A Realistic View at 2019: Part I

[Bellhorn04]

Not sure. What would you say as an accountant?

 

As an accountant, I'd say I'll let the teams' accountants study it. Much more efficient use of resources.

[Slasher9]

Speaking entirely for myself (who else?) there are several things I take into account when I'm going to a game and one of them is whether I feel the organization is taking advantage of the situation. IMO MLB has taken advantage of their fans to an art form. Whenever possible I try to NOT buy food (or even beer) at the stadium. It's not because $8 for a beer, $5 for a hot dog and $4 for a bottle of water would break the bank for me, it's a matter of principle. It's because I refuse to be taken advantage of like that.

 

If they'd charge $5 for a beer, $2.50 for a hot dog, and $2 for that bottle of water I'd buy them there.. .and they'd still make money off me. As it is they get nothing. I know deep down that my little protest doesn't accomplish much but I feel better about myself for doing it.

 

i love this post. but you take Manny to a game and tell him he can't get eat or drink! i dare you.

[Jasonbay44]

I'm not sure if other teams do it, and may just be because the city is a s*** hole and the team sucks, but the Orioles have spots for $5 parking, and you can bring any non glass beverages into the stadium, and any food. The prices inside are still jacked up, but at least they try to make it easier for people.

 

There is no way I'm eating inside the stadiums, half the food isn't even good, and its double what it would cost anywhere else. I literally have to pay the same price for 1 bottle of water as I would for a 24 pack at a store, Its lame.

[notin]

But at least it’s more environmentally friendly to spend $4 on one plastic water bottle than to spend $4 on 24 plastic water bottles....

[S5Dewey]

i love this post. but you take Manny to a game and tell him he can't get eat or drink! i dare you.

 

Hey, I've taken my kids and my grandkids to the ballpark, and I was speaking only for what I'll do for MYSELF!

 

And besides, I know better than to try to feed a teenage boy!

Edited February 6, 2019 by S5Dewey

[S5Dewey]

But at least it’s more environmentally friendly to spend $4 on one plastic water bottle than to spend $4 on 24 plastic water bottles....

 

All..but all of that plastic is returnable (in my state) and recyclable everywhere... if they want to.

[notin]

All..but all of that plastic is returnable (in my state) and recyclable everywhere... if they want to.

 

 

Digressing from baseball a bit, but to be fair, this off-season does encourage that. Anyway, you’d be surprised how little actually gets recycled.

[Slasher9]

Digressing from baseball a bit, but to be fair, this off-season does encourage that. Anyway, you’d be surprised how little actually gets recycled.

 

real talk. none of it does (plastic anyway). some paper is recycled.

pre trade war we would send all our plastic to China but they were just landfilling it anyways.

the best thing we can do is get a Swell bottle (or similar) and just refill it.

[S5Dewey]

As long as we're off on this tangent....

 

I know I keep hearing that plastic isn't being recycled now, but I also have heard that one of the components in Polarfleece is plastic. Is Polarfleece still being manufactured?

[S5Dewey]

real talk. None of it does (plastic anyway). Some paper is recycled.

Pre trade war we would send all our plastic to china but they were just landfilling it anyways.

The best thing we can do is get a swell bottle (or similar) and just refill it.

 

yeti !!

[BillyWilliams]

Here's a good read on attendance problems as well as the cost of going to a game.

 

https://www.forbes.com/sites/maurybrown/2018/06/18/inside-the-numbers-mlbs-attendance-is-down-6-5-heres-how-it-can-be-fixed/#1bd76c6939c2

[moonslav59]

The Padres want a 3Bman, and we need pen help. How is this for an offer?

 

Eduardo Nunez $5M

Hector Velazquez Min (pre arb)

Michael Chavis or Bobby Dalbec AAA

(If the want Sweihart...)

 

for

 

Kirby Yates $3.1M + last arb year

 

We'd also gain almost $2M in budget money.

We'd probably have to add another top prospect.

