drewski6

So many things run through my mind, as I read this, and only some of them are on point. "If you go through the Realistic View 3 thread from 2022" Drew: I didnt do HW at Bentley, not gonna do it for you (sorry, no offense). "certain poster" Drew: I see you as a leader 'round these parts, and Ive been wondering if I should "certain poster" when Im talking about someone specifically. If I say "certain poster" and something negative follows, Im talking about JoeBrady 100% of the time. But sometimes other people think Im talking about them or referencing them. And Im not 100% if I should disguise my JoeBrady dislike for civility purposes or if that makes me a mealy-mouthed twerp and I should instead just say who I am talking about as opposed to codifying "At the beginning of July, the same poster said the '22 squad was almost as good as the '21 squad and that they just needed a similar trade deadline to get them over the hump." Drew: Now im in the way back machine, remembering Moonslav going back and forth with this one other poster in the BDC days for 10+ pages over who said what and what was a miquote, and "sullying my good name" but my thoughts on that kind of stuff is nobody really keeps score, and most posters just respond to the post based on the four corners of the post and its not like we're battling over reputation points or something. Every time Im about to write a "how dare you say I said that, I never said that:....I pause and realize the only person who cares about me being misquoted is me "I spent most of the previous offseason posting that the team needed a fire sale and to deal off all the expiring contracts. Nobody liked that." Agreed 100%. Im a pick a freaking direction guy. I wasnt here, but I remember talking with my uncle about it when we were hanging on a fam trip in Fl. Right around this time. And I was like buy or sell, but I think Id rather sell, but plz dont do both. I think 2022 was the year that we fell apart like right after the deadline, and I remember thinking, if we were going to fall apart why couldnt it have been 3 weeks ago (cuz then we prob would have sold). But we were like hanging on, and it looks like the wheels were coming off (leading to the deadline), and I was leaning sell, then the wheels came off completely like right after the deadline and Im like darn! Thats kind of worse case scenario. I think that was 2022.

welcome to the internet

The ole I was just joking, but was I? song + dance

What if we offered Bregman......THE EXACT SAME DEAL 3 yrs / 40m each, but deferred enough so it brings it down to like 32m in real money with an opt-out after each year. He gets rewarded for opting out because he gets an extra year guaranteed (had he not opted out he would have had only 2 yrs remaining) Im not sure he takes it, but I run it past him....Jokingly at first, but if I sense he's actually considering it, then I start the "way, maybe this isnt such a silly idea"

Yeah , also we werent in the room To me, I would consider the lead-up , was there someone who we really liked for more money , but wouldnt pony up and fell back to yoshida because he was cheaper and we were willing to overlook red flags...Because I would rather get the guy we wanted for 22m then the red flags guy for 17m. Or did we love the player we thought yoshida would be, take a risk, and flop. To me the latter would be more excusable, but then I have questions like "had you ever seen him throw?" but aside from that - this kind of stuff matters to me.

Im not a doctor with his medicals in front of me. If he looks like a healthy 32, we are damned if we dont (IMO) If his body show signs of breaking down, thats a damned both ways thing. If we sign Bregman to 5, and hes healthy (and the RS are generally healhty) for the first 3, nobody is going to regret it. WEll, Im not. What I would regret is if yr 1, bregman gets hurt, yr 2 crochet gets hurt and maybe one other injury so the year is lost, yr 3 bregman starts showing serious decline Because then we've got 0 playoff contributions out of him. But if we make the ALCS and lose in yr 1 (with Bregman contributing), win it all in yr 2 (with bregman contributing), fall short in yr 3 but a good year (with bregman contributing) - you dont lose on the deal, even if you pay him 30m in yrs 4/5 and he regresses there Its kinda high risk / high reward

Im not upset we signed Yoshida. I see his contract as underwater but Im not over here boo-hoo'ing that theres a better use of the money. He doesnt seem like a bad person, and Id rather him have the money that JH has paid him than JH. I dont blame Yoshida, and I honestly dont think the tax line is as important as people here think. Im not an avoid underwater contracts at all costs kind of guy. Im sure most WS winners have an underwater contract or a contract that will one day underwater If you never take a risk that goes sideways, you arent taking enough risks. Im not upset we took the risk.

Im not

I'm not not asking them too though But like Moon says and its important, cant spend to spend. But me personally, Im okay with payrolls ballooning and certain years and shrinking in others. Like Ive said in the past, if I was a GM and had a budget of 1b/5 yrs , I dont think I would allocate it evenly. Try to save some, but I mean, dont save it all for years 4,5 and get sacked after 3, haha.

Let's roll the tape

My only thing here is dont start looping people together, which is tough because you are relatively new. So for example, you responded to moon, but quoted joe. Moon is great, joe is a clown. Try to keep the posters distinguished if you can.

