notin

Is Vargas really worse? His 1.9 fWAR wasn’t exactly lapped by Paredes 2.4 fWAR. Id rather have Vargas and Tolle than Paredes and Dobbins…

This is also one of the flaws in BTV. Their values are based on projected WAR vs projected salary. But if a player is projected to play less, his projected WAR is lower. Salary is, too. But WAR value can escalate faster in pre-arb and even some arb players if they get on the field enough…

Holy Kristian Campbell, Batman!! With Crawford, the opinion seems to be those 15 innings are reality and the other 377 IP are the outliers…

If Paredes is interesting, and I see the appeal due to his strong pull tendencies at Fenway, what about the significantly cheaper and slightly younger version? Houston wants a lot for their guy. Chicago might be less greedy. https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/miguel-vargas-678246?stats=statcast-r-hitting-mlb

Burns is from Bakersfield, CA, not far from AZ. He lives in AZ. He chose them for a reason. He also has full no trade protection for the first two years (through March 31, 2027). Arizona couldn’t trade him if they wanted to…

Why is it fans cling to that 15 inning stretch from Crawford as if it outweighs his other 377 IP but when it came to Sale, the feeling was his performance, or lack of, from 2019 through 2023 should have been completely ignored up to the last 40 or so innings in a 5 year stretch?

They likely move Shaw to 2b as Nico Hoerner is a free agent after 2026…

That would be fine with me. I rank Dobbins third on that list. If the argument is Crawford’s track record is nullified by injuries (one of which was a knee), what exactly is the argument in favor of Dobbins? That it will be harder for Crawford to re-establish himself than it will be for Dobbins to establish himself? I don’t always buy into those “potential is always greater” arguments. He did give up a lot of home runs, but this is exactly what I was referring to about his reputation. In his career, Crawford has given up 64 home runs in 392 innings. But 12 of those came in one bad 15 inning stretch in 2024. And that is the stretch he is constantly judged by, as opposed to the other 377 career innings…

Because Crawford has established himself as a 2 WAR pitcher capable of throwing bulk innings who has over a 2 season stretch proven himself to be better than the reputation he has with many that is largely based on a bad 2 week stretch after the All Star break. Harrison’s career IP is barely over Crawford’s 2024 total and Dobbins has but 61 IP. While both have more control, Crawford has the much better track record and is still only in his arb years. Most projections give him the advantage going forward. I like Diaz for Boston, but let’s not go overboard here. He has one year left at $12mill and he is an established top tier hitter, but he doesn’t solve any power defiencies. Hes topped 14 home runs twice in his career and isnt likely to re-invent himself at age 34…

Bregman and Diaz would be excellent. I’ve said Harrison for Diaz for a while now, but Dobbins makes sense, too. Giving up Crawford for one year of Diaz would be crazy…

Because a lot of folks don’t like when the team isnt run the way they like? Therefore anything right can only be luck…

Especially since a lot of dust hasn’t settled yet. Did we already lose Priester for 17yo Yophery Rodriguez, John Holobetz, and the pick that was Marcus Phillips? I think when it comes to bad Sox trades, the focus is Sale, Betts and Devers, probably exclusively in many eyes. The problem is, none of these deals were done for the sole purpose of collecting talent…

I do think they can afford to deal Bello. I don’t think it’s likely. Bello (1.9 fWAR in 166 IP) is easily replaced by Early (1.1 fWAR in 14 IP).

No. I am questioning your whole logic of “they signed an injured Hendriks to be the closer. They got lucky Chapman was able to fill in.” This might be worse than your “the Sox only re-signed Kike because he was good in the postseason.” So you really thought they ignored his elite performance as a center fielder and ignored his versatility and only re-signed him because he had a couple multi-hit games on October? And now - so the Sox gave Chapman over $11mill without a role in mind? Next you’ll be telling us the Sox weren’t even aware Chapman has ever closed games. Also - maybe it’s time to just drop the “Sox got lucky with Chapman” idiocy. The Sox gave him lots of money for some reason. And if you truly believe Henry is cheap, then you should also believe he is not a fan of 8- figure lottery tickets on relief pitchers. It’s actually ok to admit you don’t know why some moves are made. No one else here does either. Most of us just don’t pretend to so as to fit everything into our personal understanding of the game. As for inside info, I have none. Even if I mention having sources, I facetiously refer to them as non-existent. I never blatantly fabricate motives for the Sox and try to pass them off as history. If I do try to understand their motivation for anything, I always present it as conjecture. And I am probably as in touch with the interior motives as any of us here, which is barely at all…

You’re making me feel better about some of my jokes…

It doesn’t even take much to go Fangraphs Roster Resource and see what does and doesn’t make sense. Even I do that, and I only post on one individual Red Sox Forum with posts read by maybe dozens of folks that don’t block me. This blog was written as a website feature. With his actual name attached! And he still came out with “let’s go get an All Star with the players from the back of the roster.” If I wrote something like that in that forum, I’d change my name, delete my account, and separate from baseball entirely while I pretended the only sport I ever cared about was marble racing…

It’s a truly horrible trade proposal. I’m not even looking at BTV. I put that data in there, and I’m going to find that fifth outcome, the one that isn’t “Fair trade,” “major overpay”, “minor overpay” and “trade rejected.” No, this one should scoot past all those and land right on “This cannot be f***ing serious.” How is it supposed to happen? “Hey Boston, we have a mildly effective but massively overpaid middle reliever and an aging AAA journeyman who pitched well out of the pen last year for the first time in 5 years. Can we send them to you for an outfielder who’s been worth over twice as many WAR in the last two years as the young superstar were trying to build our franchise around? Oh, thats not enough? Maybe if we through in a back of the rotation arm that barely cracked our own top ten prospects and has only had TJ surgery once and is entering his age 27 season? (And isn’t even universally listed as a top ten Brewer guy.) Does that make it enough? Still no? Well exactly how many table scraps are we supposed to swap for an All Star who would easily be our team MVP?” Does he even know anyone on the Sox roster? He literally says Gasser fills a need in the backend of the Sox rotation. Sure, the Sox need backend starters. Big need there. Also, this post needs to inject a little sarcasm to get the point across. If the Sox offered Crawford and Wong for Peralta, this same Brewers fan would likely deem it an insulting offer. And he’d be right. It is. But it’s also ten times better than his proposal for Duran..

Chandler? Burns? Isn’t it a bit “Early” to give up on what we already have? I know I know. But I’m trying…

Well look at you once again with the inside info on why moves were made. Probably never been right about, but it’s inspiring that you keep trying anyway…

f***ing ‘86 Mets!

1. He’s nice to his mother. 2. He exchanges oxygen for carbon dioxide, which is good for plants. 3. The Sox have a barren void in the middle of an arid wasteland when it comes to catching prospects.

Do trades ever have insignificant asks?

I see you want the #2. (rimshot)

Just because you only know how to make one dish doesnt mean it’s the only one everyone can make. And - you’re dead wrong. Everyone likes spaghetti. Everyone. If you don’t like spaghetti, you’re probably no one….

No idea about the Penguins, but I find it hard to believe Liverpool FC loses money…