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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. notin
    No one is happy with the past 6 years, but the DD years are never coming back. Henry let DD spend anything and everything he wanted, and at the end of the 2019 season, Henry didnt like it. Actually before the end of 2019. The Sox could soend more, but the problem is, free agents usually suck. Theyre almost all on the wrong side of 30 and want to be paid well past their usefulness. I’ve been saying for years teams only sign them for PR reasons. And if you look at the bulk of the complaints, Theyre about Henry not SPENDING enough. That’s the panacea apparently -just throw money at it.
  2. notin
    I’m sure no MLB teams use BTV itself, but I’m also sure all of them use something similar when evaluating trade possibilities…
  3. notin
    Of course BTV cannot incorporate getting g two GMs to agree. But overall they do a good job, despite the flaws. The biggest one is you can make any deal equal out by pumping in ungodly sums of money. But maybe BTV should be a tool for some folks. So far this off-season, I’ve seen baseball bloggers and podcasters - folks hoping to be taken seriously and using their real names to make it happen - throw around proposals that “made sense for both sides” like Andy Ashby, Nick Mears and Robert Gasser for Jarren Duran, and the even worse “Jake Cronenworth and Wandy Peralta for Brayan Bello”. And the thing is, that guy used your exact logic - “Boston needs a 2b and a lefty reliever”. Sure, they do. But they don’t need two underwater contracts for mediocre players at the expense of a starting pitcher with a lock on a rotation spot. But, as that Padre dork said “need and fit” for Boston. And both deals, massively unfair to Boston on BTV and in real life…
  4. notin
    I stand by Yoshida. If he can stay healthy, I think he can maintain an .850 OPS or better, especially if he is platooned…
  5. notin
    And you conveniently forget how raises work. Crochet will make like $23mill more this year than last year. Anthony’s actual raise is like $3mill, but his AAV goes up to about $12.5mill. Lots of players have these increases built into their contracts. And we haven’t even gotten into arbitration raises. Not to mention, probably best to not accuse people of “conveniently” forgetting stuff while viewing Devers as a $30mill contract swing. We took a rather big contract back in that deal. It’s closer to a net change of $20mill once you remember the existence of Jordan Hicks, and that net change is less than the raise for Crochet. Bottom line is Cot’s - while not official does seem to be recognized among better resources - has the Sox payroll around what it was last year, possibly slightly ahead…
  6. notin
    I figured Alonso to be the more likely choice since Bregman would get a much better contract. Alonso’s contract was bigger than MLBTR’s prediction of 4/$110mill. They have Bregman at $160/6…
  7. notin
    Do you honestly think money isn’t a bigger factor? I don’t care if it used to not be or should not be - it’s a huge factor, and in many cases seems to be more important than need and fit. The Cardinals didn’t trade Sonny Gray because they thought the oft-injured Richard Fitts was a better fit. Even for a rebuilding team, he’s a questionable fit. His service clock has started, he’s injured far too often, and his overall ability is debatable. Certainly a rebuilding team would be better off with a non-40 man pitcher. But Whats not debatable is he made far, far, far (keep repeating as often as possible) less money than Sonny Gray
  8. notin
    You lost me. No one - repeat NO ONE - should be forced to spend a year in The Bronx. And thats coming from someone who spent the last quarter century in Chicago…
  9. notin
    I believe the term is “paraphrased”, and I feel like a pathetic nerd for getting that joke…
  10. notin
    It’s not that Hes cheap because he won’t sign their favorite player; it’s because he won’t do it every year. Cot’s had the Sox active payroll at $195mill last year and $248mill for the 40-man and CBT payments. For 2026, they’re forecasting $190-220mill for the active roster. The Sox have brought in expensive players like Contreras and Gray (partially subsidized) and yet we still have people asking “Where is Devers’ money?!?” like the team is holding it back. It turns out you can spend $30mill in MLB without getting a $30mill player. (All corrections of my financial numbers accepted. Correct away, gents…)
  11. notin
    Unless it was $100mill for one year, that’s the same as not making an offer…
  12. notin
    It is kind of interesting in that the longer contracts are no longer the trend. Tucker and Bichette might get longer ones, but so far only Cease, Schwarber, Alonso, and Naylor have signed deals longer than 3 years, and only Cease has signed one longer than five…
  13. notin
    Is that a toast?
  14. notin
    My New Year’s resolution is to take folks even less seriously when they blatantly say John Henry is running the Red Sox with his own money…
  15. notin
    I saw that. Exactly how did Sandoval and Crawford get injured? Hurt feelings from trade banter?
  16. notin
    Tore his ACL in college and Larry STILL hasn’t returned to MLB action!!
  17. notin
    No one called their Lester offer aggressive, and their Soto offer was reportedly over twice as large as the previous largest contract offer in team history (Devers)…
  18. notin
    https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/alex-bregman-makes-subtle-social-211543211.html
  19. notin
    Exactly. Sometimes in GM Speak, “not available” means “not available for that offer”…
  20. notin
    Or the meaning of the word “can’t,” often frequently confused with the word “hasn’t”…
  21. notin
    Yes. First of all, neither Contreras nor Gray are “marginal” players, unless your definition of “marginal” means “not superstar”. Contreras OPS+ of 123 makes him a good replacement for the OPS+ of 128 they lost in Bregman. If Contreras is a dumpster dive, what exactly did they lose in Bregman? Sonny Gray was a 3.5 fWAR pitcher brought in to replace Lucas Giolito, a 2.0 fWAR pitcher. So if Gray was a dumpster dive, what was Giolito?
  22. notin
    Even without the Sox signing a single free agent yet, it’s not worth complaining about. Six of the top ten MLBTR’s Top 50 Free Agents are still unsigned. And while Tucker and Bellinger are not fits, Bichette, Bregman, Valdez and Suarez all are. Not to mention a few others from the bottom 40 on that list might work as well…
  23. notin
    The Sox haven’t been active on the trade front?
  24. notin
    So is 162 games from Anthony (or 150) better or worse or equal to 144 games of Devers plus Anthony? And then what about Yoshida? Who from last year are you comparing to our hottest hitter down the stretch?
  25. notin
    How about getting to the postseason first? Bieber wasn’t on the Blue Jays roster a year ago today…
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