Of course people think that! Ive thought that! (Fear that its put up or shut up time) The most recent Celtics championship. The team had fallen short of winning it all a couple years in a row, and the excuse that Brown/Tatum were still young had been used up by the previous years of falling just short, and you cant really point to supporting cast either because the duo had played with a lot of different players. It was put up or shut up time for the dynamic duo of Tatum and Brown, and they rose to the occasion and met the expectations. But going into that year, I was getting nervous because more was at stake vs lets say 3 yrs prior when JT was 22 and Brown was 24 where even a playoff birth would be gravy. But the point is the stress/expectations werent there when your team is super young but they come as that team matures. My beloved PC Friars, our coach Kim English has not had a last good couple of years. I like Kim English, so Im more nervous this year because the excuses are running dry. Same thing with a QB. If you love Drake Maye and he struggles year 1, you are like no biggie, rookie. If he struggles year 3, and you are a fan, you start getting nervous. When its put up or shut up time when its do or die time, there is an elevation of nerves. Some people dont like that and seek to convince themselves that its not put up or shut up time, that any year is just like any other. But not every year has the same amount on the line. Look at the Bruins a couple years ago. THey had such a good reg season, it was bergy and krejci last year, it was a huge year. We were supposed to win it all. But we fell on our face. That was a harder end to bruins season than most because of what was at stake. Being backed against the wall is scary. Last chance is scary.

Like I said, I think readiness is a lot about the body and Tolle's body is ready. Its not Baileys job to develop through the minors. With TOlle's body and arm and left-handedness and mustache and poise I honestly dont see how hes not ready IF you think he needs to improve his secondaries, this isnt as long as a process as you think. Guys tinker with their mixes with their grips, work in new pitches every year. It takes years to develop a body that can throw a hard slider consistently without injury. But once you have that, the only thing stopping you is what ? Grip refinement? That stuff is important too but it doesnt take years He may need a little time in the beginning, Tolle, but if the body/arm/poise are there, the secondaries are coming and I think they are coming very soon I think by June, hes our #2

I dont think you get it. Who wins a team of 100 WAR with a 300m payroll (.3 WAR /$) or a team with a 50 WAR with a 100m payroll (.5 WAR/$) I posted an article for you about 1.5 months ago that went into how WAR / $$ will only get you far and becomes a trap. I understand that we cant assume a 300m payroll; however, the concept still applies. Chasing value non-stop will only get you so far. Its not the teams with the deepest discounted players that win, its teams with the best players. Understood that WAR/$$ can help you get great players and still have room for more, I get that. But if you have a good foundation of WAR/$$ , its time to pivot and stop chasing value. If you chase WAR/$$ exclusively , youll have a team of min wage players because nobody can 4x their $$ like a min wage player can, but teams full of pre-arb players aint winning anything. WAR/$$ is a great metric to help you get the ball rolling, but it eventually becomes time to get the studs.

With your sense of humor, I have 0 doubt

Ive never bought a house because I try to zag when everyone else zigs, and Im over here kind of wishing I bought a house 15 years ago.

I can tell by Tolles mustache that he's ready. That aint a boys mustache.

When Lebron was 18 he had the body of a 28 yr old. Tolle is like that too.

He's 6'6, filled out, with a very live arm With those boxes checked the difference between say and MLB caliber slider and a slider in development is on a tweak. If Tolle isnt ready than Bailey is a sham. Whne guys arent ready its usually a body issue. TOlle is a man in every sense of the word. The dude is like Greg Oden. He looks 35 at 20

Top 3 now

cold-stove season has been a snoozer for sure.

Im a duran guy, but speaking for only myself - my willingness to trade him went up significantly when he buttered that fly I would assume that the flip side is that potential trade partners desire to acquire him went down when he buttered that fly I dont want to over-emphasize one play, but that drop was bad and the worst thing about it is that Duran lapsing in focus in the field is a pattern more than it is a one-off. I once had a friend who put the moves on somebodys girl at a party knowing she was there with someone (who we knew but not well). My friend asked me to defend him when he was asked to leave. I said I cant because this is a pattern of behavior from you. Cuz he be like that.

I think we 2 of the best 4 pitchers in the entire AL and their names are Crochet and Tolle. Tolle is 6'6 fully filled out with a monster of a pitch mix. He has confidence and swagger. I think the more time a pitcher faces a batter the more that favors the batter and the fact that nobody really seen Tolle too many times will make him a hoss.

I chose Ultimate Maniacs (Macho and Warrior) over Mega Powers (depicted here) because I assumed neither of us wanted to be Hogan.

this guys has packed a lot of insight into 155 posts (to date)