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Hugh2

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Everything posted by Hugh2

  1. Hugh2
    I think the Sox still have a better chance than most at signing Suzuki, and I think they afford him and big money at Correa. Yup, I said it.
  2. Hugh2
    20th, same spot. He is effectively saying the Sox farm didn't budge....which is absurd.
  3. Hugh2
    Keith Law is always lower on the Sox for some reason, I don't understand why (NY fan). He's reasonable in the player to player evaluation however but I think it's absurd that we go from 20th last year to staying put at 20th this year. The farm system is much better going into 2022 than it was last year and that's not even a close thing.
  4. Hugh2
    If Bobby can slash that with improved defense at 1B I'll take that for the league minimum all day.
  5. Hugh2
    I still think there's a really good chance the Sox land Suzuki. At this point, no one really knows.
  6. Hugh2
    Many of us were speculating that this was the Sox plan all along, that the JBJ trade makes more sense if they sign Suzuki, to be fair......this is still just speculation. For all we know JBJ is your starting CF/RF next year.
  7. Hugh2
    I think he likes the prospects, but there's a reality here. JBJ is probably much better than he was last year, and Renfroe likely had a career year offensively he's doomed to never repeat. With reasonable regression Renfroe is likely only marginally better than JBJ, throw in the prospects, JBJ becomes the defensive 4th, and you sign a stud that doesn't cost you a draft pick to replace Renfroe and you have a winning strategy.
  8. Hugh2
    I've been saying this ever since the trade in which JBJ was a throw in. Suzuki was made for Fenway.
  9. Hugh2
    The 2021 trading deadline thinned their system out a lot. Probably not top 10 anymore, but still probably pretty good.
  10. Hugh2
    Obviously anything short of "we have reached an agreement" isn't great news but at this point I just see this as posturing. I'm still hopeful that there will be a regular start to the season, but.....we should expect things to heat up (one way or another) over the next cou0ple weeks.
  11. Hugh2
    I think if we really thought about it, this is completely predictable. That nothing has happened for over a month now. I suspect life to be just as boring over the next couple weeks. When we start to get to a time frame where pitchers and catchers are supposed to report I think talks will heat up fast and we will go from 0-60 in 1 day. This doesn't get a deal done, but I think both sides absolutely do NOT want to repeat 1994. I still think it's more probable than not that there is a full season.
  12. Hugh2
    I would feel better, but I'd feel even GREATER if they also kept Kike in CF, upgraded 2B, and had JBJ be your full time 4th outfielder.
  13. Hugh2
    Whats the real difference in value between JBJ and Renfroe? I think it's obvious that Renfroe is more valuable than JBJ that's a no-brainer. But if you project reasonable progression and regression into the equation Renfroe is marginally more valuable than JBJ. Now you add the prospects into the equation, now if the Sox go out and buy a better RF than Renfroe and JBJ becomes an upgrade for your 4th outfielder how much better does the roster get? I'm not going to judge this trade until opening day, because I believe it's a precursor to other moves.
  14. Hugh2
    Who are you going to spend it on? I'm sure you can pick up a pitcher but even after all the signings, there's STILL more talent left in this years free agent class on the position side than next year. I think you look to fill those holes now.
  15. Hugh2
    You could easily trade JBJ and eat a lot of his salary for prospects, but you're just not getting anything great in return. I just don't understand why you make that trade. JBJ is likely due for a huge rebound, it's almost impossible to be worse than last year. It's still a reasonable opinion that JBJ's rebound is not good enough to be a starting outfielder given his offensive profile but it could easily be enough to be a great defensive 4th outfielder......and that's something the Red Sox really needed this offseason. So I don't know why you trade JBJ, especially if you're going to eat his salary anyways.
  16. Hugh2
    The only real leverage the players have is to threaten the season, I think no one wants a repeat of 1994 but it's not going to be real enough to get the owners to the bargaining table until that becomes a reality. I think we hear nothing for 8-10 more weeks and then talks heat up and a deal gets done. Be prepared for a LONG winter.
  17. Hugh2
    That last little step makes a huge difference. I wouldn’t bet against him being a serviceable player in Japan.
  18. Hugh2
    It's worth noting that while the average salary is down, top-tier salaries are inflating as high as ever. It just seems that no one else is getting paid.
  19. Hugh2
    I think we should have been asking that question anyways. Before last year his career-high was 68, he had an all-around career year and I'm not sure we should expect him to repeat those numbers.
  20. Hugh2
    He could be a phenom and be up by the end of the year in 2023, he could also take 6 years to become an everyday shortstop at the MLB level. The latter would be absolutely fine and perfectly justify the pick. You don't make decisions at the MLB level based off of an 18 year old out of highscool. SO much can change over the next several years.
  21. Hugh2
    Also, If you're a Sox hitter a lot of your away games are played in NY and Toronto which are also hitters parks and stats indicate have been more HR friendly than Coors in recent years.
  22. Hugh2
    On the contrary, I think we can do exactly that. https://www.espn.com/mlb/stats/parkfactor/_/year/2020
  23. Hugh2
    They were in the ALCS at the end of 2021. If we want to discuss their budget for 2021 we should acknowledge that the team is largely set and most of the money is spent in the 2020/2021 offseason and before the 2021 season begins. At that point in time, the Sox had the 4th worse record in baseball and were garbage. It would be fair to counter with the trade deadline, but made better deals with better results than a heavy cash investment would have rendered and If you think you can do that and stay under with a star 2021/22 class on the horizon I think you do it.
  24. Hugh2
    Maybe, I think he will sign though. Pure conjecture here on my part but I wonder if he has a pretty good ideal of where he wants to go and what they're going to give him and everyone is just waiting for the dust to settle. I'd be more prone to believing he goes back to NPB if the lockout extends into the start of the season.
  25. Hugh2
    Well at least we know he will be good at Fenway. Keep in mind he wasn't horrible away, he just wasn't that great. Without looking it up I think his OPS was .750 but his defense is great and much better than the other offensive-minded players at SS. Don't we want elite defense at SS???? Keep in mind Baez has a lifetime OPS about .30 points higher than Storys away splits. Baez is also a guy who led the league in strike outs. Now I know strikeouts are overestimated, but still we had a lot of that in our lineup and I don't think it needs anymore. His OBP is barely above .300 I suppose you could say the same thing about Story though, high strike outs but he does walk a little bit more and he seemed to cut down on the swing and miss in 2021. They're actually kind of similar, you'd think if you like one you would like to other. Baez might have offered positional flexibility SS/2B. But with Bloom and Cora calling the shots I could see them doing the same thing with Bogaerts/Story.
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