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Bellhorn04

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Everything posted by Bellhorn04

  1. Bellhorn04
    I've always liked the term 'idiot tax' for the money governments rake in from gamblers.
  2. Bellhorn04
    Not that's why this is a great forum - you can make jokes like that and not have your account suspended or deleted for some perceived offense.
  3. Bellhorn04
    I'll call him that if he's still here for 2023.
  4. Bellhorn04
    In the future we will look back and say he was a wicked bargain signing for 2019-2020, and a horrible overpay signing for 2021-2024/5.
  5. Bellhorn04
    The only thing is, if we have a Wong on the team, we also need a White.
  6. Bellhorn04
    MLBTR is calling it a 3 year/54 million contract. But with the deferred money I assume the AAV will be lower than 18 mill. Surprising to say the least.
  7. Bellhorn04
    Liam Hendriks to White Sox 3/54 mill. Seriously? MLBTR predicted 3/30. What does this do to free agent prices the rest of the way?
  8. Bellhorn04
    I do some betting for fun, mostly on football, on our provincial government's gambling web site. It's actually pretty amazing how well designed and easy to use it is. It might be the best work the government has ever done LOL
  9. Bellhorn04
    It wasn't just a bad plan. It was two bad contracts. Both players hit the skids simultaneously.
  10. Bellhorn04
    Which raises a question: has any player ever received a new deal basically in return for removing an opt out?
  11. Bellhorn04
    In with Archie.
  12. Bellhorn04
    The two signings were announced on the same day, so you had little time to hold that thought LOL
  13. Bellhorn04
    How about Pillar for 1 @ $4.25? That's what he signed for last year.
  14. Bellhorn04
    He's just a small step down from JBJ.
  15. Bellhorn04
    I have mentioned Leskanic before. He got 4 outs in Game 4, I believe, and never pitched again. Cabrera made a very fine play to take a hit away from A-Rod in extra innings of Game 4. Pretty sure it was a play 2004 Jeter wouldn't have made.
  16. Bellhorn04
    2004 was, of course, the only time in baseball postseason history that a team came back from a 3-0 deficit. That has to show something in itself. And we were only able to do it because we had Schilling and Pedro, plus Lowe and Foulke pitching out of their minds.
  17. Bellhorn04
    So here are the results for the last 5 postseasons, using my primitive method, which was to see how many games were won/lost by the team with the better regular season record. And if the teams had identical regular season records I ignored those games. 2016 21-13 2017 23-15 2018 24-9 2019 22-15 2020 32-21 Total 122-73 .626 I was a little surprised by how strong those numbers were. At the same time I can see that if you go back further, things were not as skewed. Maybe it's a short-term trend. Interesting, though.
  18. Bellhorn04
    But in hindsight, it was always the hotter team who won. Pretty hard for the colder team to win.
  19. Bellhorn04
    There are plenty of examples of stacked pitching rotations not getting it done in the postseason. The '71 Orioles with 4 20 game winners lost to the Pirates. The Phillies and Tigers in recent years. I'd have to dig up which years those were.
  20. Bellhorn04
    Personally I liked Yogi's version: "Good pitching beats good hitting - and vice versa".
  21. Bellhorn04
    Valid point, but we're not just talking about a single set of 5 games here. We're talking about that 60% rate holding true over multiples of five.
  22. Bellhorn04
    In an election, a 60-40 split would be considered a landslide. Maybe we have radically different ideas on what a crapshoot is.
  23. Bellhorn04
    Bloom wouldn't just unload Beni for a small return, I'm quite sure of that. He'll only trade him if the return is worth it.
  24. Bellhorn04
    How high would the difference have to get to remove the crapshoot tag?
  25. Bellhorn04
    Wait till you see the numbers for the last 5 years. Pretty interesting. I'll put them up later today.
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