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JoeBrady

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Everything posted by JoeBrady

  1. JoeBrady
    The best way to ensure small market teams won't spend is to make sure they don't get good picks. Teams like Pitt and Cincy 'might' spend if they have a shot. If they are locked into 65 wins, because they don't have any high draft picks, then they will default to spending the least amount possible. I have almost no doubt about that.
  2. JoeBrady
    Who said it was going to be a full week before the whiners started up again? My under/over was two days.
  3. JoeBrady
    He's still a pretty good hitter with a very good glove. I don't always look for best-in-class solutions.
  4. JoeBrady
    Jason Bay-the dude's swing was perfect for Fenway.
  5. JoeBrady
    The EV and bat speed are worrisome. The fact that the Cubs chose to spend $32M or so on Bregman, instead of minimum wage on Shaw, raises the question of why. I lean heavily on understanding the other guy's motivation. Maybe my favorite line in The Big Short is when the guy says 'sure I'm interested in the deal. But first you have to tell me how you're going to frack me'.
  6. JoeBrady
    Semien. He's costing the NYM ~ $50M CBT and has no position. Semien for Yoshida. Yoshida/Vientos platoon DH, while Yoshida backs up their non-existent LF, and Vientos backs up Baty (RH) and Polanco (unlikely to play a full season).
  7. JoeBrady
    I think Bichette and Semien are automatic 2Bs. They almost have to trade Semien. Yoshida for Semien, plus enough/some money to even it out, is a match made in heaven.
  8. JoeBrady
    Wow. I know you pay more when you want shorter terms, but $42M per?
  9. JoeBrady
    FWIW, with the addition of Suarez, I am more open to trading Yoshida and making Duran the DH. I still wouldn't mind hooking him up in a Paredes package, or even a good pitching prospect, but if we aren't spending $25M on a hitter, then upgrading our offense is the next order of business.
  10. JoeBrady
    It took him four years, but I think he finally got it right by trading for Duran. All the previous closers were too sketchy to rely on for a WS aspirant.
  11. JoeBrady
    Or Realmuto. Assuming he re-signs for $20M, then his tax is $22M, and the total Philly CBT is $77M, and total payroll about $360M.
  12. JoeBrady
    That worries me a fair amount. DD extended everyone else, why not Suarez?
  13. JoeBrady
    That's all most of us have been saying. We just say it in different ways. That's odd, because I keep telling fans not to pay any attention to what they say. I never do.
  14. JoeBrady
    My experience is that Lou is almost always right. Even when I've thought things out deeply, if Lou disagrees, I go back to my abacus.
  15. JoeBrady
    With the 110% CBT, Tucker is costing them $115,000,000 a year. It makes you wonder why they wouldn't trade almost anyone from their minor leagues for someone like Duran or Abreu. They won't be as good, but will likely be no less than about 1.5 WAR worse. It's like the LAD are paying another $100,000,000 to have Tucker instead of Duran or Abreu.
  16. JoeBrady
    Interesting times. Even when the NYY were the EE, they didn't sign guys as rapidly. Duran has a lot higher bWAR over the past two years. In fact, both Duran and Ceddanne had higher bWARs last year, and Abreu's bWAR/PA was identical to Tucker.
  17. JoeBrady
    $57.1 for CBT purposes. Their CBT tax alone would rank as the 19th highest payroll.
  18. JoeBrady
    Sale was in his HOF prime at the time, and was fortunate enough to have two top prospects that BC supplied to him. Just like Breslow was fortunate enough to have Bloom's prospects. And Cherington only had the #2 prospect because Henry purchased that #2 prospect for him. All of this is a gigantic circle about who gets credit.
  19. JoeBrady
    I'm not sure who's option it is. If it's a mutual option, then it is a flat $10M cost. If it is a club option, the his marginal cost to us is $20M with some chance of us picking up the option. It feels like this will cost us something next year, but there is a decent chance that it is less than the full $10M.
  20. JoeBrady
    I would. I'd rate Abreu and Parades roughly even. So it is King and Janek for 2 years of Abreu. King is solid good. Janek has some holes, but that's how you get guys like Janek. I think that favors Houston, but the fit for the RS makes up for that.
  21. JoeBrady
    Meh. We ruined it for a couple of years, the NYY ruined it before that. FWIW, the LAD only finished 4 games ahead of us. I don't really care how teams and players split my money, but IMHO, the folks that hurt the salary structure are the ones paying big money for mediocre teams. The Angels spent $221M on a bad team, and the Rox spent $149M and they don't have a single player that could've made the Angels.
  22. JoeBrady
    My bet is that Breslow, and probably every other GM, has a board with almost every possible contingency on it. There could easily be ten major names on it, 10-20 secondary names, guys to sign, guys to trade for, guys we'd like to trade away, guys that we might trade away, guys that we won't trade away. And probably guys that we won't trade away, but we'll still take the phone call. I don't think we focus much on Plan A, Plan B, etc. Even just with Bregman, my guess is that, had Houston offered us Paredes for two unimportant prospects, we'd have stopped taking Boras' calls.
  23. JoeBrady
    I've said this before, but I find a lot of the discussions about spending to be related to how they spend. Some posters were very upset that we didn't sign Alonso. Some were very upset we didn't sign Bregman. I said all along that, who we sign, is not as important as just spending the money. That Breslow, and by extension JH, was willing to spend the $31M+, was the most important consideration.
  24. JoeBrady
    Very true. If we had signed Montgomery and Snell two years ago, simply because we handed out huge contracts, would that have been a positive or a negative? If all you need is to have someone outbid everyone, I can handle that job for a mere $1M a year.
  25. JoeBrady
    How many fans wanted Montgomery and Snell? People's memories are occasionally selective.
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