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Kimmi

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Everything posted by Kimmi

  1. Kimmi
    Ideally, both sides would pick up the mutual option, but with the way Gio is pitching, it's unlikely that he would do so. Hopefully, the two sides can work out an extension before Gio hits free agency. I don't think Gio is out for the most money, and I think he'd like to stay in Boston. Make a fair and respectable offer, and I think Gio would accept. Malcolm's post suggesting 4/$85M sounds reasonable, though my preference would be a contract for 3 years.
  2. Kimmi
    There might be some other reasons for the drop, but two plays can skew the data significantly.
  3. Kimmi
    I don't disagree that shortstops typically get more chances than an outfielder. Even so, a couple of bad plays can skew defensive metrics significantly. I'm just going by everything I've read on the subject.
  4. Kimmi
    If the team is winning, the fans will come. It's not about having the superstar players like Ohtani. It's about winning.
  5. Kimmi
    It really annoys me that the players won't listen to what I'm yelling at them.
  6. Kimmi
    First of all, let me tell you again how impressed and happy I am to hear that you and your fellow octogenarians are still playing softball. As far as the 600 ABs to determine the type of hitter a player will turn into, that sounds like a fair number overall. Different offensive stats require different samples sizes to "stabilize", some of which are larger than 600 ABs, others of which are smaller than 600 ABs. Per Fangraphs, here are the stabilization points for some offensive statistics. Note that some are given in ABs and others are given in PAs. BA - 910 ABs OBP - 460 PAs SLG - 320 ABs K rate - 60 PAs Walk rate - 120 PAs
  7. Kimmi
    I would have to disagree. Defensive metrics are very unreliable in small sample sizes. Because there are so few defensive chances in a season (as opposed to offensive chances), one or two bad plays can greatly skew the overall rating.
  8. Kimmi
    Exactly. The sac bunt isn't nearly as important as managers once thought it was, but the ability to lay down a good bunt still has its place in baseball.
  9. Kimmi
    I am not a fan of the sacrifice bunt, except under very rare specific circumstances. However, bunting for a base hit is another story. David Hamilton would be a perfect candidate to drop down a bunt for a base hit. With his speed and base-stealing threat, a bunt single would be as good as a double. There are a few others on the team who should also try it once in a while.
  10. Kimmi
    If I had to pick one team for the Red Sox to dominate, it would be the Yankees.
  11. Kimmi
    The good news is that Wong is finally starting to hit more like he did last season. He's been able to pick up the slack and give Narvaez a much needed breather.
  12. Kimmi
    It takes about 3 seasons worth of data for defensive metrics to give us a good indication of how good or bad a player is defensively. It could be that one or two missed plays have really skewed his numbers negatively this season. I trust the defensive metrics because I know that we are often biased in what we see. Metrics take the bias out of these things as much as possible. All that said, Story still looks a lot better to me defensively than his metrics give him credit for.
  13. Kimmi
    I think the Red Sox and the Yankees are pretty well evenly matched, and I think they are both a good bit better than the other wildcard contenders. On paper, I think it's a toss up between the two teams. Of course, we all know that baseball is not played on paper. Both teams could end up getting ousted from the wildcard spots. Or one of them could still win the division. My gut tells me that the Yankees and the Red Sox will earn the 1st and 2nd wildcard spots, respectively. My gut as near zero credibility when it comes to baseball.
  14. Kimmi
    Plus, he looks really good defensively. I am baffled by his current defensive metrics. At any rate, it's good to see him healthy and playing well.
  15. Kimmi
    We are also one of the least worst in MLB.
  16. Kimmi
    Well, we ended up much better in the Bronx than I thought we would. To say that I'm pleased with taking 3 out of 4 would be a huge understatement. Now we need at least 2 of 4 in Baltimore, hopefully more.
  17. Kimmi
    I second what Max said. Thank you for the time and effort that you all put into this site.
  18. Kimmi
    I get that. He wasn't supposed to be a pure DH. And as a pure DH, you'd like to see a stronger bat. I guess I'm in the minority, but I'm okay with having him on the team.
  19. Kimmi
    Losses like last night's loss are the toughest to take. A gut punch. While the losses all count the same, losing a close game in extra innings is still better than getting blown out by 10 runs. Maybe it's not better for the fans' morale, but it's better in terms of the team's talent and ability moving forward.
  20. Kimmi
    I agree. I'm really hoping we can at least split with the Yankees.
  21. Kimmi
    Yoshida's 2023 and 2024 fWARs were heavily influenced by a large negative dWAR. I was responding to Max's post about Yoshida's recent offensive numbers. Granted, when you factor in defense, Yoshida has been a disappointment overall, but IMO, he deserves more love than he gets.
  22. Kimmi
    I'm hoping for at least 4-4, but I would not be overly disappointed with 3-5.
  23. Kimmi
    It's hard to stomach when your team is going through one of these bad stretches, but it happens to all teams. A team will look like toast, then the next thing you know, they've won 8 of 10 and they're right back in it. Or vice versa. The Red Sox are one of the best teams in the AL. They are in control of their own wildcard berth. They just have to avoid the late season collapse.
  24. Kimmi
    I am nervous about our upcoming series against the Yankees and the Orioles. Despite supposedly being past the brutal part of our schedule, it's not getting any easier. You can bet the Yankees will be looking for redemption. A 4-4 road trip will be a mild success.
  25. Kimmi
    Clearly, May is the best starter on our team! But seriously, if May can go 5+ innings a start and keep the offense in the game, then he's a good pick up. Maybe he'll surprise us and be better than expected.
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