 

[Nick]

The Padres want a 3Bman, and we need pen help. How is this for an offer?

 

Eduardo Nunez $5M

Hector Velazquez Min (pre arb)

Michael Chavis or Bobby Dalbec AAA

(If the want Sweihart...)

 

for

 

Kirby Yates $3.1M + last arb year

 

We'd also gain almost $2M in budget money.

We'd probably have to add another top prospect.

 

 

 

Nope....

 

I want to keep both Dalbec and Chavis.

[notin]

Nope....

 

I want to keep both Dalbec and Chavis.

 

 

I’m actually surprised the Sox still have Chavis.

 

Dalbec looks like Russell Branyan 2.0. Is he really so untouchable?

[moonslav59]

Nope....

 

I want to keep both Dalbec and Chavis.

 

I think my offer would be refused by SD as being too light.

[jacksonianmarch]

It would be. Yates is coming off a brilliant season and really his second good season in a row. He's a high K, improved command reliever who's move to Petco has limited his HR tendencies. He is also only 31 yrs old and comes with 2 years of control. He is gonna cost a lot more than a middling prospect, the overpaid hobbit 3b, and other trash. A team that wants him will have to pay a return similar to what they got for Hand, and send over a legit top 25 prospect or a package that makes up for a non top 25-er

[notin]

It would be. Yates is coming off a brilliant season and really his second good season in a row. He's a high K, improved command reliever who's move to Petco has limited his HR tendencies. He is also only 31 yrs old and comes with 2 years of control. He is gonna cost a lot more than a middling prospect, the overpaid hobbit 3b, and other trash. A team that wants him will have to pay a return similar to what they got for Hand, and send over a legit top 25 prospect or a package that makes up for a non top 25-er

 

3+ years of Brad Hand, who was valued at 3.3 fWAR total in the two previous season was traded with Adam Cimber gor a two time top 3” prospect Francisco Mejia.

 

Two years of Kirby Yates, valued at 2.3 fWAR over the two previous seasons, won’t get you anywhere near a top 30 prospect, unless they drastically up the additional piece over Adam Cimber.

 

The Padres could use a 3b, but the Sox are a tough match. Devers is worth far more than Yates, Dalbec isn’t a major leaguer and might not be as good as a few Padre infield prospects. And Chavis is a butcher at third.

 

San Diego also isn’t looking for prospects as far as anyone can tell. They have those by the bushel. They would probably prefer a third team involved who might have interest in Chavis’bat and a 3b they can move. Matt Duffy of Tampa might be a good fit if 1) Tampa had some interest in Chavis, which they might since he can hit and doesn’t make much money, and 2) Tampa was willing to be involved in a trade with Boston. One thing we have learned about Tampa is, they do seem to like 3 team trades...

[sk7326]

The Padres want a 3Bman, and we need pen help. How is this for an offer?

 

Eduardo Nunez $5M

Hector Velazquez Min (pre arb)

Michael Chavis or Bobby Dalbec AAA

(If the want Sweihart...)

 

for

 

Kirby Yates $3.1M + last arb year

 

We'd also gain almost $2M in budget money.

We'd probably have to add another top prospect.

 

 

Padres are better off just trying to sign Machado or just leave the spot open if Tatis is ready to arrive.

[notin]

Padres are better off just trying to sign Machado or just leave the spot open if Tatis is ready to arrive.

 

They’ve been connected to Machado, which would be a great move for them. But I have my doubt that Machado or Harper sign or Realmuto gets traded anytime before the Earth crashes into the sun...

[sk7326]

They’ve been connected to Machado, which would be a great move for them. But I have my doubt that Machado or Harper sign or Realmuto gets traded anytime before the Earth crashes into the sun...

 

Here is the thing with Machado or Harper. At this point they are being undervalued relative to production. Normally a team like the Padres or White Sox doesn't make sense. However, they are so young - and the team expects to have a bunch of solid players on cheapo entry deals, that it actually matches their schedule quite nicely.

