When you look at the deals given to Bello, Rafaela, Anthony, Campbell, and Crochet and maybe one or two more Ive forgotten about, it’s not like thr Sox are not spending. Theyre just spending more on their internal players, which does make sense. Sorry, it does.
First of all, internal arb-eligible and pre-arb players often sign cheaper, which they do more for risk aversion purposes.
Second, if you can extend a pre-arb player, they are almost exclusively under 30 and often under 27, so they still have their best baseball ahead in most cases. Free agents, on the other hand, are almost always over 30 and in most cases, and primed for a decline that could appear at any time
So the Sox method is to get more stable players for less money. Free agency is there to fill the 1-2 year gaps, not build a team.
Sure, signing your own younger players is not without risks. Kristian Campbell has yet to set the world on fire, and he might never do so. (He will.). But if he doesn’t, he won’t be blazing that trail, either. There’s a parade of Scott Kingery’s and Jon Singleton’s ahead of him. And wasting $50mil on Campbell, even well over 10 years later, is still cheaper than it was to gamble on Carl Crawford…