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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    I'll be really upset, if we don't add a decent 3Bman/2Bman. That's already me walking back from "We need KMarte." The Suarez addition made us better in another area, so there is some justification in the walk-back, but we still have not replaced the Devers bat and the Bragman glove. Once can argue Contreras replaced Bregman's bat, and I guess it's close enough to not make a big deal about, but we need a 2B/3Bman and a big RH'd bat. I don't see any one player who fits both needs perfectly, since KMarte is off the table. Paredes might come closest. Suarez might give us the power RHB, but the Ks and OBP are not ideal, and he sucks on D. Going for a young up and coming 2Bman sounds great, but bye-bye Tolle & Arias plus maybe more.
  2. moonslav59
    I could certainly see that happening, as Brez has proven he sets a price/value and does not back down. He does not want to lose a trade w Duran or Abreu, and I respect that. We could, however win the war after losing every battle, as Bob Dylan once sang. Even if Duran and Abreu are better than Paredes, maybe we're a better team with Paredes at 3B, Mayer at 2B and Yoshida/Romy/Casas/Campbell at DH.
  3. moonslav59
    But, really the line-up comps are... Duran/Abreu vs Yoshida and Paredes vs DHam v R/ Romy v L Which mark-up rates to be higher? If we get a piece added to the deal, that is a consideration, also. On defense comps, if we trade Duran, the D stays about the same, depending on how you view Paredes 3B/Mayer 2B vs Mayer 3B/DHam-Romy 2B. If it's Abreu, we get worse on D, but the infield part is up for debate. (Anthony in RF is not bad, but Anthony in LF over Duran and Abreu in RF is significantly better.)
  4. moonslav59
    I don't think he lets that DHam/Romy at 2B ride. If Romy was the one getting 450 PAs and DHam 150, maybe, but the strongside spit is just too awful to allow.
  5. moonslav59
    There is more to the problem on moving Rafaela to 2B than removing a GG fielder from an important position. The move does not address the missing big bat issue any more than DH'ing Duran. It would if we play DHam at 2B, but I'm not sure a DHam/Romy platoon at 2B is worse on O than Rafaela.
  6. moonslav59
    I have spoken about that and fully agree that JH can and should spend more, but I'm not going to lie and say he hasn't been spending more when we are $50M ahead of 2023. Yes, from 2019 to 2023 it was absurd. He deserves everything said about him, but there is no need to make the point by telling mistruths or being deceitful. (not you.)
  7. moonslav59
    One major reason is likely the restrictions put in place on spending & negotiation by JH. (Money, years, no trade clauses & deferments to name a few.) That's not to say mistakes can't ber or weren't made, but who here knows Brez botched it?
  8. moonslav59
    Okay... $32M Alonso > $42M Gray+Contreras
  9. moonslav59
    ...and also that he's spending but not on the high end players, so it doesn't count. $28M Bregman > $42M Gray + Contreras.
  10. moonslav59
    Suarez was a major signing. Calling him a lillipop is hyperbole, I hope. I guess JH could have not allowed $21M for Gray and $21M for Contreras, and instead signed Bregman, and you'd say he was spending agian?
  11. moonslav59
    If they can, they do. If they don't, they still get paid, unless they pull a Dempster.
  12. moonslav59
    They snuck Valera into the top 100. Nice! They have Tolle ahead of Arias, which looks correct. (I'd have Early ahead, too.)
  13. moonslav59
    Cam Smith is not part of their infield logjam: 1B: Walker/Paredes 2B: Altuve/Paredes (or Altuve to LF) SS: Pena/Correa 3B: Correa/Paredes Their DH is set with Yordan, but he could play LF and DH Altuve.