 

Now, if the Phillies don't end up with one of them, that is a massive organizational failing. I still half expect the Yankees to nab Machado - frankly it is derelict they have not already.

[moonslav59]

Possible RH'd RP'er that are still available:

 

https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2019/02/10-low-cost-right-handed-relief-options.html

 

[dgalehouse]

Alexi Ogando is out there in one of those dumpsters.

[moonslav59]

These are the 10 MLBTR's suggested (RH'ers only)

 

Tyler Clippard

 

Sergio Romo

 

Jim Johnson

 

Alex Wilson

 

Nick Vincent

 

John Axford

 

Ryan Madson

 

Adam Warren

 

Daniel Hudson

 

Erik Goeddel

[Bellhorn04]

Alexi Ogando is out there in one of those dumpsters.

 

With Edward Mujica.

[moonslav59]

These are the 10 MLBTR's suggested (RH'ers only)

 

Tyler Clippard

 

Sergio Romo

 

Jim Johnson

 

Alex Wilson

 

Nick Vincent

 

John Axford

 

Ryan Madson

 

Adam Warren

 

Daniel Hudson

 

Erik Goeddel

 

Assuming all are healthy, here is maybe the pecking order for our opening day pen:

 

1. Barnes

2. Brasier

3. Wright (no options)

4. Hembree (no options)

5. Johnson (no options)

6. Thornburg (no options)

7. Workman (no options)

 

Our top 2 RP'ers both have 2 options, but those are of no use to us.

 

If we want to sign or trade for a RP'er, it would mean someone from this list would have to be traded, DL'd or DFA'd. We better get someone better than Workman & Thornburg (or Hembree - Johnson)

 

We also have these as depth, as of now:

 

Velazquez 2

Poyner 2

Brewer 2

Lakins 3

Walden 1

Shepherd 2

DHernandez 3

Josh Taylor 3

D Reyes 3

 

Not on 40 Man Roster

Shawaryn

Z Putnam

E Ramirez

Feltman AA

[BillyWilliams]

Assuming all are healthy, here is maybe the pecking order for our opening day pen:

 

1. Barnes

2. Brasier

3. Wright (no options)

4. Hembree (no options)

5. Johnson (no options)

6. Thornburg (no options)

7. Workman (no options)

 

Our top 2 RP'ers both have 2 options, but those are of no use to us.

 

If we want to sign or trade for a RP'er, it would mean someone from this list would have to be traded, DL'd or DFA'd. We better get someone better than Workman & Thornburg (or Hembree - Johnson)

 

We also have these as depth, as of now:

 

Velazquez 2

Poyner 2

Brewer 2

Lakins 3

Walden 1

Shepherd 2

DHernandez 3

Josh Taylor 3

D Reyes 3

 

Not on 40 Man Roster

Shawaryn

Z Putnam

E Ramirez

Feltman AA

 

Geez, all one pretty much needs to do to be better than thornburg is just show up considering he's only pithed 24 innings combined the past 2 seasons.......

[Bellhorn04]

They’ve been connected to Machado, which would be a great move for them. But I have my doubt that Machado or Harper sign or Realmuto gets traded anytime before the Earth crashes into the sun...

 

Well, the Realmuto trade to the Phillies finally seems to be done.

[moonslav59]

Geez, all one pretty much needs to do to be better than thornburg is just show up considering he's only pithed 24 innings combined the past 2 seasons.......

 

Not many can say they had a year like his 3 years ago.

 

We'll see what he looks like in ST'ing and maybe decide by then, which Thornburg he might be in 2019.

[moonslav59]

Well, the Realmuto trade to the Phillies finally seems to be done.

 

The Phillies have announced the trade, acquiring Realmuto in exchange for Alfaro, Sanchez, Stewart and international funds. It seems, then, that the bonus money was the fourth component of the deal, rather than an additional minor league talent.

 

I wonder if this means they may not get Machado or Harper.

[notin]

Well, the Realmuto trade to the Phillies finally seems to be done.

 

Is it the Apocalypse?