moonslav59

Good call. Mine was Fajardo, but he's already jumped from 40 to 11, so i'll go with.... Holobetz Runner up: Travieso Honorable Mention: Jo Garcia

He did much better than Duran vs LHPs. Here is the rub: even if we platoon Abreu, we still have 4 OFs vs RHPs, which is 70% of all games. Face it: WE HAVE TO TRADE ONE OF'er. It's better to trade 2 than none.

I've been on a rant about getting one from KMarte, Alonso or Schwarber, but getting two plus a #2 SP would be fantastic. Maybe get Ryan or Lodolo for Campbell plus. 1. L Anthony LF 2. S KMarte 2B 3. L Duran DH 4. R Alonso 1B 5. L Abreu RF 6. R Story SS 7. L Mayer 3B/R Romy 3B 8. R Narvaez C 9. R Rafaela CF Bench: Wong, Masa, Romy, DHam SP: Crochet, Ryan, Bello, 2 from: Sandoval, Crawford, Harrison, Dobbins, Perales, Early, Tolle RP: Chapman, Whitlock, Slaten, Weissert, Criswell, Moran, Hicks, 1 from Kelly, Sandlin or SP

These Rule 5 guys are always borderline players. Maybe one or two turns into anything good, eventually, but so what, right? As much as I like our 40 man depth and farm, I'm not hung up on any of our worst 40 man players. There are also 2-3 players who are overpaid, and are hanging on by a thread (like Masa & Hicks.) Our pitching depth on the farm is the envy of almost every MLB team. Our everyday prospect depth is lean, but our 40 man roster is loaded with everyday players under team control for 3+ years. We have 6-7 OF'ers, depending on Masa counting. We have a couple decent catchers. We look weak on infield coverage, but still have Story, Mayer, Casas, Romy, DHam, Sogard, Gray and maybe Eaton, KC and Grissom. If we can add 3 infielders, this winter, we will be more than set for years to come.

Yes, all it takes is one GM to think he's good in CF, but more likely, many GMs think he'll be very good in their LF. Duran has a lot of value. He has some power, gets on base enough and uses his speed to cause trouble on the basepaths. I do not think his defense is the selling point or the make or break issue.

I think MN will trade Ryan and take the best offer. I do not think anyone offers near Tolle + Early, and we won't need to. Campbell, Clarke and Harrison gets it done.

A lot of teams are eyeing those 11th and 12th slots. I think the top 11 are all in, if they win out, and no top 12 teams play each other, until the conference championship games, which of course could and may knock a team or two out of the top 12. Next weeks big games: 1 Ohio St at 18 Michigan (could get MI in, if they win. OSU will still be top 12 w a loss.) Then the Big 10 conference game (OS v IN?) 2 IN at PUR 3 TX A&M at 17 TEX (a TEX win may get them in) 4 GA at 16 GA Tech (tech will drop after this week's loss) 5 Tx Tech at WV 6 Ole Miss at Miss ST (all top 6 are in, even with a loss, IMO) 7 ORE at WSH (I still think ORE is overrated) 8 OKL v LSU (OKL should be in) 9 ND at Stanford (ND needs to win to be in.) 10 AL at AUB (Go Auburn!) 11 BYU v UCF (I think BYU is out, when they lose the conf game) 12 UT at KA (I'm not high on UT.) 13 MIA at PIT (may be ranked after big win) MIA might be in win 14 Vandy at 20 TN (winner may sneak in the top 12) 15 USC v UCLA (USC a long shot, to me. Need many losses) 19 VA vs VA Tech (VA is likely out) Most likely Conf games: OSU vs IN (both would stay top 12 w loss) TEX A&M vs AL TX Tech vs BYU (would knock BYU out) VA vs SMU

I think Alonso likes NY, but I'm not sure he was too happy with the contract offer made last winter. If that was the Sox, some would be saying it was a disrespectful offer, and claim that's why nobody likes to play here, anymore.

