 38 pitches on Tuesday, albeit as an opener.
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No, they didn't. The top infield bats available: Bichette .571 OPS/ -0.6 bWAR Bregman .677/0.5 Alonso .786/1.1 Suarez .663/0.0 Polanco .532/-0.3 And all these guys were discussed in here. The total OPS looks in the range of .650, and the total bWAR is 0.7.
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Great game! Very enjoyable.
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Only because they happened to show it, the TB catcher was just switching out his communication device. All the pitches are called by the manager or the FO. There is an actual science to this.
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I assume that every manager gets input from the FO. If all a manager did was to start the top-9 OPS', I'm pretty sure I could do that.
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15/5 K/W in 13 IPs against minor leaguers doesn't impress me that much. Currently we have only 4 SPs, including Bello. We got lucky with Bennett, but we can't go to the well too often. When Suarez returns, then we have 5. Only when Crochet returns will we have a decision to make.
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Red Sox 2025 Season Review/Offseason Preview Thread
JoeBrady replied to Brandon Glick's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Thanks to the pressure applied by Moon. -
I've seen 10s of thousands of posts from Red Sox fans. Most were only semi-lucid from a BB perspective.
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Our Golden Age from 2004-2018, our OBP ranking among all 30 teams was 1st 7x, and 2nd 3x.In our worst two seasons out of that period, 2012 and 2014, we were 21st and 14th in OBP.
