notin’s 2027 Payroll Blueprint: Notin’s Wildly (In)Accurate 2027 Sox Roster Prediction

[notin]

Bello for Teoscar.  Duran for Marte.  Both teams willingly give up those dangerous contracts.

• C: Adley Rutschman ($8.50M)
• 1B: Willson Contreras ($13.00M)
• 2B: Ketel Marte ($12.00M)
• 3B: Caleb Durbin ($1.00M)
• SS: Trevor Story ($25.00M)
• LF: Roman Anthony ($4.00M)
• CF: Ceddanne Rafaela ($3.50M)
• RF: Wilyer Abreu ($5.80M)
• DH: Teoscar Hernandez ($14.00M)
• 4th OF: Braiden Ward ($1.00M)
• Utility: Nick Sogard ($1.00M)
• Utility: Andruw Monasterio ($1.75M)
• Backup C: Connor Wong ($1.80M)
• POS: Add Dead Money Here ($0.00M)
• SP1: Garrett Crochet ($28.00M)
• SP2: Ranger Suarez ($15.00M)
• SP3: Tanner Houck ($4.10M)
• SP4: Payton Tolle ($1.00M)
• SP5: Jake Bennett ($1.00M)
• RP: Aroldis Chapman ($13.00M)
• RP: Greg Weissert ($1.75M)
• RP: Justin Slaten ($1.00M)
• RP: Johan Oviedo ($1.55M)
• RP: Erik Miller ($1.35M)
• RP: Kutter Crawford ($1.00M)
• RP: Tayron Guerrero ($1.2M)
• RP: Garrett Whitlock ($8.25M)
• POS: Yoshida (Dead money) ($18.00M)

Payroll is 27.48% under budget

[UtahSox]

Mead just retire?

[UtahSox]

What I think 2027 Roster looks like: real version of what I believe happens:

**Acquired Ketel Marte from Arizona in exchange for Jarren Duran, Marcus Phillips, and Nick Sogard.

1-Ketel Marte 2B S

2-Roman Anthony LF L

3-Willson Contreras 1B R

4-Wilyer Abreu RF L

5-Curtis Mead DH R

6-Adley Rutschman C S

7-Ceddanne Rafaela CF R

8-Trevor Story SS R (Arias takes over mid June)

9-Caleb Durbin 3B R

UTIL-Andruw Monasterio SS R

C/1b-Mickey Gasper DH S

1b/2b/3b-Romy Gonzalez DH R

DH/ LF- Masataka Yoshida DH L

pitching:

1 Garrett Crochet LHP

2 Ranger Suárez LHP

3 Payton Tolle LHP

4 Jake Bennett LHP

5 Brayan Bello RHP

6 Tanner Houck RHP 

RP-Jovani Morán LHP Reliever

RP-Johan Oviedo RHP Reliever

RP-Tyron Guerrero RHP Reliever

HLRP-Erik Miller LHP Reliever

HLRP- Greg Weissert RHP Reliever

Set up-Garrett Whitlock RHP Setup

Closer-Aroldis Chapman LHP Closer

 

 

Estimated 2027 Payroll $214.93M

Estimated Luxury Tax Payroll $268.66M

 

[notin]

5 hours ago, UtahSox said:

Mead just retire?

Was he even on the blueprint?

[Hugh2]

19 minutes ago, notin said:

Was he even on the blueprint?

They had players on the blueprint that have been out of the organization for over a year.  

[notin]

29 minutes ago, Hugh2 said:

They had players on the blueprint that have been out of the organization for over a year.  

Dustin Pedroia is on the blueprint…

[Hugh2]

3 minutes ago, notin said:

Dustin Pedroia is on the blueprint…

and so was Vaughn Grissom.  Meanwhile Wilson Contreras, Adley Rutchmen, and Ranger Saurez were not.  I think the list was outdated. 

[notin]

Just now, Hugh2 said:

and so was Vaughn Grissom.  Meanwhile Wilson Contreras, Adley Rutchmen, and Ranger Saurez were not.  I think the list was outdated. 

Or a harbinger of a busy off-season to come…

[drewski6]

13 hours ago, notin said:

Bello for Teoscar.  Duran for Marte.  Both teams willingly give up those dangerous contracts.

