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Everything posted by moonslav59
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Red Sox Free Agency: The Case Against Signing Kyle Schwarber
moonslav59 replied to Alex Mayes's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Yes! I wish we still had Devers. I'd be ranting about needing a SP2 and a decent bat at 3B, but not for a big bat badly. I'd prefer to not have Schwarber at 1B. I'd prefer we trade Masa rather than play him in LF, so Schwarber can DH. -
Red Sox Free Agency: The Case Against Signing Kyle Schwarber
moonslav59 replied to Alex Mayes's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
I never have an issue with high K rates, if the guy gets on base. This guy does that, and oh yea, he hits a few bombs, too. 2024-2025 .365 OBP (12th in MLB) .525 SLG (6th- just behind another target: K Marte) .890 OPS (7th) 7th in wRC+ as well .281 ISO (4th) He's also had 669 or more PAs for 4 straight years. I'm okay playing him at 1B for a big chunk of games, since Casas is the worst defensive 1Bman in MLB. We need a big bat badly. To me, I rank the big bats that are or might be available as such: 1. Schwarber 2. K Marte 3. Alosno 4. Suarez (higher ISO than Alonso & K Marte '24-25) Gap.... B Lowe, Polanco, Bregman Gap.... (some w/o much HR power) W Contreras, Bichette, Hoskins, O'Hearn, Y Diaz -
The Rule 5 Draft Approaches: Who Should the Red Sox Protect?
moonslav59 replied to Nick John's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
I get that. My point was that his name was never mentioned as a possible selection. Hence the "under the radar" comment.- 116 replies
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The Rule 5 Draft Approaches: Who Should the Red Sox Protect?
moonslav59 replied to Nick John's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Nobody mentioned Hoppe being protected, but SEA felt he was worth trading for, since he'd be selected before they could nab him. You caught that blip on your radar screen?- 116 replies
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That and the Pivetta trades were two of Bloom's best.
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I'd do it. Our offense would improve. Our pitching would improve. Our defense would take a hit, but 2 to 1 sounds good to me. Plus, the Drewski factor counts offense 3 times, so it's 4 to 1. I may be alone on this, but I'd play Anthony in CF and keep Duran in LF with a big wall behind him to stop the ball from rolling. Garcia could play CF, when Duran, Abreu or Anthony need a break.
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I don't want Duran traded because I don't think he's very good. I want to trade him precisely because I think we need a really good SP2, 2Bman or 3Bman, and we need to give talent to get talent. We have 4 OF'ers. I went through my reasons why I feel Duran is the one that should be traded, but it's not based on him being the worst of the 4. Control years, age, defense, trends and current trade value are all factors. Of course, offense, speed and other factors support keeping him, and I acknowledge that, often. It's not a clear cut choice to make, and if some team offers the same or more for Rafaela or Abreu, I would reassess my position. I don't think they would. Now, some teams might want Abreu or Rafaela, because of the cost or years of control, as compared to Duran, and teams that want Duran are likely in "win now" mode, so it's not always going to look like a perfect trade match. I've mentioned a 3 team trade as a work-around on that aspect. I'm not sure it can be worked out. I will say, I am 99.9% certain we trade an OF'er. (90% it's Duran, Abreu or Rafaela.) 45% Duran 33% Abreu 15% Rafaela 7% Campbell or Garcia
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I believe you. I will say, Brez has a better trade record than Bloom, which is not hard to do. Sure, there is the Sale and Priester trades, but there have been more good ones... Crochet Narvaez Slaten Fitts, Weissert + O'Neill Priester (for Nick Yorke) Pending: Fajardo, Dandlin, Holobetz/YRod Anyway, if these guys suck at trades, then they'll blow an Abreu trade, instead.
