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JoeBrady

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Everything posted by JoeBrady

  1. JoeBrady
    Or Realmuto. Assuming he re-signs for $20M, then his tax is $22M, and the total Philly CBT is $77M, and total payroll about $360M.
  2. JoeBrady
    That worries me a fair amount. DD extended everyone else, why not Suarez?
  3. JoeBrady
    That's all most of us have been saying. We just say it in different ways. That's odd, because I keep telling fans not to pay any attention to what they say. I never do.
  4. JoeBrady
    My experience is that Lou is almost always right. Even when I've thought things out deeply, if Lou disagrees, I go back to my abacus.
  5. JoeBrady
    With the 110% CBT, Tucker is costing them $115,000,000 a year. It makes you wonder why they wouldn't trade almost anyone from their minor leagues for someone like Duran or Abreu. They won't be as good, but will likely be no less than about 1.5 WAR worse. It's like the LAD are paying another $100,000,000 to have Tucker instead of Duran or Abreu.
  6. JoeBrady
    Interesting times. Even when the NYY were the EE, they didn't sign guys as rapidly. Duran has a lot higher bWAR over the past two years. In fact, both Duran and Ceddanne had higher bWARs last year, and Abreu's bWAR/PA was identical to Tucker.
  7. JoeBrady
    $57.1 for CBT purposes. Their CBT tax alone would rank as the 19th highest payroll.
  8. JoeBrady
    Sale was in his HOF prime at the time, and was fortunate enough to have two top prospects that BC supplied to him. Just like Breslow was fortunate enough to have Bloom's prospects. And Cherington only had the #2 prospect because Henry purchased that #2 prospect for him. All of this is a gigantic circle about who gets credit.
  9. JoeBrady
    I'm not sure who's option it is. If it's a mutual option, then it is a flat $10M cost. If it is a club option, the his marginal cost to us is $20M with some chance of us picking up the option. It feels like this will cost us something next year, but there is a decent chance that it is less than the full $10M.
  10. JoeBrady
    I would. I'd rate Abreu and Parades roughly even. So it is King and Janek for 2 years of Abreu. King is solid good. Janek has some holes, but that's how you get guys like Janek. I think that favors Houston, but the fit for the RS makes up for that.
  11. JoeBrady
    Meh. We ruined it for a couple of years, the NYY ruined it before that. FWIW, the LAD only finished 4 games ahead of us. I don't really care how teams and players split my money, but IMHO, the folks that hurt the salary structure are the ones paying big money for mediocre teams. The Angels spent $221M on a bad team, and the Rox spent $149M and they don't have a single player that could've made the Angels.
  12. JoeBrady
    My bet is that Breslow, and probably every other GM, has a board with almost every possible contingency on it. There could easily be ten major names on it, 10-20 secondary names, guys to sign, guys to trade for, guys we'd like to trade away, guys that we might trade away, guys that we won't trade away. And probably guys that we won't trade away, but we'll still take the phone call. I don't think we focus much on Plan A, Plan B, etc. Even just with Bregman, my guess is that, had Houston offered us Paredes for two unimportant prospects, we'd have stopped taking Boras' calls.
  13. JoeBrady
    I've said this before, but I find a lot of the discussions about spending to be related to how they spend. Some posters were very upset that we didn't sign Alonso. Some were very upset we didn't sign Bregman. I said all along that, who we sign, is not as important as just spending the money. That Breslow, and by extension JH, was willing to spend the $31M+, was the most important consideration.
  14. JoeBrady
    Very true. If we had signed Montgomery and Snell two years ago, simply because we handed out huge contracts, would that have been a positive or a negative? If all you need is to have someone outbid everyone, I can handle that job for a mere $1M a year.
  15. JoeBrady
    How many fans wanted Montgomery and Snell? People's memories are occasionally selective.
  16. JoeBrady
    Maybe, but that's neither a positive nor a negative. Being willing to outbid the rest of the world is meaningless.
  17. JoeBrady
    I wouldn't DFA someone with that arm. We have several guys that have never been real major leaguers. Uberstine 27 and no ML experience Drohan 27 and no ML experience Moran 28.266 and 5.2 BB9 Watson 28 and no ML experience I'm not saying they are untalented, but Hicks had been really good at some point. Even last year he had a FIP of 4.35.
  18. JoeBrady
    IMO, impossible to know. Way too many fans, of all teams, post like they know the inside workings of the front office. If I had to take a pure guess, I think Breslow took a pure guess. He guessed that he had the best offer. He was wrong. 2nd guess is that he knew he had Suarez on the hook, and decided he didn't care which player he landed. But to attribute to poor communication skills feels a bit far afield.
  19. JoeBrady
    That was always my thought. He just said something stupid without giving it a thought. He wasn't trying to lie to fans to get them to buy tickets. Some folks should never talk with the media.
  20. JoeBrady
    Watson.
  21. JoeBrady
    I'd go one step further and suggest that his 107+ in his previous 5 years is hardly elite. Just like many other players, I consider him an option, but nowhere near an elite option. I'd bet on Paredes having a higher bWAR over the next two years. It's all about cost.
  22. JoeBrady
    I've been told my look of righteous indignation is very similar to my look of derisive scorn.
  23. JoeBrady
    Similar to signing Crawford. What good is speed when you play your back to the wall?
  24. JoeBrady
    Everything is different. TBH, I'm not sure why fans are comparing the two. Right now (and one years is not a trend), Breslow is much more like DD than Bloom. Both DD and Breslow inherited a great young core, are being given a ton of spending money, and are allowed to trade some of the farm. Bloom is just the opposite.
  25. JoeBrady
    If they have an interest, they won't tell you. Not in BB, and not in the real world.
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