Hugh2
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Everything posted by Hugh2
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Hey .240 is average!!!! I would have taken that this year.
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Adam Frazier isn't a bad comp, if we're talking purely about value. Their stat lines are very similar, with Kike you're going to get a little more SLG, and with Frazier, you're going to get a little bit more AVG. I'd say that when it comes to defense Kike is better, 7.3 career DWar to Fraziers 2.5, but Frazier is still a plus defender and as pointed out even provides positional versatility that Kike does too. It's a good enough comp to say if Frazier can get 8 million in arbitration, that 10 million for Kike is a good deal. I think most view it as a good deal. Maybe he spends all year on the D.L. and it looks bad in hindsight, but if he's healthy for even just most of the seasons, he's going to be worth a lot more than 10 million dollars.
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You could argue Kike is better, despite a marginally better WAR (maybe games played close the gap) but if you're more of a BWar guy for position players Kike is clearly better. Also, he offers more positional flexibility than Frazier does. Kike could have done better in free agency, and there's a ton of value tied to a 1 year deal opposed to being on the hook for multiple seasons.
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So now Bloom bad because he couldn't pay hypothetical guy? Just name one guy? Almost NO ONE is bashing the Kike deal. You want an upgrade? you will pay 2X to 4X that amount if you're rolling Nimmo/Judge out there and that eats up all your budget. Not great, just ok starters are getting 10-15 million per year easily. Last year 1 WAR averaged 5.9 million in salaries which go up about 10% yearly which if holds true means 1 WAR gets you 6.5 next year. This makes Kike worth the following in years past. 2022 $5.85 million 2021 $31.85 million 2020 $7.15 million 2019 $13 million 2018 $22.75 million So if he as a good year, it's an insanely awesome deal, if he is injured for 1/2 the year it's an overpay of $4-$5 million dollars. If there's a better option out there for 10 million. I'm all ears.
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Ok, but we needed a CFer and a RFer, and still need another outfielder. So if 10 million is too much for Kike, and we are "cost conscious" here, what would a better move have been??? Anyone better than Kike is going to be asking for more per year and more in years. He's being paid to be a 1.5 WAR player, which if he's healthy he will easily be.
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You know it's the easiest thing in the world to drop the name of someone who will get $15-$20 per year and say they'd take less somehow.
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Ceddanne is the guy who I'm really interested in during the 2023 campaign aside from Wong and Casas who I anticipate should or could contribute in 2023, but Rafaela is a guy I expect to see in the minors next year but could be knocking on the door later in the season. We know his defense is going to play, and that gives him a high floor, but if he can't hit he will just be another JBJ (but with the plus of positional versatility and more speed). But if he can sharpen up his plate discipline and learn to not expand the zone so much, he could be much more. 1 Walk during the entire month of December, this concerns me. I just fear he hits his way into the majors but when he's facing better pitching he's going to see more pitchers who can spot stuff in the strike zone but aren't great pitches to hit and as a result, his AVG/OBP will take a big hit. If he doesn't take this leap, he is still a very valuable guy. A super utility guy who can add plus D at most positions and add value on the basepaths with his speed. That has value on a 25 man roster, but his raw tools has us yearning for more.
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This is completely conjecture but he passes the “eye test” in my book. I saw him a dozen times while he has in Portland and when he steps in the batters box it looks more like he’s IN THE BATTERS box and the pitchers are stepping up to the mound to face him. Will this translate to MLB success? We will have to wait until next year to have a more well informed answer, but I know we’re all rooting for him.
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We think of Bogaerts power outage and Devers slumps and one has to wonder if they could have had better numbers with a longer lineup. A healthy Story, and a non regression from Dalbec would have gone a long way.
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Depending on how you want to define service time you could say the Sox had a bunch of “Sophomore Slumps” this year. To me the most disappointing was Bobby Dalbec, I thought for sure he was destined to be a regular .800 ops guy in this lineup. I wasn’t concerned by a slow start because he always struck me as a streaky hitter but the dude had not one hot streak in him this year. Sox should have kept him on the mound hahaha.
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I don’t think Casas is the type to hit the ground running, and he still has some kinks to work out (vs. lhp) sometimes, guys have to work those out at the MLB level, sink or swim. I’m a lot higher on Casas than I ever was on Duran, and I’m not worried about him, if anything THIS is the time to get some of those kinks out. I think he’s going to be a solid .800 ops guy with some .900+ years in his prime. Not the Ted Williams some here may expect but certainly better than we’ve had at the position for some time. I think he’s going to be a regular staple in the this lineup come next June, we won’t even be talking about whether or not he’s ready…..or not.
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Not everyone makes their debut and is an all star right away. Sometimes the only way to tell if someone is going to be the next Pedroia or the next Middlebrooks is to just roll with them and see how they develop. Also, if you recall, it’s been said for the last several years how weak the Sox system is. Well, this is what happens in a weaker system, you have less MLB guys coming thru the pipeline. That’s changing in Boston, but some of those guy won’t be ready for another year or two and as we all know…..some of them won’t pan out
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No one who matters at least.
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Wasn’t German acquired around the same time as Whitlock? Seems kind of strange that the Yankees would have someone no good to trade and yet have more talented guys not protected on the 40. German is a relief only profile, has flashed plus stuff this year, not getting my hopes up, but certainly you’d never see me talking down a prospect after one bad outing on the majors. I’m not that shallow.
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I don't know if German will have a good, great, or bad MLB career, but I know he will be judged here by what he does in his first 5 IP.
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Nimmo Bogaerts/Turner Contreras Degrome
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Houck in the pen for certain, Whitlock I go rotation but don’t hate him in the pen.
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Exactly kind of have to, not everyone can play ss. Most guys in MLB played SS/C/CF in highschool, many of the pitchers too and vis versa
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Well they can’t all go SS now. Maybe more so this year, but we didn’t get the big lumbering 1B/DH Kavadas type pick this year. Their first three picks were all solid up the middle guys highly ranked
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Exactly, but the Sox went crazy with up the middle this last year
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I don't think that's why they got Franchy and Duran. Franchy was a high reward low risk guy who may amount to nothing but has crazy tools and Duran was a draftee. If anything Duran is worth less as a defender now because he's not a good defender. if anything, this might be why the Sox went back to drafting all up the middle players.
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This is correct. If a team has two great speedy outfielders I could see them do this against an extreme pull hitter. Don’t think we will see a ton of it though.
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Am I 100% wrong on this? I’d love to know for 100% certain. It also appears the most of draft position is gone too. If this is all true, there’s almost no excuse to not at least go right up against the second threshold.
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So far I can’t find anything that even says the new CBA excludes repeat offenders from not receiving revenue sharing
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That’s a pretty big assumption, I’m unclear here but I know in other areas of revenues sharing changes were made. So I think we should get some accurately sourced information here to be certain