Bellhorn04
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Everything posted by Bellhorn04
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Nobody ever predicts this stuff very accurately. Doesn't stop them from trying, though. It's like me and my weekly NFL picks vs. the spread. I fail almost every week and yet I go into the next week with renewed optimism.
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What do you predict he signs for?
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It's the ones who threaten to leave who never do. -
RD is not the same level of player as Mookie, and his contract expectations should reflect that.
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You are seriously f***ed in the head LOL
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He's 24 - how many great seasons would you expect him to have by now?
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It might take 12 years to know for sure.
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For tax purposes, it's $15M. His AAV is $31M. The $16M we're paying is what counts for us for payroll tax. For the Dodgers it's $15M.
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It was a very good return, but we can't ignore one little X factor. As it turned out, the Dodgers didn't merely acquire Betts for 1 year. They acquired him for 13 years, and precluded the Red Sox from ever seeing him in their uniform again.
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Both points are debatable. He didn't trade Devers. As for the budget, we don't know how he'd handle that because it's been so long since he was in that position.
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I mostly give DD a pass on trading prospects, because he only traded them for two things: 1) Pitching - which we needed desperately. 2) Deadline acquisitions.
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Yes, when you have that window and you know it's going to close soon, it's pretty hard to resist.
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And then he followed much the same pattern with the Cubs.
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Sounds pretty plausible to me. The dots connect.
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Payroll tax numbers: Martinez - 2 more @ 22 AAV Pedroia - 1 more @ 13.75 AAV Price - 2 more @ 16 AAV At least Martinez might help.
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No, that's not what I meant. I meant IF he was great in 2016 and 2017 and sucked after that, we would have been happy to get rid of him, too. He was more like disappointing and tantalizing for 4 years.
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Unless those two seasons were 2016-2017, I suppose. All things considered, shedding $15 million of his AAV the next two years is good for us. For the Dodgers, if they get two good years, or even one very good one, it'll be a nice little bonus for them.
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Yeah, I don't even like the idea of winning the WS as a goal. I agree that winning 85+ games and being in the hunt in September would be a fine goal.
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I think they could too. Let's face it, sometimes it depends on a lot of luck. In 2013, guys like Victorino, Napoli and Drew performed like Supermen, only to turn back into Clark Kents the next year. 2020's list of asks for great luck might look like this: 1) E-Rod 2) Eovaldi 3) Sale 4) Houck All of the above outperform expectations. 5) Chaim Bloom pulls off a few minor miracles in upgrades the next few months. 6) Raffy Devers is so excited by the return of Cora that he puts up a 7 WAR season. And so forth.
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I think that part of the trade was kind of a wash. I'm not thrilled about it and I'm not terribly disappointed about it. If Price stays healthy and pitches well the next two years, it'll look pretty good for the Dodgers.
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We actually scored more runs in '19 than we did in '18, amazingly enough.
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And Cora really did push the starting pitchers that postseason, using them in relief appearances to bolster the bullpen. It worked great, but it had to take a toll.
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So how do you explain the disappointing results in 2019?
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Well, I was feeling pretty good at the start of 2019, and the season was certainly a bit of a shock. Maybe you can attribute some of it to the 'hangover' effect. When a team goes all out and reaches their goal, a letdown can follow. Needless to say, Cora was criticized for how he handled spring training and the start of the season. I liked the Eovaldi and Pearce signings, but they were total writeoffs. We didn't know about Sale's health, and it turned out that all fears were justified. I think that was a huge factor, losing a guy that good and such a great competitor. I think you can chalk most of it up to two words - S**t happens.
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It's very hard to repeat in MLB, hasn't happened in the last 20 years. It's easy to see in hindsight that when we won in 2018 we were at the end of our window. We were maxed out payroll-wise. Our ace was pitching with a damaged arm. Porcello was about at the end of his good years, and Price's durability was iffy. Plus we had no good young pitching ready in the system.