• C: Adley Rutschman ($8.50M)
• 1B: Willson Contreras ($13.00M)
• 2B: Ketel Marte ($12.00M)
• 3B: Caleb Durbin ($1.00M)
• SS: Trevor Story ($25.00M)
• LF: Roman Anthony ($4.00M)
• CF: Ceddanne Rafaela ($3.50M)
• RF: Wilyer Abreu ($5.80M)
• DH: Teoscar Hernandez ($14.00M)
• 4th OF: Braiden Ward ($1.00M)
• Utility: Nick Sogard ($1.00M)
• Utility: Andruw Monasterio ($1.75M)
• Backup C: Connor Wong ($1.80M)
• POS: Add Dead Money Here ($0.00M)
• SP1: Garrett Crochet ($28.00M)
• SP2: Ranger Suarez ($15.00M)
• SP3: Tanner Houck ($4.10M)
• SP4: Payton Tolle ($1.00M)
• SP5: Jake Bennett ($1.00M)
• RP: Aroldis Chapman ($13.00M)
• RP: Greg Weissert ($1.75M)
• RP: Justin Slaten ($1.00M)
• RP: Johan Oviedo ($1.55M)
• RP: Erik Miller ($1.35M)
• RP: Kutter Crawford ($1.00M)
• RP: Tayron Guerrero ($1.2M)
• RP: Garrett Whitlock ($8.25M)
• POS: Yoshida (Dead money) ($18.00M)

Payroll is 27.48% under budget

I dont hate it, but Mead would start at 3b and Durbin would be a super sub. And you would use some of that 27.48% under budget on maybe a good reliever and a middle road starter.

[drewski6]

I like the depth of having Gasper and Durbin as next men up.

[drewski6]

44 minutes ago, Hugh2 said:

They had players on the blueprint that have been out of the organization for over a year.  

Freddy Sanchez returnz!

[drewski6]

11 minutes ago, Hugh2 said:

and so was Vaughn Grissom.  Meanwhile Wilson Contreras, Adley Rutchmen, and Ranger Saurez were not.  I think the list was outdated. 

or maybe they couldnt secure the rights like how barry bonds and bill b usually werent in video games.

[mvp 78]

My least favorite parts: 

1. Houck as SP3

2. Ward as OF4

3. 32M plus Bello for a 34 year old DH that hasn't OPS'd over 800 the last 2 seasons (declining HR totals in a HR park are cause for concern)

[moonslav59]

12 minutes ago, mvp 78 said:

My least favorite parts: 

1. Houck as SP3

2. Ward as OF4

3. 32M plus Bello for a 34 year old DH that hasn't OPS'd over 800 the last 2 seasons (declining HR totals in a HR park are cause for concern)

Agreed: Houck as SP6 or RP3-4 is fine.

I think we need to keep Bello- warts and all.

[mvp 78]

6 minutes ago, moonslav59 said:

Agreed: Houck as SP6 or RP3-4 is fine.

I think we need to keep Bello- warts and all.

Houck has a chance to be an elite RP. He's had too many health issues to push him forward as a SP. 

[moonslav59]

19 minutes ago, mvp 78 said:

Houck has a chance to be an elite RP. He's had too many health issues to push him forward as a SP. 

I'd be fine making him the co-8th/9th inning guy with Whitlock with a chance to become the closer.

If he can pitch like 2025, he has the stuff to be a good one.

My concern is the lack of rotation depth.

[notin]

1 hour ago, mvp 78 said:

My least favorite parts: 

1. Houck as SP3

2. Ward as OF4

3. 32M plus Bello for a 34 year old DH that hasn't OPS'd over 800 the last 2 seasons (declining HR totals in a HR park are cause for concern)

1. I wouldn’t concern of the SP rankings.  I was just filling in slots. 

2. Stop knocking Ward.  He is the long term savior and short term Eli White placeholder 

3. Like or dislike Teoscar, I tried to limit myself to actual attainable players and not pipe dreams like Elly De La Cruz.  And his StatCast is somewhat comparable to Arozarena, but his contract will be notably shorter,

Bello is a high price, but it was fair on BTV.  Hernandez will definitely be available, but the price might depend on the new CBA…
 

 

[JoeBrady]

2 hours ago, notin said:

Hernandez will definitely be available, but the price might depend on the new CBA…

RH Yoshida?