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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. notin
    [Comment removed upon further review]
  2. notin
    And yet it happens all the time…
  3. notin
    How many injuries has Cole Ragans had?
  4. notin
    A lot of those pundits have no more insight than we do…
  5. notin
    I’m ok with the pitching. But I do think a 2b/3b upgrade over current likely starter David Hamilton would be nice…
  6. notin
    Getting lefty reliever is outdated anyway. Just get a good reliever. The 3 batter minimum rule obsoleted LOOGYs and killed the lefty vs lefty strategies…
  7. notin
    It could just be posturing, but they seem to be talking up Jovani Moran. Now Moran is seriously talented , but is one of those guys who can never put it all together as well as stay healthy…
  8. notin
    Exactly. I don’t expect Hicks to bounce back like Melancon did, but I think he could still be a useful pen arm….
  9. notin
    Really? Couldn’t pitch worse. Hicks has had a decent career as a RP. Last year he began as a starter, so maybe that affected his performance. But bear in mind he only made 21 appearances for Boston, and gave up 1 ER or less in 17 of them. His sample size is relatively small and we’ve seen relievers bounce back before. No one thought we’d miss Brad Keller either. I didn’t say Duran was easier to trade. I said trade Duran was more likely to fill a need. What need can be better filled by trading Hicks?
  10. notin
    1. Trading Duran is far more likely to fill a need. 2. Trading Hicks figures to be far more difficult 3. Trading Hicks could lead to a situation where they need to spend additional money to replace Hicks, cutting even further into any savings from his deal.
  11. notin
    Averages? Is it really true the average team has made 2 postseason appearances in that timeframe? Or does using averages ignore uneven distributions of data? Myself, you and Bill Gates have an average net worth of $37billion USD. Does that properly represent your financial picture? I will fess up it’s not an accurate portrayal of mine…
  12. notin
    The Watson the Sox acquired was the one from the Giants organization that was an Auburn teammate of Richard Fitts. In defense of the author, the two like-named right-handed pitchers are both from southern states, attended division one schools in the south in their home states, and are only 17 months apart in age…
  13. notin
    What exactly is wrong with Gallen and Giolito? Biggest drawback is Gallen (I believe) has a QO attached. I wouldn’t go long term with either, but MLBTR predicted 2 yes $32mill for Giolito. Why wouldn’t Boston do that?
  14. notin
    Why are the Sox paying more money than they owe Hicks? At that point, just keep Hicks. Otherwise you still have to replace, which isn’t free, and you’re giving up on a guy who had a decent career as an MLB relief pitcher because he didn’t set the world on fire after EIGHTEEN INNINGS in Boston…
  15. notin
    No one is happy with the past 6 years, but the DD years are never coming back. Henry let DD spend anything and everything he wanted, and at the end of the 2019 season, Henry didnt like it. Actually before the end of 2019. The Sox could soend more, but the problem is, free agents usually suck. Theyre almost all on the wrong side of 30 and want to be paid well past their usefulness. I’ve been saying for years teams only sign them for PR reasons. And if you look at the bulk of the complaints, Theyre about Henry not SPENDING enough. That’s the panacea apparently -just throw money at it.
  16. notin
    I’m sure no MLB teams use BTV itself, but I’m also sure all of them use something similar when evaluating trade possibilities…
  17. notin
    Of course BTV cannot incorporate getting g two GMs to agree. But overall they do a good job, despite the flaws. The biggest one is you can make any deal equal out by pumping in ungodly sums of money. But maybe BTV should be a tool for some folks. So far this off-season, I’ve seen baseball bloggers and podcasters - folks hoping to be taken seriously and using their real names to make it happen - throw around proposals that “made sense for both sides” like Andy Ashby, Nick Mears and Robert Gasser for Jarren Duran, and the even worse “Jake Cronenworth and Wandy Peralta for Brayan Bello”. And the thing is, that guy used your exact logic - “Boston needs a 2b and a lefty reliever”. Sure, they do. But they don’t need two underwater contracts for mediocre players at the expense of a starting pitcher with a lock on a rotation spot. But, as that Padre dork said “need and fit” for Boston. And both deals, massively unfair to Boston on BTV and in real life…
  18. notin
    I stand by Yoshida. If he can stay healthy, I think he can maintain an .850 OPS or better, especially if he is platooned…
  19. notin
    And you conveniently forget how raises work. Crochet will make like $23mill more this year than last year. Anthony’s actual raise is like $3mill, but his AAV goes up to about $12.5mill. Lots of players have these increases built into their contracts. And we haven’t even gotten into arbitration raises. Not to mention, probably best to not accuse people of “conveniently” forgetting stuff while viewing Devers as a $30mill contract swing. We took a rather big contract back in that deal. It’s closer to a net change of $20mill once you remember the existence of Jordan Hicks, and that net change is less than the raise for Crochet. Bottom line is Cot’s - while not official does seem to be recognized among better resources - has the Sox payroll around what it was last year, possibly slightly ahead…
  20. notin
    I figured Alonso to be the more likely choice since Bregman would get a much better contract. Alonso’s contract was bigger than MLBTR’s prediction of 4/$110mill. They have Bregman at $160/6…
  21. notin
    Do you honestly think money isn’t a bigger factor? I don’t care if it used to not be or should not be - it’s a huge factor, and in many cases seems to be more important than need and fit. The Cardinals didn’t trade Sonny Gray because they thought the oft-injured Richard Fitts was a better fit. Even for a rebuilding team, he’s a questionable fit. His service clock has started, he’s injured far too often, and his overall ability is debatable. Certainly a rebuilding team would be better off with a non-40 man pitcher. But Whats not debatable is he made far, far, far (keep repeating as often as possible) less money than Sonny Gray
  22. notin
    You lost me. No one - repeat NO ONE - should be forced to spend a year in The Bronx. And thats coming from someone who spent the last quarter century in Chicago…
  23. notin
    I believe the term is “paraphrased”, and I feel like a pathetic nerd for getting that joke…
  24. notin
    It’s not that Hes cheap because he won’t sign their favorite player; it’s because he won’t do it every year. Cot’s had the Sox active payroll at $195mill last year and $248mill for the 40-man and CBT payments. For 2026, they’re forecasting $190-220mill for the active roster. The Sox have brought in expensive players like Contreras and Gray (partially subsidized) and yet we still have people asking “Where is Devers’ money?!?” like the team is holding it back. It turns out you can spend $30mill in MLB without getting a $30mill player. (All corrections of my financial numbers accepted. Correct away, gents…)
  25. notin
    Unless it was $100mill for one year, that’s the same as not making an offer…
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