I agree. Alonso is now a year older. Sure, he had a better season in '25 than '24, but it was his third best OPS+ season, so it's not like "WOW, he's getting even better." I could see us signing Alonso and the Mets signing Bregman. They may just sign another FA 1Bman and use the money on Tucker or a pitcher. They had a .598 OPS in CF in 2025. 1B is an easier slot to fill than OF and pitching. Yes, they could give Baty and Vientos a shot at 1B and move at the deadline, if needed.

It's hard to know what STL's thinking is, but I have to think they'd like to get out from under some large contracts, and BTV has 3 players underwater. Arenado (please, God, NO!!!) Owed $27M in '26 W Contreras (we need a 1Bman with some power.) Owed $18M in '26, $18.5M in '27 w $17.5M option for '28 w $5M buyout, so essentially $41M/2 or $54M/3 Sonny Gray (We could use a solid pitcher, but his age is worrisome.) He's owed $35M in '26 w $30M option for "27 and $5M buyout, so $40M/1 or $65M/2. AAV Numbers are significantly different from what is owed on some: $30.5 Arenado (They'd have to take Yoshida for me to even consider taking him.) BTV -16 seems like he is way more in the hole. $24.8M Gray (This is reasonable) BTV -9 $17.5M Contreras (Not bad) BTV -24 (seems harsh) Donovan is +32 on BTV BTV would accept Rafaela for Donovan or maybe Campbell. Donovan + Contreras= $8M value. If we could get STL to take Hicks, maybe Casas, Harrison + Hicks comes close.

I'd probably give all 4. KMarte's AAV would help us be able to spend more for years to come. He might be better than Alonso, despite being a year older. I'd love to get KMarte & Alonso plus a trade for Lodolo or Ryan. Campbell, Garcia & Clarke for Ryan or Abreu + DHam for Lodolo (Maybe Garcia + Crawford)

While many added to the 40 were in the Sox system before Brez arrived, a significant portion were acquired by Brez: 16 on the 40: Weissert & Fitts (Dugo) Slaten (Ammons) Grissom (Sale) Crochet (Teel & package) Narvaez (Elmer Rod) Harrison & Hicks (Devers) Moran (Gasper) Sandlin (Schreiber) T Gray (Guerrero) Romy (waivers) Tolle (draft) FA: Chapman, Sandoval, Criswell, Eaton (MiLBFA) soxprospects.com's prospect rankings (Brez guys) 1. Tolle (on 40) 4. Witherspoon 8. Clarke 9. Gonzalez 11. Fajardo 12. Soto 13. Sandlin (on 40) 14. Phillips 15. Eyanson 16. Godbout 21. Holobetz 23. Travieso 27. Azocar 28. Delzine 29. Ramos 30. Rivas Cason, Aita, YRod, Nunez, Tygart, M White, Jo Rod, Rivera, Neeley, Foutch, B Morgan, Primera, M Martin, Jo Bello, Fermin, Ogando, Patton, Bravo

Cool. I thought we did! cots has us paying $2M/yr for Devers going forward.

I think he has slipped on the routes he takes. His arm is too weak. He's okay, but better in LF, IMO. He's the worst defender of the 4. (5 counting Garcia)