  14. moonslav59
    ...and you have to look at who takes their place in the line-up and field. Anthony will play LF or RF, depending on which one we trade, but the line-up slot will likely be this: Duran does not DH, if we trade Abreu or Duran is traded and whoever we DH is who replaces Duran/Abreu's bat. Both Duran and Abreu look to give us a .775 to .825 OPS. Duran brings speed into the offense, which should not be overlooked and undervalued. Th offense would be to sub Duran/Abreu with Yoshida L/Romy R/Campbell R/Casas L. If you figure some sort of platoon between these 4 guys over the full season, what might you guess their OPS would total? Maybe .750 to .800? Maybe .775 to .825 without the speed?
  15. moonslav59
    I think he was battling an injury for much of 2025, but he's been pretty good at the plate, every year: .786 '25 .781 '24 .862 '23 (.930 AAA) .834 '22 AA .857 '21 A+ Many players have ups and downs. I'm not sure Wilyer is more extreme with that.
  16. moonslav59
    I'd be fine with Janek- a promising catcher prospect, but we need a LH'd RP'er, so that would be okay.
  17. moonslav59
    HOU felt extremely uneasy with Altuve in LF, last year, but they might reluctantly try it again, this year. I'd hesitate trading Abreu for Paredes, straight up, but if they add King, I'd probably do it. Maybe Sousa, Abreu or Janek would be enough. I get the point about trading offense away, and the theory might be one OF'er will replace Yoshida/Romy/ Campbell is not a big step up on offense, so losing one but adding an infielder that can hit is a net gao=in on offense.
  18. moonslav59
    Word is HOU does not want Duran but rather Abreu, and the Sox are asking for more added to the deal. HOU should give more, as it is 4 years of Abreu for 2 of Paredes.
  19. moonslav59
    I'm fine with thinking Antony and other younger players can take up some of the slack left by departing players, but we should not really count on it. Lost PAs (OPS) 495 Bregman .821 334 Devers .905 209 Refsnyder .838 That's over 1,000 PAs. 119 Lowe .790 (Which is maybe what Contreras gives us but with 450 more PAs) Let's say Contreras takes Lowe's 120 and another 350 from the other 3, that leaves about 650 for one more player. Of course, I'd like two big bats added, but one could cover what was lost, along with Willson. It's gotta be a big bat, and K Marte is not walking in the door. Paredes comes closest to meeting the need, but he is part speculation. Suarez might be plan B and any other plans don't look like big bats, to me.
  20. moonslav59
    Gray's age is the big wildcard. Bello lost some velocity, last year, so maybe that's a wildcard, too. I think both will do fine.
  21. moonslav59
    Yes, if players agree to deferrals, fine- just don't lower the AAV for it. Teams could start changing 7 yr deals into 10 year deal to help lower the AAV, but the league has policed that, too.
  22. moonslav59
    I'd go... 1. Tolle 2. Early Big gap 3. Arias 4. Witherspoon 5. Valera
  23. moonslav59
    100%. Maybe Contreras replaced half of Devers. But, we still have Breggie and Ref's bats to repalce.
  24. moonslav59
    I see it that way, too, and Romy had decent splits in 2025, Not great but better than Duran and Abreu vs off-handed pitchers. The issue is he will face more off handed pitchers being a RHB than Duran & Abreu. Can he hit .710 again vs righties? If not, we may see -- eeeek!!!- DHam again!
  25. moonslav59
    He played very well for a half season, got a year older and showed signs of injury issues. This was after showing decline from his peak 2 seasons at ages 24 and 25 (152 and 162 OPS+) He rebounded a bit in 2022 to 134 but that was still a far cry from those monster years. Then he dropped to 122 in 2023 and 116 in 2024. His defense remained excellent, but a 116 OPS+ is not even close to $170M value. He ended up at 128, last year, and that is why he got $170M, but why is a half season in 2025 carry more weight than 2023 and 2024 combined, and now he's almost 32 years old? To me, he wasn't worth what we offered him, so I'm not upset he turned us down. That's the bottom line, to me. If (emphasis on if) Brez made some mistakes in the talks, I'm glad he did, and I hope he learns from it, so when we really should get our top target, he doesn't muff it up.
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