Well, what if they only go 3-3 in these games? I'm not sure I'd call that a total meltdown, but it could put them in jeopardy.
Jays take 2 of 3 from Yankees and go 5-1 overall. That would pass us. 4-2 would tie.
Yankees take 1 from Jays and 2 from Rays. They would stay ahead of us.