Exactly, nobody has said or believes that if BTV says the trade is acceptable, it is balanced or likely to happen. I have very strong feelings about some of their ratings being way off, but that is no different from my feelings towards some people's opinions on players' values, too. Probably, BTV is more accurate than any one of us alone. (You and MVP would probably object to this... LOL.) I don't know as much about players on other teams, so BTV numbers kinda set a range of what might be possible, but as you pointed out many times, it does not factor in how much a GM values the player or a team's needs or short/long term plans. I'd like to think I know the Sox players pretty well, so here are some issues I have with BTV on these ratings: (These are values I could find by looking at trade suggestions made by others, since I am not a paying member) 61 Anthony 55 Mayer 50 Duran 33 Early 31 Rafaela 26 Abreu 23 Tolle, Campbell 22 Arias 18 Witherspoon 17 Crawford 16 Garcia, Clarke 14 Casas (I'd say this is high,) 12 Perales, Romy 10 Harrison 9 Cespedes (way too high) 8 Fitts, Phillips, Romero (seems high) 7 J Gonzales 6 Sandlin, Eyanson 5 Sandoval 4 Weissert, Godbout, Dobbins (seems low) -3 Luis Castillo -18 Hicks (He's owed $24M, so looks about right) -25 Yoshida (He's owed $36M, so this seems about right) -37 Story I wonder what Bello, Valera, Fajardo, Paez and Holobetz are valued. I'm sure Crochet is worth more than 60 or 70, even at his cost. Targets or Dreams 127 Skenes (Anthony + Mayer?) 82 H Greene (Mayer + Campbell?) 79 Ragans (Duran + Arias?) 61 K Marte (Duran + Harrison?) 61 Skubal (1yr) Mayer? 53 Joe Ryan (Duran via 3rd team or Campbell + Arias?) 48 Gore (Duran?) 45 Gilbert 39 G Willimas 31 Lodolo (Campbell + DHam?) 27 Peralta (1yr) Abreu? 26 Luzardo (Abreu?) 18 Sale (Harrison + Fitts?) 17 P Lopez (Garcia or Clarke?) 14 Ja Jones (Casas or Garcia?) 12 Bubic (Perales?) 9 M Keller (Harrison?) -9 S Gray (Dobbins + Hicks?) -12 S Murphy (match with Hicks?) -24 W Contreras (match with Yoshida?)

It's pretty amazing how quickly the roster has morphed into Brez's team. While many added to the 40 man roster were in the system before Brez, these are some eye-opening facts: 12 players have been added to the 40 since the 2025 season started. 21 players were added after the 2024 season began. 27 players were not on the 40 on the 2023 season's final day. Only 13 played on the 2022 team! (One is Houck and will not play in 2026, which means maybe 12 players from 2022 play on the 2026 team.)

I think he was worth it, so saying "overpay" needs context. IMO, all major FA signings are overpays, on paper, and most turn out that was in reality. Yes, it's $32M, but that deferred money still counts and is applied to the Lux tax those years.

I enjoyed BTV, until they wanted money to play around. You cans till look at trade proposals and get a feel for some player values, but you can't see the team lists or make trades yourself. That was kinda fun. I always tried to give the other team more value, and often times more people gave a thumbs down on the Sox side of the trade, so I think I was being realistic. I see they think Duran for Lodolo is a gross overpay by the Sox, but I'd do it. Duran for KMarte is pretty close, too. I'd jump at that and add Harrison. I don't get why a bunch of fans playing around with trade suggestions upsets Red, so much.

I love taking chances like the Crochet trade, and to me, the extensions was just as important and a bit ballzy. I'd love to see us trade for another younger SP'er this winter.

IMO, Duran slipped on D. I think he is a LF'er, but is acceptable in CF.

To be honest, I'd rather trade two OF'ers than none. It is that clear to me that one needs to go. We also have Campbell and Garcia, who I probably trust more than others. Both are RHB with lots of promise. I'm also more okay with Masa in LF than most, as long as it is not the only option, and with Campbell and Garcia, it shouldn't be. Now, I'm not for handing 2 away. I'm thinking large package deals for two key players like KMarte plus Ryan or Lodolo- maybe Mitch Keller at worst. Masa in LF also opens up a slot for Schwarber, or if we sign Alonso, Casas can DH. Assume we trade Duran & Abreu, and get Ryan, KMarte and Alonso: 1. Anthony, 2. KMarte, 3. Casas, 4. Alonso, 5. Story, 6. Masa, 7. Narvaez, 8 Mayer, 9. Rafaela Assume we trade Duran & Rafaela: our O is better but the D is worse: LF Masa/Garcia or KC CF Anthony RF Abreu Assume Abreu and Rafaela: LF Masa/RHB, CF Duran, RF Anthony

Never count out JH & Co.

He's making peanuts.

The Domers ran all over the CUZZ. Wow! 24 Rushes and 329 yards. Only passed 15 times. No top 12 teams lost, but #12 Utah almost did. #11 BYU just started. Most bubble teams won.

I'd go like this: 1 from Alonso, K Marte or Schwarber 1 from Ryan, Lodolo, Ragans or maybe a smaller one year players like Peralta or Bubic. 1 from Bregman, Bichette, Suarez or Polanco.