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Wow, the rankings put ND above ALA, but that can change. 1. Ohio St 10-0 (v Rutgers/ at MI) 2, Indiana 11-0 (at PUR) 3. TX A&M 10-0 (v Samford/ at TEX) 4. Georgia 9-1 (v Charlotte/ at GA Tech) 5. TX Tech 10-1 (at W VA) 6. Ole Miss 10-1 (at Miss St) 7. Oregon 9-1 (v USC/ at WSH)) 8. Oklahoma 8-2 (v Missouri/ v LSU) 9. Notre Dame 8-2 (v Syracuse/at Stan) 10. Alabama 8-2 (v E Illinois/at Aub) 11. BYU 9-1 (at CIN/ v UCF) 12. Utah 8-2 (v K St/ at KA) _____________ 8-2 13. MIA, 14. Vandy, 15. USC 9-1 16. GA Tech 7-3 17. Texas 8-2 18. Michigan 9-2 19. Virginia __________________ Possible Conference Championship Games TX A&M/GA OSU/IN TEX Tech/BYU
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The Rule 5 Draft Approaches: Who Should the Red Sox Protect?
moonslav59 replied to Nick John's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Don't run this idea by Drewski.- 116 replies
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Boston Red Sox Interested In Devin Williams
moonslav59 replied to Matthew Lenz's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
I've made the point that a significant reason we dropped in the budget rankings was that some teams just went "nutty" on spending, but that's was not meant to let JH of the hook nor justify his lack of investments in our quality of players. We'd probably be 7th or 8th, if he just spent at a steady increase. -
The Rule 5 Draft Approaches: Who Should the Red Sox Protect?
moonslav59 replied to Nick John's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Some notes on our additions: Braiden Ward (Bernardino trade) is Rule 5 eligible but not likely to be selected. He plays OF but can play 2B and 3B. Ronny Hernandez (Murphy) is a catcher and had a .367 OBP in low A-Ball over the last 2 seasons combined. Sp.com thinks he has "natural power." Luke Heyman (Hoppe) is projected by sp.com to be a top 40 prospect. He is another catcher. He was ranked 127th before this year's draft (4th rd) but fell to the 14th rd after he broke his arm. T Gray is Rule 5 eligible, too but just passed through waivers so likely will not be selected. We dealt out own waivers guy, Guerrero, for him. sp.com says Mullins is the most likely guy to be selected and to stick with a team all year.- 116 replies
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Red Sox 2025 Season Review/Offseason Preview Thread
moonslav59 replied to Brandon Glick's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
He wants the fan to cheer louder? Buy more hotdogs? Demand JH spend more? -
Boston Red Sox Interested In Devin Williams
moonslav59 replied to Matthew Lenz's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Spotrac has us at 12th with a $136M budget. We could go to #11 with $1M more, #9 or 10 with $15M more, but even these are reasonable jumps: +25M to #7-8 HOU/SDP +30-35M to #5-6 PHI/ATL Jumping to TOR would take about $60M, assuming they don't bring Bichette back or jump their own spending as they are in a window, too. -
Yes. I understood what you said. My point was how much value OF'ers have to teams needing an OF'er. BTW, although I disagree with these BTV numbers, they place the values at: 49.5 Duran 3.4 Ward Ward brought back pretty good value on a 1 for 1 trade, but you think Duran does not bring back high value even as a centerpiece of a trade, right? Did I misunderstand that?
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Agreed. He has one less year than Abreu, who is still pre-arb, so the money aspect means a lot to teams that have tight budgets. While Duran is making $7.7M, that's a lot for some teams and would make them prefer Abreu, all by itself. Abreu is much better on defense than Duran and plays one of the most difficult positions/parks in MLB. Abreu has more power, and that is one area the team lacks. Rafaela has 3 more years of control than Duran at a pretty low cost. Some teams might not view it as "low," especially the last 2-3 years. He also has an option year in 2032. A cheap team could trade him after 3-4 seasons and still get more years than Duran. He's a GG CF'er but is way behind JD in batting value. My guess is there may be a wide variance in how different GMs value him. I misspoke when I said Duran is in decline, but the risk it there, and he did drop off from 2024. The ghost of Jake lurks.
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I'm not suggesting we could have traded Duran for GRod. I was just using Ward as an example of what someone paid for a good OF'er who does not defend too well and is not getting any younger. Ward also has one year of control at almost $13M. Duran has 3 and makes $7.7M, next year. You think Duran brings back less than Taylor Ward did? Plus, Ward was not the "centerpiece:" he was the whole package by himself.

