We are 1 game up on CLE and HOU, but we own the tiebreaker against them both, so it's essentially 2 games. We probably would not win the tiebreaker over DET unless we sweep them, and even then, it's iffy.
We need DET to win against CLE, but to (obviously) lose against us. We really need to win at least 2 against TOR, which might be handing the Yankees the division, but so be it, And also win at least 2 against DET. This stuff makes my head hurt!