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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    He could have also been "ahead" because we needed a LF'er before we needed a 3Bman.
  2. moonslav59
    $13M gets two proven, healthy RP'ers.
  3. moonslav59
    If we find someone else we want for $13M or less over Buch, there's reason to sign and trade Buch. If we don't care about going over the limit, then fine, keep Buch for starting/LR depth and sign 2-3 RP'ers and Encarnacion.
  4. moonslav59
    1st place in the toughest division in MLB. We have as many teams over .547 or .529 as any 3 other divisions combined!
  5. moonslav59
    Maybe not. I doubt henry wants to pay a 50% luxury tax rate, so we'll have about $30-35M to spend this winter and rest the tax scale for the future. We may try to fill the 1B/DH slot, but we certainly will need to fill 2-3 pen slots. If we spend $13M on Buch, that doesn't leave much for the other high need areas.
  6. moonslav59
    I think I like this better: 1) Beni 2) Bogey 3) Betts 4) Pedey 5) JBJ 6) HRam (DH/1B) 7) Shaw/Moncada (3B) 8) Young/Swihart/Shaw (DH/1B) 9) Leon Typo: It's Vazquez not Velazquez.
  7. moonslav59
    Well, two of the teams ahead of them will be playing each other a lot of the time, so someone will lose each night.
  8. moonslav59
    It makes sense, if you don't want him at $13M and you'd rather get a decent A ball player or better over getting nothing at all. We got Marco Hernandez for Doubront. I'd think we could get something similar or better for Buch, assuming he ends the season well. I agree, it is highly unlikely we sign and trade.
  9. moonslav59
    LOL. Well said. I will add that the Beni sample size is also too small to know if he actually was ahead of Yoan or not.
  10. moonslav59
    The only truly "clutch" hitter on this team is Ortiz and that's because he has an OPS over 1000. Papi is a legend in the playoffs, but many of our players have not had the chance to prove they are "clutch" or not. Here's a look at regular season "clutch"- a term I feel is not really a skill set. Player Career OPS/ Late & Close OPS (career) (listed from least "clutch" to most "clutch") HRam .858/.759 (-.099) Pedey .812/.754 (-.068) Ortiz .931/.867 (-.064) Betts .856/.849 (-.007) J B J .725/.727 (+.002) Bogy .746/.771 (+.025)
  11. moonslav59
    He's also got his ERA below 5.00. It was at 6.34 in June.
  12. moonslav59
    Shaw has had a great last two games. If that can continues.... Uehara's back and could possibly help solve part of our weakest link- the pen. Papi just got a long rest. I wish we could afford to do the same with Bogey. HanRam is becoming the player we'd hoped he be. Even with our best first half starter out, our rotation looks better than it has in a long time. Not many teams can say that. Tough schedule coming up. Once we end the Toronto series, we're back to even on home vs away games (10-10). Let's take two of three and win the damn division!
  13. moonslav59
    Remember, before Moncada's last game, his numbers were decent and people were happy he was up and playing. Now, after one horrible game, the tone has changed dramatically. You'd think after witnessing quick-turning tides on sites like this for years, I'd be able to accept the fickle nature of many people, but I can't. I just don't get it. Had Moncada gone 2 for 4 in his last game, there'd be a whole different discussion. Shouldn't that make us examine our thought process a little more? Old timer's right, even with about 6-8 guys (HanRam, Moncada, Shaw, Pablo, Swihart, Hernandez, Travis and even Young at DH) fighting for the 3 slots next year (DH, 1B and 3B), there's plenty of room for Moncada and Shaw. Just do well, and you'll be playing on a regular basis.
  14. moonslav59
    Kudos to Yankee management for having the guts to blow up the ship without sinking it. I wish the Sox had had the courage to go totally young when they blew up the team in 2014. At least Cespedes morphed into Porcello, but at $20M a year, what did we really gain from losing Lester? $6M a year? Being a Sox fan, I have to hate the Yanks, but I'm glad they swept Toronto, and I don't think I've admired the way the Yanks have done anything ( like trying to buy championships) until now.
  15. moonslav59
    ..........teams over .547/ teams over .529 AL East 3/4 AL Cent 1/2 AL West 1/2 (The AL has 10 teams over .500.) ____________________________ NL East 1/2 NL Cent 1/2 NL West 1/2 (The NL has only 6 teams over .500)
  16. moonslav59
    BOS (10H/13A) 7 vs BAL 7 vs NYY 6 vs TOR 3 vs TBR Toronot has... (13H/10A) 6 vs BOS 4 vs NYY 3 vs BAL 3 vs TBR 4 @ LAA 3 @ SEA BAL (11H/12A) 7 vs BOS 4 vs TBR 3 @ TOR 3 @ NYY 3 @ DET 3 vs AZ NYY (13H/11A) 7 vs TBR 7 vs BOS 4 @ TOR 3 vs BAL 3 vs LAD Nobody has an easy shot. Here's the standings now: BOS -- TOR -1.0 (WC) BAL -2.0 (WC) ____________ DET -1.0 from WC HOU -2.0 NYY -2.5 KCR -4.0 SEA -5.5
  17. moonslav59
    BOS (10H/13A) 7 vs BAL 7 vs NYY 6 vs TOR 3 vs TBR Toronot has... (13H/10A) 6 vs BOS 4 vs NYY 3 vs BAL 3 vs TBR 4 @ LAA 3 @ SEA BAL (11H/12A) 7 vs BOS 4 vs TBR 3 @ TOR 3 @ NYY 3 @ DET 3 vs AZ NYY (13H/11A) 7 vs TBR 7 vs BOS 4 @ TOR 3 vs BAL 3 vs LAD Nobody has an easy shot. Here's the standings now: BOS -- TOR -1.0 (WC) BAL -2.0 (WC) ____________ DET -1.0 from WC HOU -2.0 NYY -2.5 KCR -4.0 SEA -5.5
  18. moonslav59
    Some good take-aways: Uehara looked sharp. He could be a huge boost to the pen. Shaw is determined not to lose his job. HanRam continues to rake. Papi got a very nice rest. Our 2-6 hitters had just 3 hits, but we still scored 7 runs. Pedey is solid. Price is Price.
  19. moonslav59
    Here's what we have left... off @TOR Porcello (+1 day rest) @TOR ERod (+1) @TOR Pomeranz (+1) v BAL Buchholz (+1) v BAL Price (+1) v BAL Porcello V NYY ERod v NYY Pomeranz v NYY Buchholz @ BAL Price @ BAL Porcello @ BAL ERod @ BAL Pomeranz @ TBR Buchholz @ TBR Price @ TBR Porcello off @ NYY ERod (+1) @ NYY Pomeranz (+1) @ NYY Buchholz (+1) v TOR Price (+1) v TOR Porcello (+1) v TOR ERod (+1) If we did not give our best pitchers the extra days off, and we push ERod's start back, then Price opens against BAL with ERod sliding between Price and Porcello. Then, when we come to the last day off, we'd skip Buch and have this ... @ TBR Price @ TBR ERod @ TBR Porcello off @ NYY Pomeranz @ NYY Price @ NYY ERod or Buchholz (+2) v TOR Porcello v TOR Buch or ERod v TOR Pomeranz This way we are better lined up for Price to pitch the first game of the post season, and if we don't have to play the WC game, Porcello could start game 2, but we may need that extra start from Price in the regular season to make it to the playoffs.
  20. moonslav59
    I doubt we can afford to rest him in the upcoming series. Maybe tomorrow off will be all he needs.
  21. moonslav59
    I agree on your Medlen & Ontiveros assessments. On the "sustainability" of Buch's Stretches, I will say that he has had prolonged stretches of over a season long. Here's a look: Not only was the 2010 season's 28 starts of near total brilliance, despite some peripherals that indicate some luck may have been involved, he followed that season up with a very respectable 14 starts in 2011 before the injury. That's 28 +14 straight starts with a combined ERA of under 2.90. (256 IP and 42 GS'd) His best stretch was 2013, and he had actually has a very decent 2nd half of the prior year (2012). He had a 3.76 ERA in his final 15 starts of 2012 (103 IP). That number would have been much better without his last start of 1.2 IP and 8 ER, but it was what it was... a decent ending. He followed the second half of 2012 with 16 of his best starts of his career (1.74 ERA in 108 IP). Combined, that's 31 starts in a row with 211 IP and a combined ERA of under 2.80. So, two stretches: one of 42 starts and the other 31 starts of very effective pitching.
  22. moonslav59
    One could look back and maybe say the Moncada call-up was an essential factor in us winning the pennant- not for the reason we might have thought, but for the chance that perhaps his call-up was what lit the fire under Shaw's ass. Keep it up Travis!!!!
  23. moonslav59
    WAR is not a projector of what is to come: it's an evaluation of what a player has already done. Past performance does give some indication of what to expect after factoring in age, experience and recent trends, but WAR does not try to be a tool for determining what is to come. It is used to try and evaluate the whole player in the context of his peers.
  24. moonslav59
    Good info. One could claim Medlen and Ontiveros got lucky or just had a nice hot streak, even though not for a full season, but Buch has 2 in the top 38, which is the top 1% of all samples. It's not luck to do it twice. He's got nasty stuff than can be just about unhittable. He's shown he can do it for over 80 IP stretches. Let's hope he's just begun his 3rd great 80 inning stretch.
  25. moonslav59
    1 & 2 would make you think maybe "luck" is involved: Only 2975 "qualified", but when you lower to 80 IP, there are 4,908 samples. 1) Kris Medlen 25 (2012) 2) Steve Ontiveros 35 (1994) Others near the top: Greg Maddux2 in the top 5 F Liriano 8th Zach Duke 9th Gooden 10th Greinke, Kershaw, Arieta, K Brown, C Eldred, Rich Hill this year 20th, R Harden, Randy johnson's best is # 25, K hendricks, B Beachy are all the names in the top 30, not counting those already on the list provided.
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